February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Holy crap, Mt. Sinabung just went nuclear.

 

Ash cloud to 60,000ft!

 

Nice.  Any idea of where this might land on the eruption index?

[Front Ranger]

Holy crap, Mt. Sinabung just went nuclear.

 

Ash cloud to 60,000ft!

 

Never heard of it, but love the name.

[Phil]

 

[MossMan]

Holy crap, Mt. Sinabung just went nuclear.

 

Ash cloud to 60,000ft!

= Cold March for us?

[Front Ranger]

= Cold March for us?

 

At least a widespread dusting.

[Phil]

Never heard of it, but love the name.

Indonesia, one of Agung’s friends.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Parts of Clark County could see several inches!

[TT-SEA]

After a warm and sunny day.... we now have a wild thunderstorm here.   Tons of lightning.   Really cool to sit on the lanai and watch the fireworks when its so warm.  

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Yikes! Do you think this can have the same impact Mount Tambora had?

[Tyler Mode]

Those webcams are in SW Vancouver.

 

I’m in East Vancouver and it’s snowing hard again. Close to 1/2” on the ground now.

I was just going to post, east Vancouver is getting it too now.  My parents have virtually nothing in Minnehaha.

[Deweydog]

Reverse 1-10-17!

[Front Ranger]

Hopefully PDX can get something measurable.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Snow picked back up here, have 2 inches and counting now!

[Phil]

Sinabung reminds me of Cinnabon. #FuckLowCarbing

[Jesse]

Just enormous flakes here the last 15 minutes or so. Closing in an an inch.

[TT-SEA]

Just insane... continuous lightning and loud thunder now.  

 

I think the snow let up at home.   Looks like a solid 2 inches... maybe 3

[Phil]

Yikes! Do you think this can have the same impact Mount Tambora had?

Lol, not even close.

[Blizzard777]

After a warm and sunny day.... we now have a wild thunderstorm here.   Tons of lightning.   Really cool to sit on the lanai and watch the fireworks when its so warm.

 

Island are getting killed with fun weather. Just watched live news from Honolulu

[Phil]

Just enormous flakes here the last 15 minutes or so. Closing in an an inch.

The fatties always accumulate the best.

[MossMan]

Spoke too soon, north wind is cranking out there! 27 degrees. Brrrr!!

[Jesse]

Reverse 1-10-17!

I was just thinking. Definitely a more localized junior version at least.

[Jesse]

Lol, not even close.

Any climate effects possible?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Absolutely dumping snow here again! I wasn't expecting this until Tuesday night!

[Phil]

Mexico quake, behemoth eruption, Hawaii supercells, SSW, Seattle snow, -NAO...winds of change are blowing through the matrix.

[Front Ranger]

0z GFS is not worth reporting through Thursday.

[Lisa0527]

I was just going to post, east Vancouver is getting it too now. My parents have virtually nothing in Minnehaha.

I was so excited until I realized you’re in the OTHER Vancouver

[snow_wizard]

We did have a phenomenal winter last winter but do keep in mind that we too went for years with many awful winters before that.

 

Anyway I do hope everyone can get at least a few inches this week.

 

You had 2013-14 also and we failed miserably then too.

[snow_wizard]

Mexico quake, behemoth eruption, Hawaii supercells, SSW, Seattle snow, -NAO...winds of change are blowing through the matrix.

 

There was a big eruption?

[Phil]

Any climate effects possible?

Definitely possible. I’m not sure how much ash/SO^2 is being vented yet, though.

[Jesse]

Definitely possible. I’m not sure how much ash/SO^2 is being vented yet, though.

A shitload judging by those pics.

[Phil]

Gaahhh

 

[Perturbed Member]

You had 2013-14 also and we failed miserably then too.

 

Besides Feb 2014 and last winter, this entire decade has been pretty pathetic for me. I need to go back to Dec 2009 to find a real event before Feb 2014. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

0z GFS is not worth reporting through Thursday.

 

It's actually a little close to good things for Tuesday into Wednesday.  Looks like some banding is close to setting up through the central and south valley.  Maybe the next runs will keep trending positively.

[TT-SEA]

Island are getting killed with fun weather. Just watched live news from Honolulu

 

Oahu is getting way more rain.   Today was just a spectacular day here until the last 30 minutes.  But I did notice this morning that 12Z ECMWF put rain over us this evening... and that is about it for the rest of the week in this area.    While Oahu and Kauai might be absolutely pounded later in the week again.   I actually prefer the Kona Low here... less wind and lots of sun and more humid and you have a shot at a thunderstorm show like we are having right now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

ICON looks good next weekend.

[Perturbed Member]

00z GFS is pretty worthless. Too far away with that Tuesday low. Some flurries making it here but otherwise nothing. I guess it did trend in the right direction slightly.

 

[Winterdog]

Spoke too soon, north wind is cranking out there! 27 degrees. Brrrr!!

I’ve clouded up here. This often happens with a strong NW wind. The winds push up against the foothills east of me and it becomes cloud city and my low temps are modified. I hate it.

[Jesse]

At very least the “bad” runs have us staying cold.

[Phil]

A shitload judging by those pics.

Haha, yeah blast was huge, estimates range from 47,000 to 64,000ft. Question is, how long does it last?

[snow_wizard]

I've been trying to play along that I'm hopeful about the subsequent possible snow events, but I'm in the mood now to just be real about it.  In general Seattle does terrible with lows that slide down the coast.  We need them to make landfall over SW WA to really have any chance at anything good.  Another rule of thumb I've noticed is Seattle doesn't do well when the Western trough plunges very far south like this one is doing.  This pattern simply doesn't allow systems to move inland anywhere near a favorable location for us.  NW OR is closer to the coast and the systems are in the process of moving closer to the coast as they move south.  The one we should have scored with was today's system.

 

The big question is why are so many cold waves coming without getting decent snowfall here.  If you look at past decades it was much less common for the Puget Sound region to fail like this.  At this point I'm just going to live with it and count the days until I can move to a better area.  It's as simple as that.