March 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF is just non-stop rain forever.   There is just not one nice day in sight up here in WA.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Even down in Youjeen?

Yolo

[Jesse]

Yolo

This doesn't answer my kwestchun!

[MossMan]

12Z ECMWF is just non-stop rain forever. There is just not one nice day in sight up here in WA.

Literally makes me ill. Might need to book a vacation far away from here.

[Bryant]

12Z ECMWF is just non-stop rain forever. There is just not one nice day in sight up here in WA.

Was to be expected, but you'll be sure to tell us all about it anyways!

[TT-SEA]

Was to be expected, but you'll be sure to tell us all about it anyways!

 

So don't report what the models show on a weather forum?   

[TT-SEA]

Literally makes me ill. Might need to book a vacation far away from here.

 

Yeah... we have Palm Springs coming up very soon here.  

 

Making me anxious as well not being able to get outside and do yard work.   We can't even get a single nice day.  

[TT-SEA]

Day 9 and 10 on the 12Z ECMWF would be quite nice finally.   Takes a sharp trough to break this endless moisture train.    I believe this is also why Jesse is looking for troughing... its often the best way to get decent weather in March and April since a strong ridging is much more rare. 

 

http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls15/data/data02/scratch/ps2png-atls15-a82bacafb5c306db76464bc7e824bb75-z0R8ms.png

 

http://stream.ecmwf.int/data/atls15/data/data02/scratch/ps2png-atls15-a82bacafb5c306db76464bc7e824bb75-i4Tsx_.png

 

[epiceast]

Yeah... we have Palm Springs coming up very soon here.  

 

Making me anxious as well not being able to get outside and do yard work.   We can't even get a single nice day.  

Do you really need to, or are you just trying to one up your neighbors with your new shrubbery?

[stuffradio]

12Z GFS showing a 60F high for Abbotsford on Wednesday,  but it will be wet at the same time.

 

On another note, Cliff Mass and the coldest winter in a generation!

 

http://cliffmass.blogspot.ca/2017/03/the-coldest-winter-in-generation-for.html

[TT-SEA]

Do you really need to, or are you just trying to one up your neighbors with your new shrubbery?

We really need to right now... way behind.

 

And we love it. One of our favorite activities on a nice day. It therapeutic and good for the soul.

[stuffradio]

Do you really need to, or are you just trying to one up your neighbors with your new shrubbery?

You're not really living unless you are trying to one up your neighbours with new shrubbery.

[Karl Bonner]

Native hillside grasses are greening up near The Dalles now.  All the lawns and undeveloped patches of ground looked badly beaten up two weeks ago.  Now in the past week or so, everything is finally bouncing back to normal "pre-spring mode". 

 

No daffodils or plum or magnolia but there were frogs the last couple nights.  I bet the Bank of the West daffodils will be in bloom in the next few days though - they are ALWAYS one of the earliest in town.  Unless we get more 60+ days in the next couple weeks, I doubt we see any magnolias or plums until almost April this year.

[Jesse]

Native hillside grasses are greening up near The Dalles now. All the lawns and undeveloped patches of ground looked badly beaten up two weeks ago. Now in the past week or so, everything is finally bouncing back to normal "pre-spring mode".

 

No daffodils or plum or magnolia but there were frogs the last couple nights. I bet the Bank of the West daffodils will be in bloom in the next few days though - they are ALWAYS one of the earliest in town. Unless we get more 60+ days in the next couple weeks, I doubt we see any magnolias or plums until almost April this year.

So what I get from this is that everything is right on schedule but way behind.

[HighlandExperience]

12Z GFS showing a 60F high for Abbotsford on Wednesday, but it will be wet at the same time.

 

On another note, Cliff Mass and the coldest winter in a generation!

 

http://cliffmass.blogspot.ca/2017/03/the-coldest-winter-in-generation-for.html

I'm waiting for the day when we see the "snowiest" winter in a generation.

