seattleweatherguy Posted March 1, 2022 Report Share Posted March 1, 2022 3 hours ago, Phil said: In other news, the new CANSIPS seasonal projects another brutal summer in the SW US. Similar to 2021 with the expansive 4CH. Phil that looks like the entire USA is torching. Should we expect another hot summer for WA and OR? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eujunga Posted March 1, 2022 Report Share Posted March 1, 2022 31 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said: Phil that looks like the entire USA is torching. Should we expect another hot summer for WA and OR? I see a dark blue dot over Tim's house (and a dark red one over mine). 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted March 1, 2022 Report Share Posted March 1, 2022 58 degrees here with a little sun. Toasty. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted March 1, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted March 1, 2022 1 hour ago, 1000'NorthBend said: Today: 2.80" 3-Day: 10.44" Year: 31.19" Side note... we are 30% of the way to normal March rainfall by afternoon on the first day. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 1, 2022 Report Share Posted March 1, 2022 59 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: has there ever been a 3 year back to back to back nina? Are we headed toward that super rare territory? Yes, 1998/99 to 2000/01. And 2001/02 was cold neutral. Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Don't know if anyone cares about this but tried Microsoft Flight Simulator and Seattle is modeled really well. The game uses real-time flight and weather data 7 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Cascadia_Wx Posted March 2, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Mostly cloudy 57/52 day here .35” precip in the form of showers The cool period that has been advertised the next several days seems to be getting watered down 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted March 2, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Some road flooding down below us... but we got off so easy considering almost a foot of rain as fallen since Saturday. In January 2009... this road was completely destroyed by flooding. It was just washed away. Much better this time around. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Deweydog Posted March 2, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Almost one down, 274 to go until winter… 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 hour ago, gusky said: Don't know if anyone cares about this but tried Microsoft Flight Simulator and Seattle is modeled really well. The game uses real-time flight and weather data As it should be, given it's Microsoft. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer GHweatherChris Posted March 2, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Thanks... was hoping for an update. Almost 3 inches on the day after the big rain event. And just about a foot of rain in 72 hours... without any major flooding. Impressive! Not even close to a foot. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 25 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: As it should be, given it's Microsoft. I've seen way better graphics with it when people mod it with google maps data, bing maps is not quite on the same level of quality Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted March 2, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Not even close to a foot. Pretty close... about 11 inches up here since Saturday. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Can see Tim’s island of blue in a sea of orange. 4 1 2 Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 31 minutes ago, gusky said: I've seen way better graphics with it when people mod it with google maps data, bing maps is not quite on the same level of quality I just meant because Microsoft is based there. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted March 2, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 17 minutes ago, Phil said: Can see Tim’s island of blue in a sea of orange. Do you have that map from October - February? Or how about SON? 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer GHweatherChris Posted March 2, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 47 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Pretty close... about 11 inches up here since Saturday. If we were talking snow, ya it would be close to a foot. But another inch of rain, nah, not even close. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I just meant because Microsoft is based there. You'd think they'd work on it a bit more than other cities, but it still has issues with the water level (the sound seems to be at an extreme, record high flood level or something) and other details. Overall, very detailed though. I even flew near a couple buildings I'm familiar with and they look pretty much the same as real life, I don't really know how that's possible. Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 2 hours ago, gusky said: Don't know if anyone cares about this but tried Microsoft Flight Simulator and Seattle is modeled really well. The game uses real-time flight and weather data Luv the sim….played since inception “almost” but i did drop the ball this past couple years. To much going on so haven’t tried the new one. City’s definitely modeled quite well in the sim!!! Enjoy Gorgeous afternoon and warm 59/50 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer MossMan Posted March 2, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Don’t think my snow will survive the night…Was a good run though! 55/48 on the day. Currently 50. .13” on the day, 10.65” on the year. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Flight simulator is great. But Dallas, TX is a joke. Just a bunch of generic blocks. 1 2 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats: Coldest high: 31F (Dec 22, 2022) Coldest low: 16F (Jan 30, 2023) Days with below freezing temps: 60 (Most recent: Mar 27, 2023) Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023) Total snowfall: Enough to give the winter an A Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023 Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023 Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Flight simulator is great. But Dallas, TX is a joke. Just a bunch of generic blocks. I'll have to check it out later tonight. Interested to see how consistent the quality is. Like I said before, Seattle is quite impressive but for some environmental issues. But the fact that I can navigate my way around the city based on specific buildings and landmarks, in a 1:1 earth map, is still mind-blowing to me. Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 57/50 today 0.23”. Probably a midnight low. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 final stats for 21-22 DEC 4.62” 11.0” snow -2.1 JAN 7.47” 0.0” snow -0.1 FEB 4.92” 0.3” snow -0.5 4 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 6 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Well... last week you said we would learn how everything shifts north and the AR event would end up in BC. And yet we still managed to pick up almost a foot of rain in 3 days in my area and SEA had one of the wettest days ever recorded and almost 5 inches of rain since Saturday. Trust the EPS over the 18Z GFS. It did trend north. The 00z GFS is almost bone dry for about two weeks starting on Thursday. It is just not possible to enter a sustained rainy pattern. We pay for every rain event with weeks of dryness. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Marine Layer Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 13 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Radar shows another large area of heavy rain moving in now... although it did stop raining here for a few minutes which is the first time that has happened since Saturday. ARs are fun 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 00z GFS (Day 1-10) 00z GEM (Day 1-10) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Longtimer Dan the Weatherman Posted March 2, 2022 Longtimer Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 9 hours ago, Phishy Wx said: has there ever been a 3 year back to back to back nina? Are we headed toward that super rare territory? 1998-99 through 2000-01 was a rare 3 year La Nina. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 52F with some light rain. Up to 0.3" on the month so a nice start. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats: Coldest high: 31F (Dec 22, 2022) Coldest low: 16F (Jan 30, 2023) Days with below freezing temps: 60 (Most recent: Mar 27, 2023) Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023) Total snowfall: Enough to give the winter an A Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023 Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023 Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted March 2, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 4 hours ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: It did trend north. The 00z GFS is almost bone dry for about two weeks starting on Thursday. It is just not possible to enter a sustained rainy pattern. We pay for every rain event with weeks of dryness. And yet PDX is +2 inches for the water year... while SEA is +7 inches and OLM is almost +9 inches and BLI is +6 inches. You said this recent AR event would end up in BC and that definitely did not happen. It has not been a dry rainy season from NW OR northward. And there has been multiple snow events and flooding events. Solid Nina. The fact that it has come in waves with some nice periods in between makes it more enjoyable in my opinion. All of the models now point to zonal flow starting next week so its going to get wet again. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted March 2, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 3 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said: ARs are fun They can be pretty fun as long as the flooding is not too extreme. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 11 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Well... last week you said we would learn how everything shifts north and the AR event would end up in BC. And yet we still managed to pick up almost a foot of rain in 3 days in my area and SEA had one of the wettest days ever recorded and almost 5 inches of rain since Saturday. Trust the EPS over the 18Z GFS. All I know is that we need that rain here. I’m getting worried for the ecosystem and am becoming annoyed with all the warmer weather pests that are becoming problematic like Coypu. Had one of them below our house. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats: Coldest high: 31F (Dec 22, 2022) Coldest low: 16F (Jan 30, 2023) Days with below freezing temps: 60 (Most recent: Mar 27, 2023) Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023) Total snowfall: Enough to give the winter an A Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023 Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023 Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 45 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: They can be pretty fun as long as the flooding is not too extreme. Tim is joining the night shift tonight! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 10 hours ago, gusky said: I'll have to check it out later tonight. Interested to see how consistent the quality is. Like I said before, Seattle is quite impressive but for some environmental issues. But the fact that I can navigate my way around the city based on specific buildings and landmarks, in a 1:1 earth map, is still mind-blowing to me. It is really impressive, I *may or may not* have about 800 hours in the sim.... If only I could count that towards real flight hours.... The detail is good enough I can fly the areas I have lived/grown up in per the common moniker of VFR (visually follow roads). Following Mt Baker Hwy up to the ski area can be a little tricky if I'm not using my head tracking set up. The hard part is keeping an eye on the road while avoiding "cumulo-granite clouds" as you get up close to the ski area. With head tracking its a piece of cake. I have tried the google map plug in, but I haven't quite decided which one I like better, it seems to depend on the area. There is a freeware Airbus H145 (helicopter) that is a lot of fun, and it makes it a lot easier to get in and check things out since you can hover or slowly pivot around the object of interest. 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 6 hours ago, TT-SEA said: It has not been a dry rainy season from NW OR northward. And there has been multiple snow events and flooding events. Solid Nina. The fact that it has come in waves with some nice periods in between makes it more enjoyable in my opinion. All of the models now point to zonal flow starting next week so its going to get wet again. Lies. That dry midwinter stretch neutered the benefits of the early season surpluses. 3 Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted March 2, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Phil said: Lies. It has been a wet rainy season... regardless of what that map shows. But of course that map is only from December and I am talking about the entire rainy season which begins October 1st. The actual data from actual stations tells the tale. SEA +7.01 OLM +8.76 BLI +5.68 HWM +7.67 UIL +19.69 (yes... 19 inches above normal since October 1st) AST +6.79 PDX +2.08 That is not just random... its been wetter than normal from PDX to BLI. