August 2017 PNW Discussion Thread

[Jesse]

The GFS was off it's rocker on the hot side. Seems unlikely we'd see 4-6 days at or above 100 degreez in early September.

Yeah, the GFS really had nowhere to go but down assuming we aren't going to see something completely unprecedented.

[Phil]

Corpus Christi is going underwater already according to this live stream.

 

https://livestormchasing.com/stream/brandon.clement

[Front Ranger]

The GFS was off it's rocker on the hot side. Seems unlikely we'd see 4-6 days at or above 100 degreez in early September.

 

No doubt. I didn't say the trend was unexpected. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Someone needs to transport some cold Pacific water to the Gulf of Mexico.

[Deweydog]

No doubt. I didn't say the trend was unexpected.

Nothing is unexpected in Flattyland.

[stuffradio]

Overall, the trend is warmer on some days and colder in others from the past 24 hours.

 

 

[Front Ranger]

Nothing is unexpected in Flattyland.

True. I expected you'd come back with a mild barb, and sure enough you did!

[Jesse]

Very little ensemble support for the 12z Euro solution beyond day 7. Mean looks much hotter.

[Deweydog]

True. I expected you'd come back with a mild barb, and sure enough you did!

I expected you'd come back indicating an expectation of a mild barb. You're rubbing off on me! Gross.

[Deweydog]

********COLD PLAY HAS CANCELLED TONIGHT'S SHOW IN HOUSTON********

[Front Ranger]

********COLD PLAY HAS CANCELLED TONIGHT'S SHOW IN HOUSTON********

Turns out the eclipse really was the beginning of the end.

[Phil]

Radar is depicting a swath of monsterous winds up to 145mph just offshore, about to move in near Rockport. This is mentioned in the "extreme wind warning" just issued.

 

Flight level winds are over 150mph now. Harvey is trying to achieve cat4 status just before landfall.

[Jesse]

Isn't there like a hurricane thread or something?

[BLI snowman]

Isn't there like a hurricane thread or something?

But Mom!!! I want to talk about warm anomalies some more!!!!!

[Front Ranger]

Radar is depicting a swath of monsterous winds up to 145mph just offshore, about to move in near Rockport. This is mentioned in the "extreme wind warning" just issued.

 

Flight level winds are over 150mph now. Harvey is trying to achieve cat4 status just before landfall.

 

Couple tornado warnings as well north of the eye. Harvey has really slowed to a crawl. Gonna be a long night for south TX.

[Deweydog]

But Mom!!! I want to talk about warm anomalies some more!!!!!

Some decent negative departures associated with the storm.

[Kayla]

Isn't there like a hurricane thread or something?

 

Cat 4 now.

[Phil]

Couple tornado warnings as well north of the eye. Harvey has really slowed to a crawl. Gonna be a long night for south TX.

Harvey is now a category 4. Strengthening right up to landfall.

[Deweydog]

Looks like they're catching a little break with a fairly unpopulated landfall.

[BLI snowman]

Harvey is a Cat 4 now. The speed has also slowed a ton. Anyone who didn't evacuate around Aransas County is a dead duck.

[BLI snowman]

Some decent negative departures associated with the storm.

The rain-cooled air down there would feel pretty nice.

[Phil]

Harvey is a Cat 4 now. The speed has also slowed a ton. Anyone who didn't evacuate around Aransas County is a dead duck.

Yep, unfortunately most of the roads off the coastal areas are now submerged.

[Kayla]

Only about 1.5 hours of daylight left in TX so this is one of the last visible satellite pics you'll see of Harvey at its peak before landfall. There was a ton of strengthening in the just the last few hours and can now see a well defined massive eye wall. Just a monster of a storm.

 

[Jesse]

But Mom!!! I want to talk about warm anomalies some more!!!!!

This hurricane is interesting. I guess I would just prefer to have the posts tracking it all in one place, rather than mixed in with model discussion/observations for our area. Doesn't seem unreasonable. Maybe I'm just a typical out of touch mom.

[weatherfan2012]

Looks like a hurricane hitting Texas in 6 days on the 12Z ECMWF... or is that still Harvey?    <_>

 

that still Harvey as its going to stall out for a few days before being pick up by a front next week.

[Phil]

This hurricane is interesting. I guess I would just prefer to have the posts tracking it all in one place, rather than mixed in with model discussion/observations for our area. Doesn't seem unreasonable. Maybe I'm just a typical out of touch mom.

Mama Jesse.

[Jesse]

Mama Jesse.

 

Let's keep your personal fetishes out of this.

[Phil]

Let's keep your personal fetishes out of this.

I blame Flatiron.

[Phil]

Posted in the other thread, but yikes:

 

https://www.pscp.tv/w/1zqKVRbYXWWKB

[Front Ranger]

Posted in the other thread, but yikes:

 

https://www.pscp.tv/w/1zqKVRbYXWWKB

 

Jeez. Roof blew off the building, then he gets out of his car, all sorts of flying by. And then feed goes dead. 

 

Hope he's ok.

[James Jones]

Jeez. Roof blew off the building, then he gets out of his car, all sorts of s**t flying by. And then feed goes dead. 

 

Hope he's ok.

 

Cell towers might have gone down. I'm surprised he had service for as long as he did.

[crf450ish]

Apparently a 103 year old dry streak record is ready to be broken. Man I heard the global warming back then was nothing to f*** with.......

[wx_statman]

It's official. Cat 4 landfall @ 130 mph.

[Front Ranger]

Reports of extensive, devastating damage in Rockport.

[Phil]

Jeff's video stream was freaky. The building just blew apart around him like a bomb went off.

[Phil]

Rockport high school has been "leveled", according to reports. Josh's hotel lost an entire wall and the stairwell separated from the rest of the hotel as the entire building was trying to tip over.

 

Holy fook.

[Kayla]

Jeff's video stream was freaky. The building just blew apart around him like a bomb went off.

 

That video is downright scary. It looked like he became super exposed after that structure collapsed. Really hope he's okay.

[Front Ranger]

0z GFS shows Harvey meandering inland far enough that flooding could be an issue in San Antonio and Austin as well.

[BLI snowman]

Rockport high school has been "leveled", according to reports. Josh's hotel lost an entire wall and the stairwell separated from the rest of the hotel as the entire building was trying to tip over.

 

Holy fook.

You know it's pretty intense when he sounds impressed. He was in Haiyan and Patricia.

[TT-SEA]

Rockport high school has been "leveled", according to reports. Josh's hotel lost an entire wall and the stairwell separated from the rest of the hotel as the entire building was trying to tip over.

 

Holy fook.

 

Rockport high school was a solid building...