Jesse Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Are you calling Tim a square? Fitting. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Fitting.Maybe he’s complimenting you for being in shape. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 For weather geeks... the Minneapolis AFD is a good read tonight. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MPX&issuedby=MPX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Here is the opening statement... The watch has been upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning for the restof southern Minnesota and most of west central Wisconsin. Thewatch continues north of the warning area. Confidence continues to increase severe winter weather willdevelop beginning Friday night and last into Saturday evening. And just to mess with those poor people even more... another snowstorm follows the weekend blizzard in the middle of next week. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Jared is going to be enjoying some April snow as well over the next 10 days. And the totals from Nebraska to Minnesota are just insanity. Normally snow in mid to late April can cause lots of tree damage because they are leafing out... but that is not a problem this year. Its looks like January there in the Midwest. And side note... there is a 3rd massive snowstorm in southern Minnesota on days 9 and 10 per the 00Z ECMWF. This is just the day 9-10 total. Beyond record smashing for April if the 00Z ECMWF verifies through 4/22. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Light rain and 39. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 IT'S OFFICIAL!!! For the first time in 50 months, the PeeDeeOh slipped into negative territory in March. A robust -.05. 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 I think today might be drier than expected for much of Puget sound region Seattle north. Strong Olympic shadow and sharp cutoff of the rain offshore. Afternoon especially could be "nice". Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 I think today might be drier than expected for much of Puget sound region Seattle north. Strong Olympic shadow and sharp cutoff of the rain offshore. Afternoon especially could be "nice". Yes... definitely looks beautiful on the 12Z NAM this afternoon. Gorgeous! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 We'll see. Doesn't look like the total washout that's been advertised to me. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Yes... definitely looks beautiful on the 12Z NAM this afternoon. Gorgeous! Looks dry for me! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Jared is going to be enjoying some April snow as well over the next 10 days. And the totals from Nebraska to Minnesota are just insanity. Normally snow in mid to late April can cause lots of tree damage because they are leafing out... but that is not a problem this year. Its looks like January there in the Midwest. Maybe DEN can finally manage to get past their record low seasonal snowfall. They're still somehow an inch short. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 We'll see. Doesn't look like the total washout that's been advertised to me. Dude... every single time we are stuck in a perpetual warm front pattern there will some areas that are protected for most of the event. Side note... I said it will be a washout here and that is 100% guaranteed. It will likely not stop raining here until Sunday if we are lucky and the trough actually digs in the ECMWF has been showing. I still think it will ultimately not dig as aggressively. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Looks dry for me! Yes... you might be in the lucky area today. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 I am well aware that there is almost always some 'nice' areas during our large rain events. All of my comments have been related to my area and what is normal in my area for April. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Yes... you might be in the lucky area today.If so it will be the first time in a long time! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Have received 1/2” of rain here so far this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 I am well aware that there is almost always some 'nice' areas during our large rain events. All of my comments have been related to my area and what is normal in my area for April.I was never commenting to you or specifically for your little area. All I said was today might ended up drier than expected for some areas, specifically in shadowed areas. And this afternoon may be drier a lot of places. When you look at the GFS precip maps, for example, the expectation would be widespread washout pretty much the entire day from BLI to SLE. But there are often times that's not the case, and today looks like one of those days. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 I was never commenting to you or specifically for your little area. All I said was today might ended up drier than expected for some areas, specifically in shadowed areas. And this afternoon may be drier a lot of places. When you look at the GFS precip maps, for example, the expectation would be widespread washout pretty much the entire day from BLI to SLE. But there are often times that's not the case, and today looks like one of those days.Well... I used the term washout so I assume you were referring to that. And it applies here of course. No individual system is that strange... it's just the persistence which has been unusual. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Well... I used the term washout so I assume you were referring to that. And it applies here of course. No individual system is that strange... it's just the persistence which has been unusual. What I'm hearing is that you'll take what you can get. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 I was never commenting to you or specifically for your little area. Also not just raining in my little area. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 What I'm hearing is that you'll take what you can get. Indeed. Fingers crossed that Sunday is just cloudy and cold instead of also pouring rain. Exciting! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 The CPC/IRI just updated their ENSO probability forecast. Their thinking a transition to ENSO-neutral during April-May and continuing until the fall when chances are we head into an El Nino, albeit a weak one in winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 The CPC/IRI just updated their ENSO probability forecast. Their thinking a transition to ENSO-neutral during April-May and continuing until the fall when chances are we head into an El Nino, albeit a weak one in winter. You are thinking this Niño will bring our snowiest winter on record right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 You are thinking this Niño will bring our snowiest winter on record right?I'm just reporting what the CPC/IRI forecast is. There is more to it than that. I got all year to make my official winter forecast. I haven't made a summer one yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 I'm just reporting what the CPC/IRI forecast is. There is more to it than that. I got all year to make my official winter forecast. I haven't made a summer one yet.Winter starts in just 7.5 months! 1.5 to summer. Better get on it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Winter starts in just 7.5 months! 1.5 to summer. Better get on it! Hottest summer ever recorded... coldest winter ever recorded. Done! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Hottest summer ever recorded... coldest winter ever recorded. Done!Hard for me to even imagine the piles of scientific research that must have gone into this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Windy and dry! I will take it! Wish it was 30 degrees warmer though. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Even I will admit the weather today is basically garbage. The mild lows and inability to clear out and get any northerly flow between systems kind of sucks. We need sharper ridging offshore again. Looks like we could go into a better pattern for that next week. A little more variable. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 We are definitely overdue for a convective episode of some sort as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 IT'S OFFICIAL!!! For the first time in 50 months, the PeeDeeOh slipped into negative territory in March. A robust -.05.CALLED IT!!! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 CALLED IT!!!Matt making the first substantive weather-related post in weeks if not months, or the PDO dropping? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Matt making the first substantive weather-related post in weeks if not months, or the PDO dropping?Haha, the latter in this case. I’m pretty sure I made the call in one of my late night rants/tangents in early March. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Also not just raining in my little area. And I didn't say it wouldn't rain today... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 Hottest summer ever recorded... coldest winter ever recorded. Done! This is exactly how it works. - Deweydog Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 This is exactly how it works. - Deweydog I was guessing Frontal Snowsquall's forecast. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 I was guessing Frontal Snowsquall's forecast. It fits Dewey's theory to a t. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 13, 2018 Report Share Posted April 13, 2018 It fits Dewey's theory to a t. People's theories about cause and effect and dueisms seem to exhibit a strong correlation to their preferences. Might need to look into this. Of course I know I am guilty of it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.