stuffradio Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 It's the most, wonderful time, of the year! This is the last month of the year. Sun angles start going up soon. We will soon reach our darkest day of the year, and then we start the spring forward toward spring! I love everything about the time from December to May. I'll stop talking about the future months for this month though. We appear to be finally headed towards having a chance at a normal, classic PNW winter for many or most members on this forum. Next week is the first hopeful opportunity of dozens for lowland snow this winter. It's the first day of meteorological winter tomorrow. Merry December everyone, and may December be snowy for all of us! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Enjoy the coming snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Going to be a fun month!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 December definitely always makes me think of spring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 30, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 December definitely always makes me think of spring.I was thinking of you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 I was thinking of you. Awe. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 30, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 December definitely always makes me think of spring.But seriously, I love everything about this time of the year starting December. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 But seriously, I love everything about this time of the year starting December.July-December is my favorite half of the year. Over soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 So what's the over/under on dollar costs for roof collapses in OR/WA for the month? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 So what's the over/under on dollar costs for roof collapses in OR/WA for the month? The snow will be too cold and fluffy and arctic to do much of that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 30, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 July-December is my favorite half of the year. Over soon. Probably because of the opposite reason why I love the time of the year I love. You don't like growing vegetables either I don't think, so that's probably why. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Abbotsford_wx Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Will we see any sunshine during the next week, and what days have the best chance? Tomorrow looks okay... maybe Monday, Tuesday? I've only recorded 13 hours of sunshine in November (and 28 days of rain). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I think this month will be better than the last 4 consecutively. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I hope the low temps next weeks continue trending cooler. I wouldn't argue with clear skies and temps in the low teens. http://i.imgur.com/I0l2lXC.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Here's the current forecast for Squamish. It has such a great climate. I gotta move there in the future. http://i.imgur.com/gvajpVc.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 The last several Euro runs have looked very different at days 5-7... wouldn't put much stock into one run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 In here fellas Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 On 00z EURO I am real encouraged with how much stronger the block was through day 5. Imagine if we see that rate of strengthening next 4-5 runs. Block was a bit stronger/healthier on GFS too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Where is the Wednesday precip on the latest euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Posted this in the other thread unknowing of the existence of this one. Here's the 500mb difference between the ECMWF and GFS. Note the increased GOA vorticity on the ECMWF vs the GFS. That's going to lead to a warmer solution during the second half of the run most likely, at least relative to the GFS. http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/93CB0B49-F252-4EC6-A344-0C15C4819473_zpsehs5zgit.png Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Nice snow event for PDX! 2-4" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Posted this in the other thread unknowing of the existence of this one. Here's the 500mb difference between the ECMWF and GFS. Note the increased GOA vorticity on the ECMWF vs the GFS. That's going to lead to a warmer solution during the second half of the run most likely, at least relative to the GFS. http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/93CB0B49-F252-4EC6-A344-0C15C4819473_zpsehs5zgit.pngIt's going to snow Phil!!! Snow! Do you understand how long it's been??? Snow!!!!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 It's going to snow Phil!!! Snow! Do you understand how long it's been??? Snow!!!!!Lol. Once those first flakes start falling, nothing is enough. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Looks like the overunning event is delayed a bit to Thursday AM. PDX still manages 2-5 inches as per euro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Looks like the overunning event is delayed a bit to Thursday AM. PDX still manages 2-5 inches as per euro. That might be better timing actually than Wednesday afternoon. Any snowfall maps to snow? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Day 9 - Much different. Things just got a bit interesting. Another low moving southeast off the Coast http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016120100/216/500h_anom.na.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016120100/ecmwf_T850_nwus_10.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Yeah, the Euro actually doesn't end up much warmer at all, and looks like a more realistic progression than GFS. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Yeah, the Euro actually doesn't end up much warmer at all, and looks like a more realistic progression than GFS.Widespread 4-6" of snow for PDX metro. 6z in 2 hours 33 minutes!!!! Who's ready for colder runs? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Yeah, the Euro actually doesn't end up much warmer at all, and looks like a more realistic progression than GFS. Not exactly inspiring though in the long range... http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls17/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls17-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-UOBudj.png Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 That might be better timing actually than Wednesday afternoon. Any snowfall maps to snow?Here you go Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Day 10 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016120100/240/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Here you go Can post WA/BC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Not exactly inspiring though in the long range... http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls17/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls17-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-UOBudj.pngLike I told Phil...its going to snow!! SNOW!! Do you understand how long it's been??? SNOW!!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 All this PDX snow talk on the ECMWF but how's the Puget Sound looking? Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 July-December is my favorite half of the year. Over soon. July-December is my favorite half of the year. Over soon. I would add January if it starts acting like January again. Then you have years like 1949 and 1985 that were very enjoyable (cold and dry) during the late winter and spring. In general though, I agree...late winter through spring kind of suck. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Totals for the transition event Thursday into Friday... I love the ECMWF. Its so accurate with the fine details. I know that Andrew's location mixes out quickly in transition events and the map above shows that well. So much more reliable. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Not exactly inspiring though in the long range... http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls17/data/data01/scratch/ps2png-atls17-95e2cf679cd58ee9b4db4dd119a05a8d-UOBudj.png Easily better than the 12z, leading up to that as well. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Easily better than the 12z, leading up to that as well. Definitely better before that... and that is way more meaningful. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 If this ends up being a great month we will have to rename the thread later. I think the big question is when will the climax come. Could be as early as Dec 10 or so or as late as early Jan IMO. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Totals for the transition event Thursday into Friday... I love the ECMWF. Its so accurate with the fine details. I know that Andrew's location mixes out quickly in transition events and the map above shows that well. So much more reliable. Yep shows that warm nose on the east side of the valley. I am JUST east of that brown, so maybe 2" and then a mix out. Salem would probably stay snow just as long...The map shows it...Looking at the 2m maps a friend was sending me I warm to 40 that evening, but by hour 210 I am back down into the low-mid 30s with cold onshore flow. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.