PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[Weiner Warrior]

Just pretend this was the most recent run

[Doinko]

EPS was pretty fantastic. Mean gets down to -11c over PDX

[ShawniganLake]

EPS drops to -15 for SW BC. Cold and dry. 

[JW8]

35 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I think December will end up way better than this coming event for most of western WA.

Well that would be unfortunate. Dec wasn't all that memorable for the central sound, IMO. A few really cold dry days and non-sticking wet snow. 

[Jbolin]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its really sad that such a pathetic event is the bar for this winter and we might not surpass it with this late February event.  

Take this statement with a grain of "Tim"

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

Take this statement with a grain of "Tim"

I did qualify it by saying most... but I remember rain turning to heavy snow in Seattle on 12/20 and a biting cold east wind a couple days later.    It was really impressive from downtown Seattle north and eastward and not likely to be exceeded this time around.

[Deweydog]

22 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

Dan Fogelberg or Boston?

Hmmm… more like Rick Astley and Starship. 

[Deweydog]

SP 500 dropped about 1% after the 12z was released.

[The Cats Meow]

Tim......can you tell us what the models say?

55 and rain by next Saturday?

[SnowySeeker50]

Currently 43 with some snow still around. Dp has remained below freezing since tuesday

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, Hour364Please said:

Tim......can you tell us what the models say?

55 and rain by next Saturday?

They do not show 55 and rain by next Saturday.

Although the ECMWF shows 48 and cloudy that day.    The EPS only shows 40 that day.

[Cascadia_Wx]

12z EPS looks pretty good. It would appear there is still some room for this event to trend a little colder per the ensembles.

 

Long range looks decent for the coveted cool/wet combo.

[The Cats Meow]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

They do not show 55 and rain by next Saturday.

Although the ECMWF shows 48 and cloudy that day.

That's what my phone app says too.  Thought we might get five solid chilly days.  Guess we shall soon find out.

I'm thinking the cold is coming for Western Washington and the cold and snow is going to be headed into Oregon.

Just just never know when these buggers are going further south or pulling back up north.

Could it end up being another Vancouver Island special?  Very well could.

[JW8]

Why does it always have to work this way? A couple of the members really going for it though!

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Hour364Please said:

That's what my phone app says too.  Thought we might get five solid chilly days.  Guess we shall soon find out.

I'm thinking the cold is coming for Western Washington and the cold and snow is going to be headed into Oregon.

Just just never know when these buggers are going further south or pulling back up north.

Could it end up being another Vancouver Island special?  Very well could.

You definitely sound like how I imagine hour 364 would post if it had an account here  

[Jbolin]

21 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Hmmm… more like Rick Astley and Starship. 

Sounds pretty rad man

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, JW8 said:

Why does it always have to work this way? A couple of the members really going for it though!

That pretty red one showing a prompt warm-up to 13°C!

[The Cats Meow]

10 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

You definitely sound like how I imagine hour 364 would post if it had an account here  

Hour 364, 469, 500, hell even hour 1000.  It's always winter there.  Lots of snow.  No devastating trendzzz.

[Christensen87]

[TacomaWx]

Looks pretty good for now to me still…for my location anyways. Probably a bit of snow and decent cold. At this point it’s just a bonus to an already solid winter. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18Z icon is rock solid. 

[Deweydog]

5 minute warning…

[Jbolin]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

5 minute warning…

I won't look if you don't? 

[SouthHillFrosty]

18z has no snow….out to 4 hours so far!

[Deweydog]

4 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

I won't look if you don't? 

Flatiron refuses to look at models past initialization. I have yet to find the intestinal fortitude to adopt such a disciplined approach. 

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I feel like the historic nature of that event hasn’t really gotten the credit it’s deserved on this forum. We’ll appreciate it more as the years go by.

I woke up on April 12th, my wedding anniversary and had 2.5 inches that day. We had snow six days in a row that week and the older kids had an Easter egg hunt on that Saturday with flurries falling. I'll never forget a snowy anniversary because it probably won't happen again. It also was more snow per day than what I've had this winter. Last year my total was at least 20 inches (but likely more because the forum is missing Dec '21).

 

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

December 20th was straight up crazy in the Seattle area... heavy snow as the cold air rushed in behind the low.   Followed by a very cold east wind with temps in the teens in many places.

Places to the north of Seattle up through Vancouver had deep snow on the ground for several days.   Not seeing this event being as dynamic.  

Meh…It was okay. Could have used a few more inches. 

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

No ty. Bad thoughts over there for me.

OT:

DoE has admitted that it's likely my grandfather's melanoma and my mother's 3 separate cancers were all caused by my grandfather having a job at Hanford in Richland during the peak of the cold war.  My mother was born in Richland.  We got compensated by the DoE for agreeing to not sue the govt.

and probably the capital of all snow holes in the PNW. Lewiston and Tacoma's snow holes don't compare to it.

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Meh…It was okay. Could have used a few more inches. 

Marine Layer’s mom told me the same thing when I asked for honest feedback.

[WeatherGeek2022]

35 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

love to see maximum confidence achieved

[RentonHill]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Marine Layer’s mom told me the same thing when I asked for honest feedback.

You two made quite the spawn. 

[Cold Snap]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Meh…It was okay. Could have used a few more inches. 

At least you didn’t have to wake up to a 34 degree rain that morning with a south wind.

[Cloud]

52 minutes ago, JW8 said:

Why does it always have to work this way? A couple of the members really going for it though!

[Jbolin]

21 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Flatiron refuses to look at models past initialization. I have yet to find the intestinal fortitude to adopt such a disciplined approach. 

It's like a car accident man, we just can't look away.

[Jbolin]

9 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Marine Layer’s mom told me the same thing when I asked for honest feedback.

GTFO out of my head man.

[MossMan]

6 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

At least you didn’t have to wake up to a 34 degree rain that morning with a south wind.

That would have been horrific! 

[Weiner Warrior]

Yeah for CZ's. I'm in the purp

[Cloud]

Looks good for Central WV down to Medford. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18z not backing down! 

[Jbolin]

New forecast just dropped