TT-SEA Posted July 11, 2018 Report Share Posted July 11, 2018 No, I’m in Seattle until the afternoon of the 21st, and I’m in Vancouver, BC for most of the 22nd. Yeah... I thought you were referring to day 13. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 11, 2018 Report Share Posted July 11, 2018 This may be the most highly anticipated vacation in forum history. Appears to be on pace to pass up some of Tim's family jaunts.I’ll stop by and say hello (if I can find an oxygen tank). Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 11, 2018 Report Share Posted July 11, 2018 I’ll stop by and say hello (if I can locate an oxygen tank).Come on by! We'll pick up some acronyms and a bucket of KFC and make an evening out of it! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 11, 2018 Report Share Posted July 11, 2018 Looks like it made 80. It can stay just like this for awhile. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 11, 2018 We are at 91F here. Nice warm day. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 PDX just avoids 90. High of 83 here. Beautiful day. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 18z and ensembles want to end the hot spell by Monday or Tuesday next week. Would be nice. EPS seemed flatter with the ridging those days as well. As it stands now, tomorrow and Sunday are the best bet for temps well into the 90s. Might need to take a coast trip one of those days! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 18z and ensembles want to end the hot spell by Monday or Tuesday next week. Would be nice. EPS seemed flatter with the ridging those days as well. As it stands now, tomorrow and Sunday are the best bet for temps well into the 90s. Might need to take a coast trip one of those days! At any point this summer will you be rooting for nice summer weather for an extended period? Or are you going to be like Tim in the winter always looking out 10-15 days for warmer weather when a potential snow event is on tap? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 At any point this summer will you be rooting for nice summer weather for an extended period? Or are you going to be like Tim in the winter always looking out 10-15 days for warmer weather when a potential snow event is on tap? The weather down there has been much better overall this summer... they really need rain. And his expectations are actually quite reasonable right now. He is just hoping to avoid extreme heat. Sort of like my expectations when I just want one single dry day and its 9 days out in the models. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 The weather down there has been much better overall this summer... they really need rain. And his expectations are actually quite reasonable right now. He is just hoping to avoid extreme heat. Sort of like my expectations when I just want one single dry day and its 9 days out in the models. And now you are answering questions for others? Wth, he didn't direct a question towards you... get that post count up! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 One of my good friends from High School just moved down to Christchurch, New Zealand. It’s been interesting following the weather down there and seeing his pics. From what I can tell it is about as close as you can get to a Southern Hemisphere doppelgänger of this area,climate wise. Southern Chile is more similar, I'd say. Osorno area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 At any point this summer will you be rooting for nice summer weather for an extended period? By my definition? Yes. Lucky for you it won’t change anything either way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Southern Chile is more similar, I'd say. Osorno area. Seems like their summers are cooler and their winters are milder. Maybe more like somewhere on the southern Oregon coast. Christchurch seems to have warmer summers and chillier winters, which would make them a better match for the I-5 corridor proper. But that is splitting hairs, they are both fairly similar in the big picture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Seems like their summers are cooler and their winters are milder. Maybe more like somewhere on the southern Oregon coast. Christchurch seems to have warmer summers and chillier winters, which would make them a better match for the I-5 corridor proper. But that is splitting hairs, they are both fairly similar in the big picture. Christchurch is pretty different with the precip and more oceanic as a whole. Very evenly distributed rainfall and generally light throughout the year on the leeward south of the South Island. Southern Chile has areas with a Mediterranean distribution, like here. I've always thought Queenstown, NZ sounded nice. Beautiful area and a little more continental than the rest of New Zealand. Need to get down there some day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Christchurch is pretty different with the precip and more oceanic as a whole. Very evenly distributed rainfall and generally light throughout the year on the leeward south of the South Island. Southern Chile has areas with a Mediterranean distribution, like here. I've always thought Queenstown, NZ sounded nice. Beautiful area and a little more continental than the rest of New Zealand. Need to get down there some day. What is odd about southern Chile is that they are leeward side of the mountains down there so you would think it would be drier. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 What is odd about southern Chile is that they are leeward side of the mountains down there so you would think it would be drier.No, they are actually windward. The jet stream goes west to east at that latitude down there just like it does up here. What interests me is how much colder southern Chile gets once you get to the southern latitude of Portland and Seattle (45-47S). At that point there are glaciers coming down almost to sea level. You would think such a skinny piece of land surrounded by the ocean would be more moderated than we are...we are attached to a much larger continent that extends to the north and east. Then again I think the Southern Ocean is pretty chilly year round, and Antarctica is a powerhouse for cold with very wide influence during the southern winter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 No, they are actually windward. The jet stream goes west to east at that latitude down there just like it does up here. What interests me is how much colder southern Chile gets once you get to the southern latitude of Portland and Seattle (45-47S). At that point there are glaciers coming down almost to sea level. You would think such a skinny piece of land surrounded by the ocean would be more moderated than we are...we are attached to a much larger continent that extends to the north and east. Then again I think the Southern Ocean is pretty chilly year round, and Antarctica is a powerhouse for cold with very wide influence during the southern winter. Fascinating... I need to learn more about that part of the world. Why does the jet stream move west to east at 40S? I thought it was opposite down there. I am watching the IR loop for South America now and I see it does indeed move west to east. Never noticed that. