Kayla Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 We will be heading to Montana just over week from today, FWIW. So expect the clipper system out there to fall apart and be replaced by triple digits. Sorry Kayla. I'll know who to blame then! Headed to Kalispell? Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 PDX hasn't had a 70 degree low in what feels like forever...Three years. Probably reasonable to expect about a once a decade return rate looking at long term climo. 2006, 2009 and 2015 blew through our quota until the 2040s. Or in other words, we’re Dew!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 I'll know who to blame then! Headed to Kalispell?No. Whitesupremafish. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Three years. Probably reasonable to expect about a once a decade return rate looking at long term climo. 2006, 2009 and 2015 blew through our quota until the 2040s. Or in other words, we’re Dew!!!Feels like 300 years! We haven't even come close since then! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 No. Whitesupremafish.#fishbern! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 10 down 20 to go!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 August is easily our hottest and driest month these days. This mid-July stuff is probably just the appetizer That's the direction I leaned in the forecast contest. Ironically, August is the one summer month even UHI-afflicted SEA has been unable to set a new warm record in recent years. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Wish I was there Phil to share the adrenaline excitement with you! Crazy storm fun! Looks like you had a 20* temp drop too! I Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Feels like 300 years! We haven't even come close since then!Downtown Portland had a 70 degree low early last September. New warm benchmark for the month, records since 1870. Easy to think we are always dew for more warmth when you conveniently forget about all of the warmth we have seen lately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Downtown Portland had a 70 degree low early last September. New warm benchmark for the month, records since 1870. Easy to think we are always dew for more warmth when you conveniently forget about all of the warmth we have seen lately. Only airports matter. Sorry! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Only airports matter. Sorry!We’re due for them not to matter as much! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 We’re due for them not to matter as much!Be a trend setter! #onlyyoucanpreventsensorrage Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Be a trend setter! #onlyyoucanpreventsensorrageNo way around that. All weather stations have sensors even if they don’t have runways. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 16, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 96F in Springfield. Central and South Valley are nice and toasty. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 No way around that. All weather stations have sensors even if they don’t have runways.It's hard to fly to Baffin Island without a runway. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Yuppers, thunderstorms have been occurring here for sure. Went shopping and there is a nearly stationary t'storm that has been parked a bit to my WNW just about the whole time we were out of the house. Rumbles every minute or so. No loud booms, I guess because these might be a bit elevated. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Could be a 7-10-08 flavor to things this weekend. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Dry heat... 90 at SEA with N13 and a dewpoint of 44. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 90 here as well. Dew point is up at 49 though. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Yeah my grass is already fried. I've had lots of stuff going on the past 2 months and haven't been able to stay on top of watering. There are 2 sections of my back yard that get lots of shade, and they are green and healthy but the rest is brown (or at least 90% brown). The front and side yards are pretty much done in as well. Trying to decide if I should try to bring it back, or if I just let it go until the rains pick up again in the fall....it will probably take a lot of resources to try to get it back, but I like having a nice green lawn in the summer.... A nice green lawn is really nice to have. Forget about walking barefoot on a dry crunchy lawn - ouch!I have chickens and they love the green grass. They were stuck eating the weeds mid to late last summer. All the grass was toast. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 A nice green lawn is really nice to have. Forget about walking barefoot on a dry crunchy lawn - ouch!I have chickens and they love the green grass. They were stuck eating the weeds mid to late last summer. All the grass was toast.I’m no chicken expert but I would imagine they’d prefer toast to grass. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 I don't know if this has already been posted but FWIW, here are the latest EURO Seasonals for August and September. Only posting these 2 months because the longer it goes out the less accurate it becomes. Also take these with a grain of salt but it shows a western ridge pretty much through September as the general pattern. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 16, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 I’m no chicken expert but I would imagine they’d prefer toast to grass.Depends on the type of grass. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Could be a 7-10-08 flavor to things this weekend.The same thought crossed my mind. Now let’s hope for a wet and wolly August 2008 redux. 1.23” at PDX that month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 The same thought crossed my mind.explain the reference? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 explain the reference?Shot of cool, dry Canadian air into the PNW and northern Rockies. Midsummer frost east of the Cascades and some outlying upper 30s even on the west side if I recall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Still going sub-90 tomorrow Dewey? All guidance has been moving things upward. 92 looks good IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Shot of cool, dry Canadian air into the PNW and northern Rockies. Midsummer frost east of the Cascades and some outlying upper 30s even on the west side if I recall.models seems to be leaning towards a long term ridge position in the gulf so potential is there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 PDX up to at least 97 today. This heat has been kinda stoopid for a pretty run of the mill 500mb pattern. No real ridge over us, just zonal flow with height heights. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Shot of cool, dry Canadian air into the PNW and northern Rockies. Midsummer frost east of the Cascades and some outlying upper 30s even on the west side if I recall. We have frost coming this weekend?? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Still going sub-90 tomorrow Dewey? All guidance has been moving things upward. 92 looks good IMO.It'll be close. The warm start could be a killer. I'll still go 89 for funsies. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 We have frost coming this weekend?? Never once said that. Matt and I were just noting that the pattern has similarities. Even if it did verify the west side would only see upper 30s in wind sheltered cold pockets. Probably around 50 at best in your well-mixed location. Hopefully it trends warmer regardless! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Signs of the #augusticebox on the 18z! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 I don't know if this has already been posted but FWIW, here are the latest EURO Seasonals for August and September. Only posting these 2 months because the longer it goes out the less accurate it becomes. Also take these with a grain of salt but it shows a western ridge pretty much through September as the general pattern. us_season-en-087-0_modezseason_2018070100_1_5436_528.png us_season-en-087-0_modezseason_2018070100_2_5436_528.pngYou had no problem posting all of the the summer maps back in April. Hmm..I wonder why. FWIW, that August projection will probably bust. Too much faux coupling to SSTs. I think September might verify decently, though. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Global SSTAs have definitely come down since this time last year. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Waters off of our coast look much warmer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Never once said that. Matt and I were just noting that the pattern has similarities. Even if it did verify the west side would only see upper 30s in wind sheltered cold pockets. Probably around 50 at best in your well-mixed location. Hopefully it trends warmer regardless! Whew... was heading out to cover up the garden now just to be safe! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Whew... was heading out to cover up the garden now just to be safe! The funny schtick isn’t the best fit for you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Signs of the #augusticebox on the 18z! I'm curious what your guys' definitions of #IceBox is. If it's #no90's then maybe. Still, can be a warm month if there's a bunch of mid upper 80's. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 16, 2018 Report Share Posted July 16, 2018 Waters off of our coast look much warmer.Hard to imagine you guys have much left in the warm anomaly fuel tanks. Been an impressive half-decade in that regard. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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