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 If only this could happen in July. 1 Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: It has been a wet rainy season... regardless of what that map shows. The actual data from actual stations tells the tale. SEA +7.01 OLM +8.76 BLI +5.68 HWM +7.67 UIL +19.69 (yes... 19 inches above normal since October 1st) AST +6.79 PDX +2.08 That is not just random... its been wetter than normal from PDX to BLI. It’s a map of DJF precip at all regional stations. Doesn’t include Oct/Nov, but the benefits of that were largely erased by the midwinter dry spell. Context is important. 1 Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted March 2, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Just now, Phil said: It’s DJF precip at all regional stations, not just the ones you cherry picked. Doesn’t include Oct/Nov, but the benefits of that were largely erased by the midwinter dry spell. Those aren't cherry picked stations. Those are all the major reporting stations from PDX to BLI. And DJF was closer to normal but we made up ground in a big way since last weekend... completely wiping out the dry period statistically for western WA. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staff TT-SEA Posted March 2, 2022 Staff Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 19 minutes ago, Phil said: If only this could happen in July. Its interesting to see the models focusing the cold in the Midwest and NE in the long range now. I was expecting that to be farther west. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Chewbacca Defense said: It is really impressive, I *may or may not* have about 800 hours in the sim.... If only I could count that towards real flight hours.... The detail is good enough I can fly the areas I have lived/grown up in per the common moniker of VFR (visually follow roads). Following Mt Baker Hwy up to the ski area can be a little tricky if I'm not using my head tracking set up. The hard part is keeping an eye on the road while avoiding "cumulo-granite clouds" as you get up close to the ski area. With head tracking its a piece of cake. I have tried the google map plug in, but I haven't quite decided which one I like better, it seems to depend on the area. There is a freeware Airbus H145 (helicopter) that is a lot of fun, and it makes it a lot easier to get in and check things out since you can hover or slowly pivot around the object of interest. Wow, do the physics of the helicopter actually work? Seems like it would have issues with plane physics. I'll have to get that one. 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 25 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its interesting to see the models focusing the cold in the Midwest and NE in the long range now. I was expecting that to be farther west. Yeah, at least in the very long range. The center of the cold anomaly might move around with time, but the cold conus theme is fairly consistent. This transition lines up excellently with the stratwarm and location of the parent vortex in Siberia following w-2 response, as well. For once it was a clear signal with a moderate to high degree of predictability. Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its interesting to see the models focusing the cold in the Midwest and NE in the long range now. I was expecting that to be farther west. GFS is having a wee bit of trouble figuring this one out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 But alas, it does not meet criteria for a SSW, and the vortex will likely recover before the final warming (though this might set the stage for it). So the MJO will have less help from the associated reduction in static stability, which reduces the odds of significant WWBs over the IPWP/WPAC, and therefore the odds of a transition into El Niño appear to be decreasing. Or at the very least, it is now unlikely to be a quick transition. Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Jan-Mar is the most crucial time of year when it comes to setting the stage for ENSO. So every missed opportunity to cross that threshold has consequences. Could be the system has tripped and fallen just before reaching the finish line. Question is, will it pick itself up and sprint those last 5 meters before the other racers (possible evolutionary pathways) pass it? Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: GFS is having a wee bit of trouble figuring this one out. This would actually be the coldest airmass to drop into the CONUS all winter. -30°C 850mb temps in the N-Plains, verbatim. Maybe @hawkstwelve will catch some last minute action. 2 Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 12 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Flight simulator is great. But Dallas, TX is a joke. Just a bunch of generic blocks. I love Troutdale area when the east winds are blowing…..fun landings. I can also take the Cessna off like a cub piper with no runway if winds are blowing hard enough 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 Wow the GFS for a few days showed the storm door opening for us. Now it has the same pattern we have seen since Jan 1st. This historic dry pattern is just getting crazy now. Our snowpack survey at Philips station just came in at 68% of normal even though we were at 160% of normal Jan 1st. March is our snowiest month and it is looking bleak 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 12z GFS has a full blown SSW/final warming in the clown range, after the initial body blow this week. A much more interesting evolution, imo. And all else being equal, would give the MJO an extra boost along/east of the dateline. Quote PWS DATA Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 The latest ronald reagan washington national airport weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted March 2, 2022 Report Share Posted March 2, 2022 17 hours ago, gusky said: Don't know if anyone cares about this but tried Microsoft Flight Simulator and Seattle is modeled really well. The game uses real-time flight and weather data What are you running it on and how are you controlling it? I got pretty proficient in FSX on a laptop using just a mouse and keyboard, so when I tried the new FS I was disappointed that everything I remembered didn't work. Quote Home Weather Station Stats (starting Dec. 25 2021) High - 90.7 (some data missing) Lowest High - 23.6 Low - 15.6 Sub 40 highs - 13 Sub-freezing highs - 5 Lows below 25 - 6 Lows below 20 - 1 2021-2022 Snowfall - 10.9'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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