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 At any point this summer will you be rooting for nice summer weather for an extended period? Or are you going to be like Tim in the winter always looking out 10-15 days for warmer weather when a potential snow event is on tap?I wouldn't go there when it comes to J Dogg's Timilarities. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Fascinating... I need to learn more about that part of the world. Why would the jet stream move west to east at 40S? It should be opposite of 40N right? 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Cool graphic... and informative. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 That reminds me of the egg sack on Arachnophobia. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Fascinating... I need to learn more about that part of the world. Why does the jet stream move west to east at 40S? I thought it was opposite down there. The Hadley Cells and Ferrell Cells mirror each other across the equator, but it works out that there is a westerly jet at the mid latitudes in both the northern and southern hemispheres. Putting it very simply, warm air rises near the equator, sinks near 30N and 30S (the global desert belt) and rises again near where the Ferrell Cells meets the Polar Cells (polar front). So you have "surface" air rushing toward the equator from both sides thanks to the rising air there, and rushing toward the polar front thanks to rising air there. Away from the desert belts, which have sinking air. The coriolis effect deflects this movement and gives the equatorial regions their northeast and southeast trade winds, and gives mid latitude windward regions a generally southwest jet (here) or northwest jet (down there). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Ha! Looks like you beat me to it Phil. Nice graphic. Makes what I said a lot easier to visualize. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Cool graphic... and informative.I assume you can see why cyclones/anticyclones spin backwards down there, looking at that image. Don’t conflate the emergent coriolis dynamics. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 The Hadley Cells and Ferrell Cells mirror each other across the equator, but it works out that there is a westerly jet at the mid latitudes in both the northern and southern hemispheres. Putting it very simply, warm air rises near the equator, sinks near 30N and 30S (the global desert belt) and rises again near where the Ferrell Cells meets the Polar Cells (polar front). So you have "surface" air rushing toward the equator from both sides thanks to the rising air there, and rushing toward the polar front thanks to rising air there. Away from the desert belts, which have sinking air. The coriolis effect deflects this movement and gives the equatorial regions their northeast and southeast trade winds, and gives mid latitude windward regions a generally southwest jet (here) or northwest jet (down there).This. Solid description. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Doing a Google street view tour of the Osorno area and surrounding countryside... sort of looks like the Willamette Valley. Strange to see lots of fall colors on images from April and May. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 While we’re on the topic... Climatology for SLPs/sfc winds, 500mb heights/vector winds, and 2m temperatures: http://ffden-2.phys.uaf.edu/104_2012_web_projects/Samantha_MacNeith/Images/pressureSystems.gifhttp://geog.uoregon.edu/envchange/clim_animations/gifs/two_hgt500_web.gif 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 That reminds me of the egg sack on Arachnophobia. Hear they're making a remake. I'm sure the spiders will be bigger... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Hear they're making a remake. I'm sure the spiders will be bigger...CGI!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Christchurch is pretty different with the precip and more oceanic as a whole. Very evenly distributed rainfall and generally light throughout the year on the leeward south of the South Island. Southern Chile has areas with a Mediterranean distribution, like here. I've always thought Queenstown, NZ sounded nice. Beautiful area and a little more continental than the rest of New Zealand. Need to get down there some day.Fun fact: I spent 6 months in Christchurch and Queenstown for work a couple of years ago. Can definitely say Christchurch is quite similar to Portland. Queenstown is gorgeous. Awesome weather year-around with nothing to extreme one way or the other. I highly recommend going to the South Island. The whole island is gorgeous with huge variations in climate over a relatively short distance. Spent quite a bit of time flying out of Lake Tekapo which is an absolutely stunning area of the South Island. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Average temperatures in the Arctic peak tomorrow through the upcoming weekend. The long decline into winter begins on Monday. We’re almost there! 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 So glad it doesn't stay 90F at night like it does in Texas. This is perfect summer nighttime weather. And a beautiful star watching night with the moon not rising until 4AM or so. Mars is fukkin massive in the sky as we are nearing the closest point in orbit, it rises sometime around 10 I think. Jupiter is also in a really good spot to use binoculars and see Ganymede, Callisto, Io, and Europa. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Hurricane Chris was a cat2 at peak (not a cat3, misread NHC summary earlier). Weird how it waited until 35-40N to really blow up. That’s pretty still impressive to see in July. Those waters don’t max out until late August. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 We should get a "winter" home in Christchurch. Head down there in late October and come back here in late April. We could perpetually live in perfect summer weather. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Here’s July 2018 so far. Will probably finish with the classic warm season +AO look (torchy mid-latitudes, cold Arctic). 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 12, 2018 Author Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Here’s July 2018 so far. Will probably finish with the classic warm season +AO look (torchy mid-latitudes, cold Arctic). I like that sexy height anomaly near the GOA. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Euro looks quite a bit hotter for longer than the GFS now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted July 12, 2018 Report Share Posted July 12, 2018 Christchurch is pretty different with the precip and more oceanic as a whole. Very evenly distributed rainfall and generally light throughout the year on the leeward south of the South Island. Southern Chile has areas with a Mediterranean distribution, like here. I've always thought Queenstown, NZ sounded nice. Beautiful area and a little more continental than the rest of New Zealand. Need to get down there some day.I was there in April and Queenstown is perhaps one of the most picturesque towns I've seen. I know there are quite a few in the Alps too. Lots of wind in Christchurch. The mountains were just getting their first snows (early for them) the 11th or so or April. Two pics from Queenstown and the snowy one from my first full day there (April 11th) in the northern part of the south island. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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