SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 17, 2018 Report Share Posted February 17, 2018 Down to 43. Nws calling for 4-9” in the foothills above 800’ Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2018 I would have to search some posts but I don't think Tim has ever called Jim delicious.I don't think Jim would taste that good. He strikes me as a sweater. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 17, 2018 Report Share Posted February 17, 2018 A true MinnesotanYep! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 17, 2018 Report Share Posted February 17, 2018 When you want everyone to be certain how normal you are that is usually a dead giveaway. I'm just relieved he stopped by to let us know he's enjoying himself. I was a little concerned he'd be growing tired of Hawaii by now, and start longing for some winter weather in February. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2018 Down to 53 at PDX. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 17, 2018 Report Share Posted February 17, 2018 I don't think Jim would taste that good. He strikes me as a sweater. I've tried really hard to avoid thinking about how members here taste. Thanks a lot. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I've tried really hard to avoid thinking about how members here taste. Thanks a lot.Is it really that bad considering we talk so frequently about warm noses, wet bulbs, backdoor penetration and anal logs? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I don't think Jim would taste that good. He strikes me as a sweater.He always struck me as a scarf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 He always struck me as a scarf.A must have for flash freezes! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 FXUS66 KSEW 180005 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 405 PM PST Sat Feb 17 2018 .SYNOPSIS...The low center which brought today`s active weather will exit east this evening. A modified arctic cold front will move southward through Western Washington late tonight and early Sunday, bringing the possibility of lowland snow followed by strong north winds. Dry conditions are expected from late Sunday through Tuesday with cold temperatures remaining in place. Another system could slide in from the northwest around next Wednesday, with light snow possible. More systems are possible on Friday and Saturday, with light precipitation and low snow levels. && .SHORT TERM...Deepening 996 mb surface low is now over northeast Washington and exiting east. Therefore, strong westerly wind over the forecast area will ever so slowly start to ease over the next few hours. Heavy snow over the Cascades will also ease, though a Puget Sound Convergence Zone may keep Stevens Pass going strong for a while longer. With today`s heavy snow and strong wind, an Avalanche Warning is also in effect for a few more hours in the Cascades. In the wake of today`s low center, a a continental polar air mass will quickly spread south through interior B.C. and come pouring out of the Fraser later tonight. The BLI-CYWL gradient is forecast to peak near -20 mb on Sunday morning, making this a strong Fraser Outflow event. Strong north- northeast winds will ensue, most notably near Bellingham, the San Juans, and around to Admiralty Inlet. Other places will be breezy as well. The windiness from the less common northerly direction will have greater tree impacts than a similar south wind. A modified arctic front will spread south and southwest through Western Washington early Sunday morning, with localized frontal convergence and orographic lift leading to some lowland snow accumulations. The average forecast snowfall up and down the I-5 corridor will be about 1 to 2 inches. However, all meso models show a distinct hole in the snowfall pattern from Poulsbo over to Seattle, likely from precip shadowing downwind of the Olympics in northwest flow aloft. So that is why the Bremerton and Seattle forecast zones are excluded from the Winter Weather Advisory over the lowlands. Some local enhancement of snow is expected just away from the water near Port Angeles due to north-northeast wind upsloping against the north slope of the Olympics, so the forecast there is for 2-4 inches of snow. The front will be followed by the coldest air mass of this winter. A hard freeze is expected areawide on Sunday night, with Monday night likely being the coldest night of the upcoming cold spell. At least the cold will come with drier weather. The last showers will taper off over the Cascades on Sunday night or Monday, with dry weather expected Monday and Monday night. The NAM and GFS keep Tuesday dry as well. The ECMWF tries to develop a warm advection nose of precip over Western Washington on Tue. Since only two of the GFS ensemble`s 20 members show precip at HQM on Tuesday, have kept PoPs on the low side. If any precip does occur on Tue, it would still be cold enough for snow, even at the coast. Haner .LONG TERM...A cool northwest flow pattern will continue from Wed through Sat. A system diving down from the northwest on Wed could very well spread light precip across Western Washington, with light snowfall accumulations. A lull in precip is possible Thu. More precip with more weak shortwaves on Fri and Sat. The 12z ECMWF was colder than the 12z GFS, but the 18z GFS seems to be coming around to a cooler solution. This would keep snow levels at or below 1000 feet, a situation of the snow threat continuing on higher lowland hills but less so at sea level. Haner 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 FXUS66 KSEW 180005 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 405 PM PST Sat Feb 17 2018 .SYNOPSIS...The low center which brought today`s active weather will exit east this evening. A modified arctic cold front will move southward through Western Washington late tonight and early Sunday, bringing the possibility of lowland snow followed by strong north winds. Dry conditions are expected from late Sunday through Tuesday with cold temperatures remaining in place. Another system could slide in from the northwest around next Wednesday, with light snow possible. More systems are possible on Friday and Saturday, with light precipitation and low