chopper 918 Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Stalls right over Western WA.Of course. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 How brutal.... Happens a lot.... It's only one run though, and dozen or so to go before day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Are we talking about today's front? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Are we talking about today's front?Super stalled. Should bode well for later fronts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 I feel like we could see the upcoming "cold period" completely fall apart on future runs. That broad central US ridge doesn't want to budge. Messed up the weather this whole week too. Stalled fronts and endless SW flow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 So IDK how many times I have mentioned it, but those composite analog maps are completely pointless and do not mean anything. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 I feel like we could see the upcoming "cold period" completely fall apart on future runs. That broad central US ridge doesn't want to budge. Messed up the weather this whole week too. Stalled fronts and endless SW flow. I feel like we could see the upcoming "cold period" completely fall apart on future runs. That broad central US ridge doesn't want to budge. Messed up the weather this whole week too. Stalled fronts and endless SW flow. I agree. Lets wait until January Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Chilly afternoon here. Currently cloudy and 39F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 16th ever rainy football game at USC going on right now on ABC. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 I agree. Lets wait until JanuaryOr March! We always get 33 degree snow in March!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 https://www.grousemountain.com/web-cams/chalet-cam Mountains getting some nice wet snow right now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Minor details and still about 10 days out. Lots of model agreement that something good could happen. A good chance it will. We go through this every time, and more often than not we end up getting some very enjoyable snow and cold. Weenies need to take their Prozac or Pot cookies and chill out! Going to be fun watching this evolve! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 I agree. Lets wait until JanuaryIs that Cascade snow even still on tap? It feels like everything has managed to trend warm lately. Today has been an unexpected scorcher. MOS GFS was entertaining highs in the 40s for today as recently as yesterday afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Mt Baker has 60+ at the base and 79" at the top and that was as of this morning. Probably could add a foot to each total now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Is that Cascade snow even still on tap? It feels like everything has managed to trend warm lately. Today has been an unexpected scorcher. MOS GFS was entertaining highs in the 40s for today as recently as yesterday afternoon.We are getting plenty up here...you live too far south. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 We are getting plenty up here...you live too far south.We should switch places! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chopper 918 Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Is that Cascade snow even still on tap? It feels like everything has managed to trend warm lately. Today has been an unexpected scorcher. MOS GFS was entertaining highs in the 40s for today as recently as yesterday afternoon.Scorcher? It's 48 here after a high of 49 about an hour ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 The WRF continues to insist on significant cooling for the coming week. Now indicating a widespread hard frost Thursday night. Mostly highs in the 40s lows in the 30s all week. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 It's 45F and still raining. 1.59 inches of rain today so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 44*here right now. Down from 50 this morning. Pouring rain off and on all day. Gorgeous out. I enjoy this weather knowing something exciting is on the way. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 We should switch places! No. If anything I want to go north and east! Winthrop/twist/Carlton area...someday! Northern Snohomish Co will do for now however! Don't know what I would do without my pscz during winter events! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 I feel like we could see the upcoming "cold period" completely fall apart on future runs. That broad central US ridge doesn't want to budge. Messed up the weather this whole week too. Stalled fronts and endless SW flow.Patterns change. Seems clear there is at least going to be a more meridional component coming soon, which seems appropriate given how wet things have been. I think you're in a bit of a funk. The fact the models have trended warmer of late is symptomatic of the current pattern tendencies, don't read into it. It's the same folly as seeing things consistently trend colder in the short range and thinking it has some profound meaning. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Patterns change. Seems clear there is at least going to be a more meridional component coming soon, which seems appropriate given how wet things have been. I think you're in a bit of a funk. The fact the models have trended warmer of late is symptomatic of the current pattern tendencies, don't read into it. It's the same folly as seeing things consistently trend colder in the short range and thinking it has some profound meaning.Good points. I am indeed very tired of thinking we're finally done torching only to have us blow away another record warm month. A lasting pattern change would be very welcome. That is posoble even in our gradually warming climate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 The WRF continues to insist on significant cooling for the coming week. Now indicating a widespread hard frost Thursday night. Mostly highs in the 40s lows in the 30s all week.Models were showing a frost potential tonight just a few days ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 No. If anything I want to go north and east! Winthrop/twist/Carlton area...someday! Northern Snohomish Co will do for now however! Don't know what I would do without my pscz during winter events!Sultry summer evenings are harder to come by over there... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 26, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 I dunno, call me crazy, but I tend to think models may trend colder moving into the first week of December we'll have a tanking EPO, PNA, tropical forcing eastern IO, bitter cold finally moving to our side of the hemisphere. I'll go out on that limb. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. It's not like a possible cold spell falling apart would be a shock to any of us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Good points. I am indeed very tired of thinking we're finally done torching only to have us blow away another record warm month. A lasting pattern change would be very welcome. That is posoble even in our gradually warming climate. The inevitable run of highs in the teens in January will reflect a pattern change. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chopper 918 Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Models were showing a frost potential tonight just a few days ago. Hey look, frost! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 The inevitable run of highs in the teens in January will reflect a pattern change.God I wish... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 I dunno, call me crazy, but I tend to think models may trend colder moving into the first week of December we'll have a tanking EPO, PNA, tropical forcing eastern IO, bitter cold finally moving to our side of the hemisphere. I'll go out on that limb. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. It's not like a possible cold spell falling apart would be a shock to any of us.You're crazy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Models were showing a frost potential tonight just a few days ago.Yeah and -5c 850 mb temps for pdx in just a couple days... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 God I wish...Go CFS!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Yeah and -5c 850 mb temps for pdx in just a couple days...It's coming. Have you see day 10 on the models? Looks great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 Yeah and -5c 850 mb temps for pdx in just a couple days...Be careful Timmy or Jim will go off on you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 18z anyone? I'm at work... DJ must be napping... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 18z looks nice through hour 198. Offshore block healthier and plenty of cold air sliding South. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 18z anyone? I'm at work... DJ must be napping...I'm happy to hear that. I think he's been up the last 96 hours. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 GFS ALERT?! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 26, 2016 Report Share Posted November 26, 2016 This looks good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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