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July 2018 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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Beautiful evening in the Hamptons tanite. Temps are in the upper 60s w crystal clear skies. Heading west towards NYC tommorow for business and then, back to the hamptons.  :D

 

Had some t'stm activity Friday nite. 

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Finally! Marshall scores on one of these rogue pop-up convective cells. Glad I peeked at radar about 5:30 and hustled out to mow my lawn. Was planning to wait til almost dark when it's coolest. With only a 20% chance pops this was truly a welcomed surprise hit

 

attachicon.gif20180729 gridcast.PNG           attachicon.gif20180729 7pm radar.PNG

I wonder if SEMI received anything.  :blink:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Very intense unexpected thunderstorm developed over Cedar Rapids last night. The storm produced very heavy rain and some lighting. I got 0.67 inches of rain from that storm. Special weather statement said that it was only moving at 5mph.

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Very intense unexpected thunderstorm developed over Cedar Rapids last night. The storm produced very heavy rain and some lighting. I got 0.67 inches of rain from that storm. Special weather statement said that it was only moving at 5mph.

 

I was awaken by a rumble of thunder.  I checked the radar and saw one tiny cell, the only rain in Iowa, over northern Cedar Rapids.  I had to run outside to set up my gauge, put a couple things in the garage, and put out the gutter downspouts.  Of course, I only got 0.05" from it while Kennedy high school got 0.75".  It's certainly the north side's year.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The op Euro is really trying to scorch the region later in the 10-day period.  Last night's run had us reaching the upper 90s.  I hope that's overdoing it.  It's very dry, too.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The op Euro is really trying to scorch the region later in the 10-day period. Last night's run had us reaching the upper 90s. I hope that's overdoing it. It's very dry, too.

I hope not!!! Mets are saying 90 and humid for the upcoming weekend.
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If you were wondering just how warm this July has been? Well with just two days to go July 2018 is now tied with 1988 as the 20th warmest July in Grand Rapids recorded history. At Muskegon it is the 10th warmest on record and at Lansing it is tied with 2016 and 1952 for 19 warmest. Will let your know the finial on Wed.

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It has been a cooler period since about the middle of the month and the next couple days likely to add to the BN temp departures.  The last 2 weeks have had broad cooling for the northern tier of our sub forum.

 

14dTDeptNWSCR.png

 

 

As a result, there are pockets of sub normal departures showing up across the Plains/MW regions along with areas of near normal temps.  That was the idea as we entered the 2nd half of the month.

 

MonthTDeptNWSCR.png

 

 

The Plains turned wet and have beaten down the drought in certain regions...while in others it has grown...

 

MonthPDeptNWSCR.png

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This surface set-up has been absent the past two winters. We've seen it in Autumn only to vanish once winter sets in.

 

Now we get this rare summer version:  

 

20180730 8pm h48 GLs Surf map.gif

 

SWMI needs to see this come back around in about 4 months.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Currently cloudy and humid w temps in the low 80s. Some t,stms possibly by Thursday.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Little cells bubbled up all around Cedar Rapids today, but they all avoided the city.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Little cells bubbled up all around Cedar Rapids today, but they all avoided the city.

Same thing again here in Omaha... stormed popped to the east, south and west, however nothing but a few sprinkles in my neighborhood. After the beneficial rains we had over the weekend, it’s no big deal though.

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Same thing again here in Omaha... stormed popped to the east, south and west, however nothing but a few sprinkles in my neighborhood. After the beneficial rains we had over the weekend, it’s no big deal though.

We've had pretty consistent light rain here throughout the evening. Very nice seeing it's our last legit rain chance till the weekend.

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Extended forecast looks pretty good here in the NYC Metro area. Not too shabby.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Good morning everyone!  Still can't believe how fast this summer is flying by.  On this last day of July, we are not gonna Fry!  Haha, but boy, are some parts of the Plains going to fry this weekend/next week.  Yikes!  If you buy the Euro, its suggesting upper 90's to near 100F for parts of the GL's late next week.

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Going to be a beautiful day to close July out. Late modeling shows the heat returning in areas to the north for a few days but I don't see it gaining the persistence this time around like back in late spring and early summer. Rapid model changes over the course of a day or two really. Overall, July fit the bill of a month with something for everyone in our region. I don't mind that too much for a summer month.

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@ Jaster, summer time TX Pan Handle - Lower Lakes/OV cutter....pretty amazing to see this type of weather system in the heart of summer.

 

 

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/SurfaceAnalysisLoop/usa_None_anim.gif

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7 am here in Central Nebraska the temp is 52 degrees. Wow.

Enjoy it as much as you can my friend!  Doesn't it put you in the Autumn mood for the time being???  Just had my morning walk and over the past week or more, I've enjoyed the cool mornings.

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Enjoy it as much as you can my friend!  Doesn't it put you in the Autumn mood for the time being???  Just had my morning walk and over the past week or more, I've enjoyed the cool mornings.

It is going to change but it is so wet around here it might limit the extreme heat but the dew points will be high.  