snow levels. && .SHORT TERM...Deepening 996 mb surface low is now over northeast Washington and exiting east. Therefore, strong westerly wind over the forecast area will ever so slowly start to ease over the next few hours. Heavy snow over the Cascades will also ease, though a Puget Sound Convergence Zone may keep Stevens Pass going strong for a while longer. With today`s heavy snow and strong wind, an Avalanche Warning is also in effect for a few more hours in the Cascades. In the wake of today`s low center, a a continental polar air mass will quickly spread south through interior B.C. and come pouring out of the Fraser later tonight. The BLI-CYWL gradient is forecast to peak near -20 mb on Sunday morning, making this a strong Fraser Outflow event. Strong north- northeast winds will ensue, most notably near Bellingham, the San Juans, and around to Admiralty Inlet. Other places will be breezy as well. The windiness from the less common northerly direction will have greater tree impacts than a similar south wind. A modified arctic front will spread south and southwest through Western Washington early Sunday morning, with localized frontal convergence and orographic lift leading to some lowland snow accumulations. The average forecast snowfall up and down the I-5 corridor will be about 1 to 2 inches. However, all meso models show a distinct hole in the snowfall pattern from Poulsbo over to Seattle, likely from precip shadowing downwind of the Olympics in northwest flow aloft. So that is why the Bremerton and Seattle forecast zones are excluded from the Winter Weather Advisory over the lowlands. Some local enhancement of snow is expected just away from the water near Port Angeles due to north-northeast wind upsloping against the north slope of the Olympics, so the forecast there is for 2-4 inches of snow. The front will be followed by the coldest air mass of this winter. A hard freeze is expected areawide on Sunday night, with Monday night likely being the coldest night of the upcoming cold spell. At least the cold will come with drier weather. The last showers will taper off over the Cascades on Sunday night or Monday, with dry weather expected Monday and Monday night. The NAM and GFS keep Tuesday dry as well. The ECMWF tries to develop a warm advection nose of precip over Western Washington on Tue. Since only two of the GFS ensemble`s 20 members show precip at HQM on Tuesday, have kept PoPs on the low side. If any precip does occur on Tue, it would still be cold enough for snow, even at the coast. Haner .LONG TERM...A cool northwest flow pattern will continue from Wed through Sat. A system diving down from the northwest on Wed could very well spread light precip across Western Washington, with light snowfall accumulations. A lull in precip is possible Thu. More precip with more weak shortwaves on Fri and Sat. The 12z ECMWF was colder than the 12z GFS, but the 18z GFS seems to be coming around to a cooler solution. This would keep snow levels at or below 1000 feet, a situation of the snow threat continuing on higher lowland hills but less so at sea level. Haner In spite of the mesos, I think we'll do a little better than that in the central PS--especially in Poulsbo. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Finally a heavy shower here. Temp fell into the 40s pretty quickly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Government camp just changed over to snow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 FXUS66 KSEW 180005 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 405 PM PST Sat Feb 17 2018 .SYNOPSIS...The low center which brought today`s active weather will exit east this evening. A modified arctic cold front will move southward through Western Washington late tonight and early Sunday, bringing the possibility of lowland snow followed by strong north winds. Dry conditions are expected from late Sunday through Tuesday with cold temperatures remaining in place. Another system could slide in from the northwest around next Wednesday, with light snow possible. More systems are possible on Friday and Saturday, with light precipitation and low snow levels. && .SHORT TERM...Deepening 996 mb surface low is now over northeast Washington and exiting east. Therefore, strong westerly wind over the forecast area will ever so slowly start to ease over the next few hours. Heavy snow over the Cascades will also ease, though a Puget Sound Convergence Zone may keep Stevens Pass going strong for a while longer. With today`s heavy snow and strong wind, an Avalanche Warning is also in effect for a few more hours in the Cascades. In the wake of today`s low center, a a continental polar air mass will quickly spread south through interior B.C. and come pouring out of the Fraser later tonight. The BLI-CYWL gradient is forecast to peak near -20 mb on Sunday morning, making this a strong Fraser Outflow event. Strong north- northeast winds will ensue, most notably near Bellingham, the San Juans, and around to Admiralty Inlet. Other places will be breezy as well. The windiness from the less common northerly direction will have greater tree impacts than a similar south wind. A modified arctic front will spread south and southwest through Western Washington early Sunday morning, with localized frontal convergence and orographic lift leading to some lowland snow accumulations. The average forecast snowfall up and down the I-5 corridor will be about 1 to 2 inches. However, all meso models show a distinct hole in the snowfall pattern from Poulsbo over to Seattle, likely from precip shadowing downwind of the Olympics in northwest flow aloft. So that is why the Bremerton and Seattle forecast zones are excluded from the Winter Weather Advisory over the lowlands. Some local enhancement of snow is expected just away from the water near Port Angeles due to north-northeast wind upsloping against the north slope of the Olympics, so the forecast there is for 2-4 inches of snow. The front will be followed by the coldest air mass of this winter. A hard freeze is expected areawide on Sunday night, with Monday night likely being the coldest night of the upcoming cold spell. At least the cold will come with drier weather. The last showers will taper off over the