TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Rewrite history all you want...I know you downplayed the threats that a regionally dry May/June posed, multiple times. Specifically because I said that August would likely be wet. Looks like it came a little too late. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 12Z ECMWF still shows a more focused area of rain sliding south later this afternoon and overnight. Looks like SEA will be completely missed as usual in this scenario. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 It wasn't so much that you wished the rain was more spread out, it was that you wished your area was as dry as the rest of the region. It wasn't until later in summer that you started wishing for regional rains. It was both... felt like we were robbed of sunny, warm weather and it felt like August was due to be wet across a wider area. I wanted the rain to be more spread out... or if it was going to stay dry across most of the region then I wanted to join in on the sunny, warm weather. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 PDX already up to 65. Decent chance they hit 70 before whatever precip there is makes it down here.Have some faith. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Nice day, feels refreshing! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Ensembles showing that Labor Day weekend miracle. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Ensembles showing that Labor Day weekend miracle.Gateway to winter!!! Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Ensembles showing that Labor Day weekend miracle.Euro still struggling in that period. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Ensembles showing that Labor Day weekend miracle.FWIW... the 12Z ECMWF surface maps shows dry weather with lots of sun and pleasant temps for all 3 days of Labor Day weekend. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Euro still struggling in that period.Agrees generally with the 00Z EPS with troughing lifting a little to the north. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 FWIW... the 12Z ECMWF surface maps shows dry weather with lots of sun and pleasant temps for all 3 days of Labor Day weekend.I'm placing my bet on the GFS being more correct this time. I think next weekend will be more troughy than this weekend. Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Agrees generally with the 00Z EPS with troughing lifting a little to the north.Could trend toward the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Could trend toward the GFS.I expect that actually. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 I expect that actually.Then why did you make reservations? You only do that when you’re confident it will be nice here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Then why did you make reservations? You only do that when you’re confident it will be nice here.No... I do it because I am expecting it not to be nice here. Nature just finds a way to prove me wrong each time. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 12 ECMWF shows virtually no rain south of Bellingham for the next week starting tomorrow. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Getting sun breaks here... no rain for the last hour. Breezy with very clean air now. Looks like its time to mow the lawn. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 64 degrees with clouds thickening up here. Light echoes showing up to the NW on radar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Lost in all the anxiety of rain versus no rain is the fact that we look to stay generally troughy pattern the next 7-10 days. A rarity in recent years to see a longish stretch starting this early. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 64 degrees with clouds thickening up here. Light echoes showing up to the NW on radar.73. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Lost in all the anxiety of rain versus no rain is the fact that we look to stay generally troughy pattern the next 7-10 days. A rarity in recent years to see a longish stretch starting this early.Lost maybe on you? I never said otherwise. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Lost in all the anxiety of rain versus no rain is the fact that we look to stay generally troughy pattern the next 7-10 days. A rarity in recent years to see a longish stretch starting this early.Hard to put my icy enthusiasm in a box over this particular August development. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Lots of PDX temperature anxiety recently. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Lots of PDX temperature anxiety recently.Just recently?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 12Z EPS generally agrees with the 12Z ECMWF. It shows the 576DM line right over Seattle for the entire holiday weekend... a little higher than the operational run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Hot Labor Day > Nice Labor Day>Smoky Labor Day>>>>Cloudy Labor Day>>>>>>>>>Wet Labor Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Just stay away from the Oregon Coast on Labor Day weekend. Don't even bother. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Winter is coming. https://mobile.twitter.com/wxcharts/status/1033775973462929408 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 70 degree rain incoming!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Hot Labor Day > Nice Labor Day>Smoky Labor Day>>>>Cloudy Labor Day>>>>>>>>>Wet Labor DaySnowy Labor Day??? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Solar activity has picked up again in August after being very low in July. This actually bodes well for those rooting for a longer, deeper solar minimum. Mathematically, looking at past solar mins, this cycle is mirroring ones from the Dalton Minimum in its descent. The last solar minimum did as well, with a protracted min from late 2008-early 2010, but this one is coming off a SC 24 peak that was 50% lower than SC 23. I suspect the early onset of -AMO conditions and the coolish Arctic summer are also related. The next few winters should be quite blocky and very interesting. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Winter is coming. https://mobile.twitter.com/wxcharts/status/1033775973462929408 Earlier than normal? Really feels like this coming winter is basically throw a dart. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Hot Labor Day > Nice Labor Day>Smoky Labor Day>>>>Cloudy Labor Day>>>>>>>>>Wet Labor DayHot seems very unlikely at this point. 12Z ECMWF and EPS show a scenario where we would all be saying it was nice. Hope that does not happen! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Earlier than normal? Really feels like this coming winter is basically throw a dart. Jesse AND Justin say complete dud so proceed with caution. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Just drove to Snoqualmie Ridge and back to drop off my son. Its amazing how much nicer it looks without the smoke... even with the dark clouds today. It looks vibrant and lush again... just by taking away the low level haze and the orange glow of the last 2-3 weeks. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Just drove to Snoqualmie Ridge and back to drop off my son. Its amazing how much nicer it looks without the smoke... even with the dark clouds today. It looks vibrant and lush again... just by taking away the low level haze and the orange glow of the last 2-3 weeks.STFU Tim. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Jesse AND Justin say complete dud so proceed with caution.Never said that. Is this the part when I yell “straw men!!!!”to show off my thick skinnedness? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 Never said that. Is this the part when I yell “straw men!!!!”to show off my thick skinnedness? It fits though... every time. And you keep doing it so I keep pointing it out. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 26, 2018 Report Share Posted August 26, 2018 STFU Tim.Can’t spell victim without Tim! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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