midwest buildit Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 Im neither of those. Directly west of cook county. In-between tonight's snow and later in the week snows. Lol. Im enjoying the tracking of these things. Just no confidence in any actual snow here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 Im neither of those. Directly west of cook county. In-between tonight's snow and later in the week snows. Lol. Im enjoying the tracking of these things. Just no confidence in any actual snow here. Doh! Forgot where Lisle was. My badPretty sure you'll have something to plow this week. I don't see any north trend with this. Snow streaking out of SD is heading along the MN/IA border. HRRR is going to bust up there. 1/4 mile visibility and +SN at FSD. Convergence near I-80. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchtastic Posted February 29, 2016 Report Share Posted February 29, 2016 the fgen band is setting up pretty far north by the looks of it... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 That band along the MN/IA line is suppose to crap out as the one to the south gets going. Some tiny flurries now falling. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Band is firing up on the nose of the 850mb boundary layer. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 33 here now. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 @ Jaster/West Jim/Niko's...this storm really amps up across S MI....you guys are going to do really good... Latest...18z GFS... Thx Tom - yep nice turn of events this has taken; late-game comeback in progress. Hoping that GEM run that painted 14" or 15" over my way can score a coup on the other guidance. It does read the cold air coming out of Canada the best. Looks like 18z GFS finally saw that puzzle piece and the GEFS now has some heavy hitters for SMI as well. Should be an interesting read from the wx offices as the models are giving them the run-around worse than the last storm! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 @ Jaster/West Jim/Niko's...this storm really amps up across S MI....you guys are going to do really good... Latest...18z GFS...Tom, I have a strong feeling that my WWA will be changed to a WSW by later tonight or tomorrow. Currently expecting 4-7inches, but could be slightly higher. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Thx Tom - yep nice turn of events this has taken; late-game comeback in progress. Hoping that GEM run that painted 14" or 15" over my way can score a coup on the other guidance. It does read the cold air coming out of Canada the best. Looks like 18z GFS finally saw that puzzle piece and the GEFS now has some heavy hitters for SMI as well. Should be an interesting read from the wx offices as the models are giving them the run-around worse than the last storm!Get ready Jaster220. This snowfall could be bigger than our previous snowstorm. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 At this time, it’s colder here then it was at any time before or during the last event. I have a temp now of 27° the cold front that came thru here came thru dry and there was no rain or snow with that. Right now the snow is several hundred miles to the west of west Michigan. Here is the GRR NWS brief take on the system.http://www.weather.gov/grr/WinterStormMarch1st Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Now I got bigger flakes coming down. 28° here Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Now I got bigger flakes coming down. 28° hereD**n, 35dbz rates falling over McHenry/Lake county... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 I bet its rip city under that band...heading right for Geo's Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 D**n, 35dbz rates falling over McHenry/Lake county...It's going to go moderate snow pretty quickly. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 All those heavy returns breaking out near Quad cities/Sterling is heading right for Chicago area...SW/NE trajectory... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Straight snow geos? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Still rain in Bartlett Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 What is the 4km seeing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Straight snow geos?90% snow, 10% sleet. Edit: Tick, tick sound is quickly fading. Ground is whitening up. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 FZR here. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownWeather Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Sleet falling in Buffalo Grove Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Couple tenths down now. Took a little while for the snow to stick. 95%+ snow now, with the just the occasional sleet pellet. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Patiently waiting here 17mi south of madison. Looks like mkx upped snow totals some more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Just about 0.4" here so far. 100% snow now. Falling into the mid 20s like most models forecast. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 It has begun little flakes with plenty of wind. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 The warm nose that was sticking up by DBQ has sunk south. Feel good about this staying all snow now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Got freezing rain and sleet here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 No picking up in intensity at all. Patio table barely has anything on it ground bare Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 0.7" of snow now. Should hit an inch by 9:30 or so. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 No picking up in intensity at all. Patio table barely has anything on it ground bareThe swath of decent accumulation looks to end up a couple counties wide Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 HRRR swayed back south some.Reports of +SN in south of me now in Northbrook. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 New mesoscale discussion MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0157NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0849 PM CST MON FEB 29 2016AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEASTERN IOWA...SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...NORTHERNILLINOIS...AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTACONCERNING...HEAVY SNOWVALID 010249Z - 010845ZSUMMARY...AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THEREGION THIS EVENING...WITH LOCALIZED AREAS EXPERIENCING 1+ INCHSNOWFALL RATES THROUGH AT LEAST 09Z.DISCUSSION...RECENT OBSERVATIONS AND MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTDEVELOPMENT/EXPANSION OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS CURRENTLYUNDERWAY FROM CENTRAL IOWA EASTWARD TO NORTHERN ILLINOIS. THISDEVELOPMENT IS IN RESPONSE TO LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH STRENGTHENING700-500 MB FRONTOGENESIS ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH MODELS SUGGESTWILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THEREGION REMAINS RELATIVELY DRY IN THE LOWEST LEVELS /DEWPOINTS AS LOWAS 5-7F IN NORTHERN PARTS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA/... CONTINUEDLIFT/PRECIPITATION WILL RESULT IN A GRADUALLY MOISTENING/COOLINGBOUNDARY LAYER THAT WILL SUPPORT FROZEN PRECIPITATION. THE PRIMARYPRECIPITATION TYPE FOR THIS REGION IS EXPECTED TO BE SNOW...ALTHOUGHLOCALIZED AREAS FROM EAST-CENTRAL IOWA INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS MAYEXPERIENCE PERIODS OF SLEET AS PRECIPITATION FALLS THROUGH A MODESTWARM LAYER /AROUND 0C/ AROUND 850 MB. OTHERWISE...AT LEAST ONE ORTWO BANDS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION...WITHLOCALIZED AREAS EXPERIENCING GREATER THAN ONE-INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALLRATES OVERNIGHT. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Snowing hard and sticking here! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Had a lull of -SN for about 30 minutes, but now back to high end moderate.Crossing over an inch now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Light rain. Freezing on elevated surfaces. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Been dumping here since the last post. Grass has disappeared. 2"+ easy Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Been dumping here since the last post. Grass has disappeared. 2"+ easyGlad you're getting hit well. I'm hoping to scrape out an inch or two tomorrow. Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 At 2" at about 11:25 Should make up some ground as the night goes on. Band doesn't look to lift north. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sleather Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 What a bust! The thing just fell apart Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 1, 2016 Report Share Posted March 1, 2016 Supposed to get 4-5 here now under a WWA. Coming down nicely Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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