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November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

november weather pnw pacific northwest 2018
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#101
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 November 2018 - 02:51 PM

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Honestly hard to tell that happened today. It is incredibly dark for being early afternoon. No doubt the darkest day of the year. About as dark as it can be here for the middle of the day.

nb-11-1.png

It’s shining here, so I can confirm it is still up there.

#102
Esquimalt

Posted 01 November 2018 - 02:51 PM

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The clown range on the drunkle features some lowland flurries


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#103
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 November 2018 - 02:58 PM

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There is a tropical connection to the rain here right now. Its been coming up from around Hawaii for the past 4 days.

sat-11-1.png


It is also warm and humid by November standards here.

Every person in the PNW on this forum would say it was heavy rain here this morning. It was coming down about as hard as it ever does for a couple hours.

That would likely be reported as heavy rain up here. Outside of brief convective downpours, 1”/hr type rates are pretty much unheard of around here.

#104
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 02:59 PM

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It’s shining here, so I can confirm it is still up there.

 

 

Good to know!   



#105
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 03:14 PM

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The 0.02" washout at OLM confirms this.

 

 

Justin needs a little lesson in PNW geography and how the rain shadow works with a warm conveyor belt coming in from the W and NW.  

 

Heavy rain in some places and almost none in other areas!   Reporting conditions at a person's specific location does not change this fact.      ;) 

 

As a refresher course... here is a post from Cliff Mass from yesterday.   The same wet areas got more heavy today and now we have the potential for river flooding.   All the while... SEA got almost nothing.   Go figure!

 

http://cliffmass.blo...sound-from.html

 

The Olympics Mountains play a critical role in the meteorology of the Puget Sound region and this week it is shielding us from most of the moisture associated with a series of modest atmospheric rivers.

But our friends on the western sides of the Olympics and Cascades will not be as lucky with substantial rain expected.

 

During the past several days, the winds aloft have been westerly (from the west), so we have been in the rainshadow of the Olympics, even though a strong, moist flow has approached the region.

During the past 72 hrs, while Tacoma to Everett has only gotten around .10 inches, locations on the western slopes of the Cascades have "enjoyed"  2-4 inches of rain, with 1-2 inches on the western side of the coastal mountains.



#106
Omegaraptor

Posted 01 November 2018 - 03:14 PM

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Attached File  Screen Shot 2018-11-01 at 4.13.32 PM.png   251.33KB   2 downloads

 

Just updated my climate table for this year. Precipitation days over 1mm are from Wunderground, everything else is NOAA. I would attach this to my signature, but I can't figure out how.


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2018 in Portland had 27.30" rainfall, which is the 8th driest year on record and 8.73" below normal

 

Current rainfall for PDX in 2019 is 18.53”, which is 2.78” below normal as of September 20


#107
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 01 November 2018 - 03:24 PM

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64 with calm winds and a little damp but no precip. Still haven't gotten below 35 in town.  Hopefully we can get that coldest high down at some point.


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Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Feb 25)
Coldest low: 20 (Mar 4)
Days with below freezing temps: 46
Total snowfall: 20.2"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#108
Dome Buster

Posted 01 November 2018 - 03:39 PM

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The 18z is my religion.
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#109
Jesse

Posted 01 November 2018 - 03:43 PM

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68 at PDX. Not a daily record but a pretty warm start to November.

#110
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 November 2018 - 03:46 PM

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68 at PDX. Not a daily record but a pretty warm start to November.

Nov 1 1949 was a warm one.

#111
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 01 November 2018 - 03:51 PM

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Nov 1 1949 was a warm one.

 

ANALogs Gone Wild 2: Slides West


Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Feb 25)
Coldest low: 20 (Mar 4)
Days with below freezing temps: 46
Total snowfall: 20.2"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#112
Jesse

Posted 01 November 2018 - 03:53 PM

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Nov 1 1949 was a warm one.


January 2019 should be too.

#113
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 03:54 PM

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Early November warmth is a good sign for December.  


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#114
BLI snowman

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:06 PM

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Early November warmth is a good sign for December.  

 

SEA's November 1-10 record highs are from 1981, 1970, 2010, 1949, 1960, 1976, 2008, 1987, and 1997.

 

One great December, a couple decent ones, and a number of forgettable ones in there.



#115
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:09 PM

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Surprised Rob isn't back. Isnt he usually here by now?

Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Feb 25)
Coldest low: 20 (Mar 4)
Days with below freezing temps: 46
Total snowfall: 20.2"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#116
Esquimalt

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:09 PM

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Half an inch of rain here so far today.  Not bad.  



#117
Jesse

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:13 PM

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SEA's November 1-10 record highs are from 1981, 1970, 2010, 1949, 1960, 1976, 2008, 1987, and 1997.

