snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Easily better than the 12z, leading up to that as well. It's not terrible at day 10 that's for sure. A lot of chunks of blocking floating around. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Who's got a Washington Euro snowfall map they're willing to share? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 These recent runs are making it even harder to not model ride. This stuff is worse than crack. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Can post WA/BC Sorry, I only found that one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Who's got a Washington Euro snowfall map they're willing to share?Yup I would love to see a higher resolution map from the Euro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Who's got a Washington Euro snowfall map they're willing to share? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Who's got a Washington Euro snowfall map they're willing to share?Not bad. It's been quite awhile since the EURO has showed this much widespread snow over the lowlands of BC/WA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 What is this Canadian model? Snow totals through next week.http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016120100/210/sn10_acc.us_nw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Thanks for sharing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 IR Loop update We can now watch the pattern change unfolding in real-time. There's the deep low out near 45 N, 165 W that pumps up the ridge over us/offshore. The one we want to suppress quickly. The ridge that becomes the Aleutian ridge, and then GOA/Alaskan block is trailing behind it just out of view. Tomorrow we'll be able to track it as well. Loop http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?ir_common+12 http://www.atmos.washington.edu/images/sat_common/201612010630_ir.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Not bad. It's been quite awhile since the EURO has showed this much widespread snow over the lowlands of BC/WA The euro gives a few inches of snow to pretty much all of the BC/WA/OR low lands next week, when was the last time that happened? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 8-10" here on southern Vancouver Island. A little less than the wrf but I am not complaining. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Thank you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 The euro gives a few inches of snow to pretty much all of the BC/WA/OR low lands next week, when was the last time that happened?Honestly I'm not sure. It's been quite awhile. At no point during the last two seasons have I seen the EURO show such a wide spread event. Perhaps someone else can chime in . Snowwiz quiet tonight! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 6z in 2 hours!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Big hood canal snowfall on the Euro for Mr. Snowmizer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 6z in 2 hours!!!!I'll be up! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I'll be up!Same, I think. .... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Same, I think. ....What are your typical sleeping hours? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Big hood canal snowfall on the Euro for Mr. Snowmizer. Definitely a good chance they get hit pretty hard Wednesday/Thursday. WRF gives them close to a foot. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Euro keeps SEA in the mid 30's through Friday and gives them 2-3" of snow Thursday. Gives PDX about 6". 2 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Definitely a good chance they get hit pretty hard Wednesday/Thursday. WRF gives them close to a foot.You might have to call in sick and head to your parents' house! Send me a text message man I don't have your number anymore. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 What are your typical sleeping hours?Well hard to say. I basically sleep when my knee allows. Before that it was up in the air too because I'd produce music at all hours of the day or night. Often pulling all-nighters to get projects done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Snowy night in Rexburg, ID...2-3" expected. Temp 28. 2 Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Euro keeps SEA in the mid 30's through Friday and gives them 2-3" of snow Thursday. Gives PDX about 6".I look to get 5-7". The thing I like about the EURO is it keeps the east winds going through day 9 meaning it will be very hard for PDX to moderate, especially east of I-205. Add any snow cover, especially if its as widespread as the Euro suggests and we could have a fairly long lasting cold spell/wintry event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Yeah, the Euro actually doesn't end up much warmer at all, and looks like a more realistic progression than GFS.It's still weird looking to me. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 IR Loop update We can now watch the pattern change unfolding in real-time. There's the deep low out near 45 N, 165 W that pumps up the ridge over us/offshore. The one we want to suppress quickly. The ridge that becomes the Aleutian ridge, and then GOA/Alaskan block is trailing behind it just out of view. Tomorrow we'll be able to track it as well. Loop http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?ir_common+12 I was wondering when you would write this post. There is nothing that signifies the possible approach of a good storm like going to the satellite loop to "watch in real time." 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 If this ends up being a great month we will have to rename the thread later. I think the big question is when will the climax come. Could be as early as Dec 10 or so or as late as early Jan IMO.I'm leaning towards a February climax. If that fails, I then agree with your thoughts here. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I was wondering when you would write this post. There is nothing that signifies the possible approach of a good storm like going to the satellite loop to "watch in real time."Watching things unfolding in real-time and not having to solely rely on computer models is awesome. One of my favorite things. I will have this loop running constantly and stare at it to make things happen. I'll make that ridge suppress and block become stronger. I will "will" it to happen, or...... I'll go crazy....... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Totals for the transition event Thursday into Friday... I love the ECMWF. Its so accurate with the fine details. I know that Andrew's location mixes out quickly in transition events and the map above shows that well. So much more reliable. This set-up looks much better than the early January event this past Winter here at PDX. There I got 3 inches so anything short of that is unacceptable. Moisture looks to be even better this time around. I want at least 6 inches, preferably 8-12 inches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 This set-up looks much better than the early January event this past Winter here at PDX. There I got 3 inches so anything short of that is unacceptable. Moisture looks to be even better this time around. I want at least 6 inches, preferably 8-12 inches.Well as we all know beggars CAN be choosers! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 There I got 3 inches so anything short of that is unacceptable. Moisture looks to be even better this time around. I want at least 6 inches, preferably 8-12 inches.That's what she said. 2 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I'm hoping for 35.6" myself, which would beat my 2008-09 total and relegate it to the loser file of history. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 CPC Day 10-14 Northern Hemisphere Blocking ForecastLooks very promising http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/blocking/real_time_nh/forecast_3_nh.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Blocking looks to move into most favorable position at the end of week 2! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 00z EPS out...... Through day 7 - 850mb temp anomaly coldest run yet by far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 That's what she said.Ooof lol. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Model comparison850mb temp anomaly 00z last night compared to tonight. Coldest frame Last nighthttp://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf-ens/2016113000/ecmwf-ens_T850a_wus_8.png and tonight's 00z. MUCH COLDER. I wish I could see the frame for 12z it would be even colder yet.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf-ens/2016120100/ecmwf-ens_T850a_wus_7.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 6z GFSBegins in.... 10 minutes In case anyone is still awake. I have no idea what this run will offer. I am hoping the trend of a stronger GOA block holding just a bit longer is what we see. I also hope we see the ridge over us/offshore backing away slightly faster. I am pretty exhausted, so I am not sure how quickly I will be doing analysis or posting charts. Feel free to play along (You may need to refresh pages)Northwest view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nwus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197North America view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=namer&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197North Pacific view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=npac&pkg=z500_mslp&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197Alaska view - http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=ak&pkg=T850&runtime=2016112912&fh=0&xpos=0&ypos=197 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I'm hoping the small details that lead to more snow monday/tuesday and again for the overrunning event start to gain some traction... lets go snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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