[Jesse]

Day 9 and 10 on the 12Z ECMWF would be quite nice finally. Takes a sharp trough to break this endless moisture train. I believe this is also why Jesse is looking for troughing... its often the best way to get decent weather in March and April since a strong ridging is much more rare.

 

 

Yeah, I really wish the cold pattern originally progged for this week would have panned out. Would have likely set us up for much nicer weather later on. Probably a chilly night/sunny mild day pattern, which is my favorite this time of year. But the trough dug way offshore instead and the southern jet took over. Now the Pacific is a total mess and our offshore ridge is unrecognizable.

[Jesse]

I'm waiting for the day when we see the "snowiest" winter in a generation.

Did you live here 8 years ago?

[Geos]

Yesterday was a fantastic day. Made it to 52° here. Today it sure flipped back. 0.23" of rain so far.

[Jesse]

PDX up to 56. The torch continues.

[Jesse]

Hopefully we will be able to break out of this horrible pattern eventually.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

PDX up to 56. The torch continues.

That is like an average high this time of year.

[Jesse]

That is like an average high this time of year.

Winter cancel. I heard Mark is licking off his fork...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Winter cancel. I heard Mark is licking off his fork...

He stuck a fork in winter 2 weeks ago. Then Salem got 2" of snow.

[Jesse]

He stuck a fork in winter 2 weeks ago. Then Salem got 2" of snow.

Mark would whip that fork out in October if he could.

[snow_wizard]

Did you live here 8 years ago?

2008-09 was still far short of the old time big winters.

[HighlandExperience]

Did you live here 8 years ago?

I lived in Seattle in 08. That was a great season. I'd still love to see something like 1950 or 1968.

[snow_wizard]

The ensemble continues to advertise a fair cold snap a week or so down the road. there have consistently been members dropping to the -7 to -9 range with that. Pretty likely we haven't seen our last lowland snow chance.

[snow_wizard]

I lived in Seattle in 08. That was a great season. I'd still love to see something like 1950 or 1968.

I would have ranked 1971-72, 1985-86, 1988-89 and many earlier ones above 2008-09 also.

[Geos]

S winds really gusting out there now. Temp up to 49°

[Tenochtitlan]

I would have ranked 1971-72, 1985-86, 1988-89 and many earlier ones above 2008-09 also.

I'd love to have seen November 1985. It's amazing that Seattle could have seen such a long period of cold with two big snowstorms in November, I never saw anything quite like that when I lived there, even in December or January.

[HighlandExperience]

I'd love to have seen November 1985. It's amazing that Seattle could have seen such a long period of cold with two big snowstorms in November, I never saw anything quite like that when I lived there, even in December or January.

Something like that would be amazing.

[Tenochtitlan]

Something like that would be amazing.

Definitely. It would be like what Portland saw this January, but with two storms.

[seattleweatherguy]

The ensemble continues to advertise a fair cold snap a week or so down the road. there have consistently been members dropping to the -7 to -9 range with that. Pretty likely we haven't seen our last lowland snow chance.

Good very good.

[MossMan]

I'd love to have seen November 1985. It's amazing that Seattle could have seen such a long period of cold with two big snowstorms in November, I never saw anything quite like that when I lived there, even in December or January.

I was here and 9yrs old...it was amazing!

[Jesse]

2008-09 was still far short of the old time big winters.

Sure, but it was still the snowiest winter in a generation.

[luminen]

I think it's safe to say we're done with the snow until next season. It's been a nice winter. 

 

Today has been 43F and pouring rain... 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Be thankful for what you have

[Tenochtitlan]

I'm excited for "thunderstorm season" if you can call it that. I've actually only heard thunder/seen lightning once in the two years I've lived in Bellingham (like three flashes total), which is pretty sad.

[Deweydog]

Wash your hands after using the restroom

[TT-SEA]

Did the federal or state government completely end trash pick up along the freeways?   We drove up to Bellingham and back and there is an extraordinary amount of trash along all 3 freeways we used... the worst being I-5.   I have never seen it even close to this bad here.

 

Is this the result of bad weather or maybe Trump?    Its looks terrible.