One great December, a couple decent ones, and a number of forgettable ones in there.


Yeah, not really a strong correlation.

#118
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:13 PM

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Surprised Rob isn't back. Isnt he usually here by now?

He only shows up if something interesting appears in the models.

#119
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:15 PM

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Half an inch of rain here so far today. Not bad.

One of those rare days when we see more shadowing than you guys.
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#120
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:16 PM

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Yeah, not really a strong correlation.

 

 

2008 and 2010 stand out in my memory... cold and snow soon followed.  

 

And of course there is 1949.  



#121
Phil

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:20 PM

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2008 and 2010 stand out in my memory... cold and snow soon followed.

And of course there is 1949.


Should adjust for ENSO, though. Those were all Niñas.
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#122
AbbyJr

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:23 PM

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Should adjust for ENSO, though. Those were all Niñas.

So Phil, do you think the PNW and Vancouver BC area has a decent shot at one or two arctic blasts and snow events this winter despite El Nino?


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#123
Front Ranger

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:36 PM

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SEA's November 1-10 record highs are from 1981, 1970, 2010, 1949, 1960, 1976, 2008, 1987, and 1997.

 

One great December, a couple decent ones, and a number of forgettable ones in there.

 

Only 3 terrible winters followed.


It's the internet. Don't take it personal.


#124
Dome Buster

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:46 PM

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Based on the analogs Ive been following including 1996, I see a good chance of a good snowstorm followed by some impressive rain late november/december. Maybe mid december. I see december being a very wet month before the normal el nino ridge sets in jan/feb. Although with this strange pattern all bets are off. March snowstorm anyone?
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#125
Esquimalt

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:49 PM

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Based on the analogs Ive been following including 1996, I see a good chance of a good snowstorm followed by some impressive rain late november/december. Maybe mid december. I see december being a very wet month before the normal el nino ridge sets in jan/feb. Although with this strange pattern all bets are off. March snowstorm anyone?

Some of the analogs do feature a heavy feb/March snowfall event, even if it's a weak to moderate el nino.  It'll be interesting to see if we can pull that off this year.  



#126
Esquimalt

Posted 01 November 2018 - 04:49 PM

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One of those rare days when we see more shadowing than you guys.

It's that perfect W-NW flow that benefits us more than you.  



#127
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 05:22 PM

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2008 and 2010 stand out in my memory... cold and snow soon followed.  

 

And of course there is 1949.  

 

Good point.



#128
Geos

Posted 01 November 2018 - 05:40 PM

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Honestly hard to tell that happened today.   It is incredibly dark for being early afternoon.   No doubt the darkest day of the year.    About as dark as it can be here for the middle of the day.  

 

nb-11-1.png

 

Yeah today was a really gloomy day. Just noticed a few breaks at sunset over the Bothell area. Nice and mild though. About 61 today here. 


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 41.76", 2019: 15.32", 6/12

 

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#129
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 05:45 PM

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Yeah today was a really gloomy day. Just noticed a few breaks at sunset over the Bothell area. Nice and mild though. About 61 today here. 

 

 

It was just normal gloomy for most of this afternoon out here after that crazy dark period around mid-day.    It was really strange around lunch.   I truly can't remember ever seeing it that dark at that time of day here.   It was like 20 minutes after sunset on a cloudy day... but in the middle of the day.

 

And right around sunset... the dark clouds turned red for about 2-3 minutes so I knew the sun was peaking through somewhere to the west.    Also good confirmation that the Earth is still orbiting its star.    I was getting worried that we had spun out of orbit and were racing towards deep space.   :lol:   


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#130
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 November 2018 - 05:51 PM

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Soaked with 0.12" of rain today. 54/51 stuck in the clouds!


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#131
Jesse

Posted 01 November 2018 - 05:55 PM

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Good point.


The cold was later in November in 2010, and centered in January/February (cold and snow is mostly an annoyance by then) in 1949-50. Justin mentioned 2008 being the only year it actually worked out in December.
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#132
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 05:56 PM

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Soaked with 0.12" of rain today. 54/51 stuck in the clouds!


Over 8 inches here since one week ago today.

Probably won't continue at that rate for too much longer. We don't average 35 inches of rain in November.

#133
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 06:00 PM

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The cold was later in November in 2010, and centered in January/February (cold and snow is mostly an annoyance by then) in 1949-50. Justin mentioned 2008 being the only year it actually worked out in December.


I know. I just remember the crazy swing after the warmth in early November 2010. We were buried in snow just 3 weeks later.

#134
Jesse

Posted 01 November 2018 - 06:02 PM

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I know. I just remember the crazy swing after the warmth in early November 2010. We were buried in snow just 3 weeks later.


