Snowlover76 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Hopefully this weekend event delivers and cancels class on Monday. I have 2 tests that day, and it'd be real nice to have them both moved so I can enjoy my weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z GFS showing more snow in KS this run...more widespread for the weekend system...what do you think, should we start a Thread for this system??? It seems more and more likely there will be a system that develops somewhere in the central CONUS. That way we can keep things "clean" in the general discussions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z GFS...still snowing in IL/IN/MI... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 GFS staying pretty consistent. Wait until the 0z runs tonight before you make a thread tho Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 GFS staying pretty consistent. Wait until the 0z runs tonight before you make a thread thoProbably wait till tomorrow... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 GFS is going further and further south it seems with each run for this weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I say start it Tom. Want to do some good tracking this week. Local mets already mentioning the potential. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Wow, thats a big jump south. Definitely hating that. Hopefully a north trend begins but each run keeps going south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I went from 20" this morning to 4" this run. Lmao. Not that I was expecting the 6z run to verify, but it sure was nice to see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Take the Oz and run. Wish we could get a massive spread the wealth system for everyone. We all deserve it at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 There's your jackpot Winterfreak Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 The storm showing up on the 3rd/4th is correlating pretty well with the system hitting Japan on the 26th. Looks like a pretty potent system, however, doesn't look like it is hat organized yet on the runs we have seen so far. However, it looks to get darn cold once the storm departs. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_asia_066_1000_500_thick.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 3 Storm systems are to hit Japan over the next 7-10 days which would open this month up with the potential of seeing 3-4 storms (including this weekends system) through March 10th-12th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 3 Storm systems are to hit Japan over the next 7-10 days which would open this month up with the potential of seeing 3-4 storms (including this weekends system) through March 10th-12th. Looked pretty boring on the GFS Ensembles after this first storm to open up March (and even this one is coming into question). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Thought I'd post the Euro Weeklies NAO/EPO/PNA forecast over the next 30 days. SE Ridge should continue throughout the month along with ridging off the west coast with a pretty consistent -EPO. Although, it does pull back for a period of 7-10 days around the 7th-14th. JB has been mentioning that in Winter's like the one we are experiencing now, late season blocking develops near Greenland. The Euro Ensembles are showing the NAO head back towards neutral sometime mid month. Will be interesting how this affects the weather pattern as we move forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I never thought the weekend storm would turn into a wound up system. Nonetheless, 00z Euro still showing a system but following the GFS and got weaker this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z Euro threw a curve ball this run and stalls the frontal boundary and leaves behind a secondary piece of energy in the southern Midwest. This is turn develops into a SLP that rides up the boundary towards S IL/IN and dumps more snowfall. Tons of moisture showing up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 The interaction between the northern and southern streams will flop around on the models all week. Speeding up one piece of energy and slowing down another can change a lot. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Now that is a temperature gradient...late season arctic air pushing up against Spring time warmth towards Day 9-10. Pretty active pattern setting up over the next 10+ days. The -PNA is certainly doing its job. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I don't think I have ever seen the EURO as active-- lost count at 4-5 storms. As mentioned-- it will likely go back and forth -- but WOW-- what potential!!! Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yeah, the 00z Euro is south and weak with the first system this weekend, but it parks the sharp baroclinic zone just to our southeast for days. I'd love to see a 240 hr precip total map just for giggles. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Nice! I am right on the 14/15 inch line. And that's at 10:1 ratios which means I can add another 25-40% most likely on top of that. Looks like some fun times for many of us here in Iowa and overall the MW. Now if we could only make this map pan out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 And, I wish I was in Washington, IA. Not only home to the hottest burger in the country, but also bullseye for this storm if it pans out this way. The Hellraiser burger at some restaurant was featured on the news tonight...that's the only reason I know about the hottest burger. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I don't think I have ever seen the EURO as active-- lost count at 4-5 storms. As mentioned-- it will likely go back and forth -- but WOW-- what potential!!! Hey Grizz---long time. Anyways, if things work out we could come close to being in the top ten snowiest March months within the first week! Crazy. 16" will get us in the top ten. And yes, I am being greedy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 6z GFS looks weak and south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Wagons south! Oh well looked great for a while. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Need the northwest trend 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Off of Tim McGill's twitter for the Chicago Area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yerf Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 GFS snowfall 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 GFS snowfall B-m2dOfUcAAdjAY.pngThat pretty much sums up where the snows have been all winter. Cold and dry from Fargo to Minneapolis over to Green Bay. Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Off of Tim McGill's twitter for the Chicago Area.1-4" from lake effect snows? Possible, but 4" is unlikely. 4-8" seems pretty bullish for the weekend system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 1-4" from lake effect snows? Possible, but 4" is unlikely. 4-8" seems pretty bullish for the weekend system.For the weekend storm anything is still possible being that it is 120hr+ out. Yesterday everyone thought it was going north. Now it is going south. Still think there is a lot of moisture to work with. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 The DGEX is way south right now. Giving most on the forum just an inch or two. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Why anyone would mention the DGEX is beyond me. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 12z GFS...Winterfreak is gonna "Freak" when he see's this one...bullseye not too far from him... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 Just as I thought, it's getting weaker in our area. 2 inches from this is pathetic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 The models are hanging more of the western energy out west with each run. The 12z GFS now has a nice-looking upper low over the sw conus that could be a major player next week. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 I think iowa should enjoy the clipper because the weekend storm is going to miss you guys too the south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educatorjen Posted February 24, 2015 Report Share Posted February 24, 2015 When are the next runs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.