Cascades on Sunday night or Monday, with dry weather expected Monday and Monday night. The NAM and GFS keep Tuesday dry as well. The ECMWF tries to develop a warm advection nose of precip over Western Washington on Tue. Since only two of the GFS ensemble`s 20 members show precip at HQM on Tuesday, have kept PoPs on the low side. If any precip does occur on Tue, it would still be cold enough for snow, even at the coast. Haner .LONG TERM...A cool northwest flow pattern will continue from Wed through Sat. A system diving down from the northwest on Wed could very well spread light precip across Western Washington, with light snowfall accumulations. A lull in precip is possible Thu. More precip with more weak shortwaves on Fri and Sat. The 12z ECMWF was colder than the 12z GFS, but the 18z GFS seems to be coming around to a cooler solution. This would keep snow levels at or below 1000 feet, a situation of the snow threat continuing on higher lowland hills but less so at sea level. HanerNice. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Government camp just changed over to snow#thankyouSSW 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
χιόνι (chióni) Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 However, all meso models show a distinct holein the snowfall pattern from Poulsbo over to Seattle, likely fromprecip shadowing downwind of the Olympics in northwest flow aloft. Bainbridge Island no snow for you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I've had two text messages in the last hour from idiot family members asking if they should leave the house tomorrow. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Well... What did you tell them? Did you warm them that if they left they may never make it back?Shelter in place. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Soooo close to saying goodbye to the 50's at PDX. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Shelter in place. I'm starting to despise those words... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I wonder who would win in a death match, Rod hill or jeff renner? 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 #thankyouSSW If only we had -NAO right now. Flash freezes for everyone. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Down to 44. So weird for the temp to be dropping as we got to peak heating. Saying goodbye to 45+ for a while! Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I seen the flash freeze happen in december 1990. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 The big headline opening the news on KOMO is “snow and sleet falling at Snoqualmie Pass”. Debra Horn is live at the pass to keep us informed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 The big headline opening the news on KOMO is “snow and sleet falling at Snoqualmie Pass”. Debra Horn is live at the pass to keep us informedGod there idiot's. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 The big headline opening the news on KOMO is “snow and sleet falling at Snoqualmie Pass”. Debra Horn is live at the pass to keep us informedKOMO or KIRO b/c Deborah Horne works for KIRO Not that it matters Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arctic Front Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 God there idiot's.They're*. Oh the irony. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 He always struck me as a scarf.I was thinking flannel Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Last set of model runs before the models become no more effective than nowcasting. There's a lot of swirling going on just off Vancouver Island. Time for the HRRR to shine? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 They're*. Oh the irony.I'm not here to impress you with spelling. Pretty hard to work on a car and contribute to the forum as is. No time to make sure i spell everything proper. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 KOMO or KIRO b/c Deborah Horne works for KIRO Not that it mattersyou are right it was KIRO. Yeah it doesn’t matter. Both equally insipid. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 UW WRF showing a nice Pugent Sound Convergence setup tomorrow morning which is why totals are higher over the Central Pugent Sound than other models: Looks like a good setup for the area here. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Snowfall warnings for southeast Vancouver Island. Flurries heavy at times overnight with locally 4”+. Warnings may be extended to Greater Victoria Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 OMG I'm stoked! 1. Tonight / tomorrow is looking good for snow.2. Lows in the teens Sunday and Monday nights.3. The mid week system is trending much colder with 18z dropping 850s to -9!4. Strong indication of another significant cold outbreak around the 9 to 11 day period. Wowwwww! 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I feel like local media has downplayed everything ever since the great windstorm “bust” of October 2016. Didn’t we know it wasn’t gonna be anything like what they were saying the night before, but they just didn’t change the forecast? 1 Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I feel like local media has downplayed everything ever since the great windstorm “bust” of October 2016. Didn’t we know it wasn’t gonna be anything like what they were saying the night before, but they just didn’t change the forecast? I remember that. I was entirely puzzled why they thought it would be so bad. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Amazing that so many media outlets locally along with NWS calling for virtually nothing for the DT KSEA metro area and extreme eastern Kitsap peninsula but when you take into acct NW flow, it's not surprising. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 The big headline opening the news on KOMO is “snow and sleet falling at Snoqualmie Pass”. Debra Horn is live at the pass to keep us informedWhere is Steve Pool when we need him? Forecasting the BBQ Sandwich?? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 NAM 12km 00z has a pretty large snow hole over the Pugent Sound lowlands. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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