Sure, but you said it’s specifically a good sign for December. Seems pretty mixed.

#135
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 01 November 2018 - 06:03 PM

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61F after sunset.  Warm night.


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Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Feb 25)
Coldest low: 20 (Mar 4)
Days with below freezing temps: 46
Total snowfall: 20.2"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#136
MossMan

Posted 01 November 2018 - 06:06 PM

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Lost power for the first time at the new place, it is quite awesome having a generator that plugs into the house and runs quite a bit of the place!
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#137
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 01 November 2018 - 06:31 PM

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Yeah today was a really gloomy day. Just noticed a few breaks at sunset over the Bothell area. Nice and mild though. About 61 today here. 

 

Not a nice day except for people with reverse SAD



#138
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 November 2018 - 06:37 PM

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Lost power for the first time at the new place, it is quite awesome having a generator that plugs into the house and runs quite a bit of the place!

 

I had to drop $3600 on a new well pump last week. No generator this year! :(


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#139
MossMan

Posted 01 November 2018 - 06:42 PM

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I had to drop $3600 on a new well pump last week. No generator this year! :(

How old was your well pump? That was a fear at the old place, the well pump expert that came out after we had some issues (was a switch luckily) said we were well into borrowed time with the pump. Hopefully the pump at the new place will last a long time yet.

#140
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 November 2018 - 06:47 PM

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How old was your well pump? That was a fear at the old place, the well pump expert that came out after we had some issues (was a switch luckily) said we were well into borrowed time with the pump. Hopefully the pump at the new place will last a long time yet.

 

It was 20 years old. So about at its life expectancy. They can last longer. My dad's was installed in 1963. He used to have two, one went out about 10 years ago and he's been using the other pump since and its still going fine. He'll probably replace them both when it finally goes. 

 

Mine went out though because of an electrical issue. The line to the pump wasn't giving it enough voltage, so it had to work extra hard. 


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Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#141
El_Nina

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:06 PM

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It's dripping outside off the leaves onto the forest floor.
I have to screenshot my photos otherwise they post sideways

#142
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:13 PM

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Soggy out on the coast today, no surprise. Over 6” at Tahsis. Close to 3” in the past few hours.

#143
MossMan

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:18 PM

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Just over 1.5” in the last 24hrs. Power just came back on...man the generator here at the new place is going to be awesome! Still got to watch the blowout of the football game, lights, and no spoiled food this winter!

#144
luminen

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:20 PM

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attachicon.gifScreen Shot 2018-11-01 at 4.13.32 PM.png

 

Just updated my climate table for this year. Precipitation days over 1mm are from Wunderground, everything else is NOAA. I would attach this to my signature, but I can't figure out how.

 

Big difference between here and Portland:

Attached Files



#145
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:22 PM

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Soggy out on the coast today, no surprise. Over 6” at Tahsis. Close to 3” in the past few hours.


Just over 1.5” in the last 24hrs. Power just came back on...man the generator here at the new place is going to be awesome! Still got to watch the blowout of the football game, lights, and no spoiled food this winter!



Are you fools reporting actual conditions and significant rain??

SEA and OLM were in the rain shadow so therefore nothing happened anywhere.

Randy averages 1.5 inches per day... and 45 inches for November. Typical day.

Tahsis must average 180 inches for November. Impressive. 6 inches per day every day is slightly wet.

#146
jcmcgaffey

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:31 PM

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Not sure if it’s accurate but I saw that the record low for Seattle today was 0deg in 1939.

#147
luvssnow_seattle

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:32 PM

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Ton of shadowing today in the swamp. Dry all day... If it was cold enough for snow I would be totally losing my mind. :)  Loved the 60 degree totally dry day here. Awesome!


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#148
MossMan

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:34 PM

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Ton of shadowing today in the swamp. Dry all day... If it was cold enough for snow I would be totally losing my mind. :) Loved the 60 degree totally dry day here. Awesome!

Lucky!!
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#149
TT-SEA

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:34 PM

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Not sure if it’s accurate but I saw that the record low for Seattle today was 0deg in 1939.

 

 

Record low at SEA today is 30... set in 2003.    Period of record only goes back to 1948 there.

 

I can tell you it was 57/32 on 11/1/1939 at Snoqualmie Falls.    Sounds like a lovely day... almost 60 degrees and dry.  



#150
jcmcgaffey

Posted 01 November 2018 - 07:36 PM

jcmcgaffey

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Record low at SEA today is 30... set in 2003. Period of record only goes back to 1948 there.

I can tell you it was 57/32 on 11/1/1939 at Snoqualmie Falls. Sounds like a lovely day... almost 60 degrees and dry.

must be a screwed up number. I was going to say the only record low of 0 was in January.





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