TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 That wasn't trolling. It was spoofing your trolling of Jim. Spoofing me trolling is sort of trolling itself. Its what we do best here! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 I like a little drama... I going to stay up until the 00Z ECMWF gets to 168 hours just to see if I jinxed myself. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 I like a little drama... I going to stay up until the 00Z ECMWF gets to 168 hours just to see if I jinxed myself.I'm going to predict a small shift towards the GFS solution. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 I'm going to predict a small shift towards the GFS solution. Possibly. Usually when I think I have things figured out... I get completely burned. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Possibly. Usually when I think I have things figured out... I get completely burned. The most important run of the season. King Euro! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 The most important run of the season. King Euro! Not important at all... other than wanting to see if it burns me. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 This could set the tone for this winter, maybe next. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Not important at all... other than wanting to see if it burns me. I am not talking about you, I am talking about me. We all wait to see if you get burned. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 I am not talking about you, I am talking about me. We all wait to see if you get burned.Good news for you... 96 hours is looking farther to the SW with trough. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 (.. cross-reference.) http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1648-fall-2017-colder-air-mass-movement-and-distribution-projections/?p=259268 Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Speeding up... and deeper at 120 hours. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Weenie justice is being served!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Looks like a fantastic week of leaf turning weather is in store. Already down to 45 here tonight. Kind of interesting the 0z ensemble is much flatter with the warming 850s this week. Also another cool shot showing up in the mean after the one this coming weekend. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Weenie justice is being served!!! Sort of... quicker to return to ridging too. Next Sunday looks much more ridgy now. For comparison... here was next Sunday on the 00Z ECMWF last night. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Speeding up... and deeper at 120 hours.All about how that cutoff low drifts around. Probably why the models have been having such fits. The farther southwest it retrogrades, not interfering with the northern jet, the farther SW the trough seems to dig out of Canada and over us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 All about how that cutoff low drifts around. Probably why the models have been having such fits. The farther southwest it retrogrades, not interfering with the northern jet, the farther SW the trough seems to dig out of Canada and over us. Yep. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 All about how that cutoff low drifts around. Probably why the models have been having such fits. The farther southwest it retrogrades, not interfering with the northern jet, the farther SW the trough seems to dig out of Canada and over us.Or visa versa, it cuts southwest because it's more separated from the northern jet. And it's more separated from the jet when the subtropical East-Pacific ridge is weaker. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Or visa versa, it cuts southwest because it's more separated from the northern jet.Chicken or egg sort of thing I suppose. It's vice versa, by the way. Common mistake but it's a pet peeve of mine. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted October 2, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Chicken or egg sort of thing I suppose. It's vice versa, by the way. Common mistake but it's a pet peeve of mine. Until you pointed it out, I read it as vice versa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Sort of... quicker to return to ridging too. Next Sunday looks much more ridgy now. For comparison... here was next Sunday on the 00Z ECMWF last night. Massive differences all over the place. What a terrible model. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 ECMWF is certainly not a cool run... most of the days are at or above normal at the 850mb level. WeatherBell maps show virtually no precip for the next 10 days. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Massive differences all over the place. What a terrible model. Its certainly leads the way over the other models most of the time... the best we got! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 ECMWF is certainly not a cool run... most of the days are at or above normal at the 850mb level. WeatherBell maps show virtually no precip for the next 10 days. Looks like a good amount of energy at Day 10. It's going to be a long nine months. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 ECMWF is certainly not a cool run... most of the days are at or above normal at the 850mb level. WeatherBell maps show virtually no precip for the next 10 days.I don't know why but when I read this you sound out of breath. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Anyone headed to the 00z Euro after party? I hear there's a Chumbawamba tribute band playing. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Until you pointed it out, I read it as vice versa. I did too. The eyes tell you what you want to see. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Looks like a good amount of energy at Day 10. It's going to be a long nine months. Weak attempt at trolling. Day 10 and nice-looking storm at that. Even 2 dry days a week for the next few months keeps me happy. I expect precip almost all of November and December. It does not get long until late March and April. And May many times. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Glad you took that one in stride. And yeah like I said it's a really common mistake. Latin IS a dead tongue I suppose.Yeah, there's no way I was Flatironing my way out of that. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Weak attempt at trolling. Day 10 and nice-looking storm at that. Even 2 dry days a week for the next few months keeps me happy. I expect precip almost all of November and December. It does not get long until late March and April. And May many times. Yes, I'm sure North Bend is going to be so dry the next nine months The plants and lawns and mosses are all going to be dying. I have a coworker from near there and he said that it's so brown that he couldn't tell the grass from the bark and that the water restrictions are causing everybody to have to take baths in Snoqualmie Falls!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Yes, I'm sure North Bend is going to be so dry the next nine months The plants and lawns and mosses are all going to be dying. I have a coworker from near there and he said that it's so brown that he couldn't tell the grass from the bark and that the water restrictions are causing everybody to have to take baths in Snoqualmie Falls!! Okie dokie. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 From Wunderground: A phenomenal 64.58” of rain observed at the Texas town of Nederland during Hurricane Harvey is the new rainfall recordduring a tropical cyclone at any U.S. location, according to new data released Wednesday by the National Weather Service. The 64.58” beats out the 52” recorded at a ranger station on Kauai, Hawaii, during Tropical Cyclone Hiki in August 1950. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 From Wunderground: A phenomenal 64.58” of rain observed at the Texas town of Nederland during Hurricane Harvey is the new rainfall recordduring a tropical cyclone at any U.S. location, according to new data released Wednesday by the National Weather Service. The 64.58” beats out the 52” recorded at a ranger station on Kauai, Hawaii, during Tropical Cyclone Hiki in August 1950.That's unfathomable. Imagine if it was snow! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Chicken or egg sort of thing I suppose. It's vice versa, by the way. Common mistake but it's a pet peeve of mine. visa versa sounds something like Ricky would say Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Not going to get to worried about some ridging in early October. , Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Not going to get to worried about some ridging in early October. , Thats the spirit! It is pretty miserable to have some sunny days and chilly nights as the leaves are changing and the scenery is beautiful. You can make it through this hellish period though with a good attitude. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 23 degrees in Lind, wa this morning. State low I believe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 Thats the spirit! It is pretty miserable to have some sunny days and chilly nights as the leaves are changing and the scenery is beautiful. You can make it through this hellish period though with a good attitude. I still have some things to do in the yard, so mild weather would be appreciated . I think we'll do fine this winter Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted October 2, 2017 Report Share Posted October 2, 2017 That's unfathomable. Imagine if it was snow! Truly. We're considered a wet climate and PDX has never seen that much rain in a year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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