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It is going to change but it is so wet around here it might limit the extreme heat but the dew points will be high.  

This, I totally agree, as I have my doubts of the sizzling upper 90's that are being forecasted.  However, like you said, the humidity may be the dagger.

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@ Jaster, summer time TX Pan Handle - Lower Lakes/OV cutter....pretty amazing to see this type of weather system in the heart of summer.

 

 

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/SurfaceAnalysisLoop/usa_None_anim.gif

 

Let's see if it indeed comes NE bringing that nice rain shield over mby? Last winter they all trended SE and only grazed me. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Let's see if it indeed comes NE bringing that nice rain shield over mby? Last winter they all trended SE and only grazed me. 

 

Wind trends say it could happen. Switched around to the NE

 

20180731 KRMY obs.PNG

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Niko's mansion looks to get a nice soaking. Pool closed for the day?

 

20180731 GRR RN graphic.PNG

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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If no isolated cells hit us today, this will be my driest July since 2012.  However, 2.70" isn't terrible.  We could use an inch or two of rain, but it's not really dry.  That could change, though, if we soar into the 90s with little or no rain over the next ten days, like the euro has been suggesting.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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July 2018 will be one of the warmest on record in parts of Michigan.  With just one more day to go Sault Ste Marie with a mean of 70.2° is tied with 1955 for its  3rd warmest July on record with only 1921 and 2012 being warmer. Records have been kept at the Sault since 1888. At Alpena with one day to go they are having their 5th warmest July on record. Records there have been taken since 1917. While at Marquette just 165 miles to the west with its mean of 66.4° it is only the 52nd warmest July there. Here at Grand Rapids with the mean of 74.5° and at Lansing with a mean of 73.5° both locations are now at 21st warmest July. And at Muskegon with a mean of 73.5 they are in 10th place. Will update this tomorrow for the finial placing

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Still in nyc. Went to City Island yesterday to have fish for dinner. It was deliciiiooouussss. Funny how small that island is. 

 

Today, its a partly sunny day here in the NY Metro area w temps in the 80s.  :)

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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To look at radar, this system is not too impressive so I'm not sure what GRR's looking at?

 

Guess we'll see  :unsure:

 

20180731 gridcast.PNG

 

 

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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@Okwx, did the soaking rains hit your back yard???

 

precip_2d_accum_central_2018073012.png

Yeah. Had great showers and storms the the last few days with 2.02" of rain. Not a bad pickup to close July. Finished at 3.39".

 

rainrfc.720hr(2).png

 

Closed it out with a foggy drizzly July morning. Pretty weird to have fog like that here in July. Hung around until around 10 before it cleared. Another diverse month like the rest of this year. I even wore sleeves this morning.

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July 2018 summery for Grand Rapids.  The average H/L was 85.1°/63.7° The hottest day(s) was 94 on the 1st and 4th the coolest low was 54 on the 7th the mean for the month was 74.4° that is a departure of +1.9° there were 8 days of 90 or better. The official rain fall total at the airport was 2.30” but here at my house it was just 1.21” 8 days were clear 20 partly cloudy and 3 were cloudy.  July 2018 was the 21st warmest July at Grand Rapids.

July 2018 will be one of the warmest on record in parts of Michigan.  At Sault Ste Marie with a mean of 70.2° is tied with 1955 for its  3rd warmest July on record with only 1921 and 2012 being warmer. Records have been kept at the Sault since 1888. At Alpena it is the same story with a mean of 71.3L July will be their  5th warmest July on record. Records there have been taken since 1917. While at Marquette just 165 miles to the west with its mean of 66.4° it is only the 52nd warmest July there. Here at Grand Rapids with the mean of 74.4° and at Lansing with a mean of 73.2° At both locations it was the21st warmest July. And at Muskegon with a mean of 73.5 they had in 10th warmest.

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Most of I-80 from Chicago to Lincoln had a drier than normal July. DSM is the stand out with only 0.38" for the month. Meanwhile, typically drier areas in Western Nebraska received above normal precipitation. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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Most of I-80 from Chicago to Lincoln had a drier than normal July. DSM is the stand out with only 0.38" for the month. Meanwhile, typically drier areas in Western Nebraska received above normal precipitation.

Think I heard this was the 7th driest July on record for Chicago

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I will have to get exact numbers, but most of Central and Southwest Nebraska was above normal and some areas way above normal. Local newspaper had me at 5.5-6.0 inches. Normal is close to 4.0 but many years it is much below this. Sorry to hear about the dry weather in other places. I have not run my lawn sprinklers in almost 1 month. Amazing.

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Most of you out in the plains of NE into IA and IL ended up BN temp wise, however, except for NE, the rest stayed BN in the precip category.

 

 

Last1mTDeptNWSCR.png

 

 

Last1mPDeptNWSCR.png

These maps are spot on Tom. Our airport just reported July precipitation at 5.79. That is very close to my readings at the house. Airport about 1 1/2 miles east of me. Average for July is between 3.5-4.0 though in the summer of 2012 it was .01.

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