Jesse Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Shiver me timbers. I’m loving what the SSW has done as far as shaking up the overall regime. Would be nice if it stuck. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 I’m loving what the SSW has done as far as shaking up the overall regime. Would be nice if it stuck.For a few years. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 I’m loving what the SSW has done as far as shaking up the overall regime. Would be nice if it stuck.Who's to say it won't? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Widespread means all of W. Washington or most of NW Oregon. Favored C-zone areas could do well. But there will be many places in W. Oregon and W. WA that do not see anything more than a dusting. Seattle Metro area getting snow would be a localized event. Olympia to BLI would qualify as widespread. There's very rarely a guarantee of snow from OLM to BLI. Semantics aside, "widespread" lowland snowfall looks about as likely as you'll ever see with the coming pattern, aside from something like Dec 2008. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Dumping snow here down to 36 from a High of 40. Easily the heaviest snow of the winter here. Not sticking though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 18z American looks pretty darn close to the past couple runs at hour 72. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Dumping snow here down to 36 from a High of 40. Easily the heaviest snow of the winter here. Not sticking thoughThe fact that the weather sequence the last few days has overachieved so much ( strong continental intrusion Monday, very cold temps yesterday morning then unexpected snow with the front) bodes well for the later stuff IMO. This pattern change has some teeth. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 GFS looking nice for the North Sound. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Other than the ECMWF, the other models have been very consistent in showing very little precip in the valley down here due to a clearly defined snow/rain shadow. Should be the usual precip runs out just as it gets cold enough drill we are used to here. Hopefully we get something midweek to override the cold and drop a few inches. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 GFS looking nice for the North Sound. Moves timing up a few hours for the front, too. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 This was just posted on Twitter "After reviewing the latest models I can confidently say that it's an ideal pattern for a 1,000 ft snow level. No widespread snow at sea level, but somebody could hit the convergence zone lottery on Sunday. Also of interest--will the 1600+day streak of 32+ deg highs end Monday? If any of these "ridge roller" type storms (Lance Bosart term) ends up stronger than currently forecast, it will simply erode the cold air faster. No source of additional arctic air after Monday". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Pessimism/optimism. Which to choose!!!?!!!?! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 This was just posted on Twitter "After reviewing the latest models I can confidently say that it's an ideal pattern for a 1,000 ft snow level. No widespread snow at sea level, but somebody could hit the convergence zone lottery on Sunday. Also of interest--will the 1600+day streak of 32+ deg highs end Monday? If any of these "ridge roller" type storms (Lance Bosart term) ends up stronger than currently forecast, it will simply erode the cold air faster. No source of additional arctic air after Monday". By who? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 The 18Z GFS is coming in stronger and colder with the Sunday system, which could translate to more snow for many. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Pessimism/optimism. Which to choose!!!?!!!?!Big P. Just because pessimism and realism are synonymous, of course. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 This was just posted on Twitter "After reviewing the latest models I can confidently say that it's an ideal pattern for a 1,000 ft snow level. No widespread snow at sea level, but somebody could hit the convergence zone lottery on Sunday. Also of interest--will the 1600+day streak of 32+ deg highs end Monday? If any of these "ridge roller" type storms (Lance Bosart term) ends up stronger than currently forecast, it will simply erode the cold air faster. No source of additional arctic air after Monday". What a dooosh. Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 By who?I'm not at liberty to divulge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Seattle hasn't had a sub freezing high since January 2012?! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 hmmmm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 18z is better through 144 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 18z is a lot closer with the Tuesday system... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Seattle hasn't had a sub freezing high since January 2012?! SEA had 3 in 2013-14. Came close several times last winter with two highs of 33 and two of 34. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Need that low to cut south a bit. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 18z is a lot closer with the Tuesday system... ICON and GEM have toyed with bringing it closer or curling it back NE towards us from the south in previous runs. Maybe we are trending there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 This was just posted on Twitter "After reviewing the latest models I can confidently say that it's an ideal pattern for a 1,000 ft snow level. No widespread snow at sea level, but somebody could hit the convergence zone lottery on Sunday. Also of interest--will the 1600+day streak of 32+ deg highs end Monday? If any of these "ridge roller" type storms (Lance Bosart term) ends up stronger than currently forecast, it will simply erode the cold air faster. No source of additional arctic air after Monday". Not on Sunday and Monday. It'll be lower than that. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 ICON and GEM have toyed with bringing it closer or curling it back NE towards us from the south in previous runs. Maybe we are trending there. ICON...ICAN! 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 I REALLY like the 18z Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 SEA had 3 in 2013-14. Came close several times last winter with two highs of 33 and two of 34. I should have done my math better on that.... Historically does SEA have fewer sub freezing days than PDX, SLE, or EUG because of their proximity to the water? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 I REALLY like the 18zDale likes the taste! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Worked up in Rododendren today. 5-7 inches up there this morning. It never got below 32 degrees on the way up, so the snow was wet and heavy and slick as snot. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Moves timing up a few hours for the front, too. gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_16.pngYes please!BTW I still have snow at work! Suprised how slow it’s melting now compared to this morning. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 They delayed opening Golden Corral AGAIN! So much for dining on hospital food and watching the heavy snowfall Sunday evening... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Just a fantastic run. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 They delayed opening Golden Corral AGAIN! So much for dining on hospital food and watching the heavy snowfall Sunday evening...Where is this Golden Corral at? They're finally opening Cracka Barrels up here too. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Just a fantastic run.The mystique of My Location™ may soon be resurrected. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Just a fantastic run.Yeah you're going to get buried. Tons of orographics in your favor. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Where is this Golden Corral at? They're finally opening Cracka Barrels up here too.NE Vancouver. The opening has been delayed several times this fall/winter. I can't help but think the delays and our sluggish winter are somehow connected. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 Just a fantastic run. Doesn't show much lowland snow south of Seattle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 14, 2018 Report Share Posted February 14, 2018 They delayed opening Golden Corral AGAIN! So much for dining on hospital food and watching the heavy snowfall Sunday evening...Last time I was at the Golden Corral was in January 2012, we had just come from the hospital, we were visiting my dying step dad. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.