September 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Jesse]

It'd be nice to get this meridional retrogression crap out of the way now.

I can think of about 1985 examples of this sort of pattern establishing itself in the early fall and not working out later on.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Yeah, it shows a nice backdoor shot of cool air. Some good gorge outflow as well.

 

http://i63.tinypic.com/2qm0u34.png

 

Fills the entire valley down to Eugene/Springfield!  Very promising if there is any correlation between where we are now and Dec.

[MossMan]

I can think of about 1985 examples of this sort of pattern establishing itself in the early fall and not working out later on.

1985 was wonderful!

[Farmboy]

Yeah, it shows a nice backdoor shot of cool air. Some good gorge outflow as well.

Any predictions for the first frontal snow squall? I'll bet there's a frontal rainsquall or 2 or 3 or 4 in October or November...

[Deweydog]

I can think of about 1985 examples of this sort of pattern establishing itself in the early fall and not working out later on.

Sounds dry.

[Farmboy]

The secret's out...

 

https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/noaa-warm-dry-start-to-autumn-and-mild-winter-likely-on-tap

 

 

Sounds like another memorable winter.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I can think of about 1985 examples of this sort of pattern establishing itself in the early fall and not working out later on.

 

Get ready for another lame January.

[MossMan]

Sounds like another memorable winter.

I have a feeling that all hell is going to break loose this season...

Either weather wise or on this forum!

[Jesse]

Get ready for another lame January.

I was born ready.

[Geos]

San Juans getting some rain tonight.

 

[ShawniganLake]

San Juans getting some rain tonight.

 

A little more than 1/4” here today

[Deweydog]

I was born ready.

I was born with eleven fingers.

 

Analog!!!

[Jesse]

I was born with eleven fingers.

 

Analog!!!

You weren’t born that winter though.

[Blizzard777]

I was born with eleven fingers.

Analog!!!

Has Inigo Montoya come looking for you?

[Deweydog]

You weren’t born that winter though.

I was almost 11 when that winter came to pass...

[Jesse]

Trend toward keeping the highest heights offshore seems to be continuing on the 00Z GFS. Not quite to the backdoor action status of the Euro, though.

[Deweydog]

Next week's ridging definitely feels like a warning shot.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

GFS still has it completely dry here until well into the clown range.

[ShawniganLake]

Euro alert! Backdoor abuse!

[TT-SEA]

Euro alert! Backdoor abuse!

Sunny and pleasant!!

[ShawniganLake]

[TT-SEA]

Sounds exciting

 

 

[ShawniganLake]

It does show some lows in the 30’s after some gusty Fraser river outflow at the end of next week.

[TT-SEA]

It does show some lows in the 30’s after some gusty Fraser river outflow at the end of next week.

30s in a few wind protected spots. We have already seen lows in the 30s this week... old hat!

[ShawniganLake]

30s in a few wind protected spots. We have already seen lows in the 30s this week... old hat!

Not that it really matters but it would be more widespread than that.

 

On another note. Shawnigan lake will finish September with above normal rainfall. It has been a wet evening.

[Geos]

It does show some lows in the 30’s after some gusty Fraser river outflow at the end of next week.

I hope we see quite a few of those setups this winter.

 

Kind of a mostly cloudy morning with mid level clouds. Breezy already.

[TT-SEA]

I hope we see quite a few of those setups this winter.

 

Kind of a mostly cloudy morning with mid level clouds. Breezy already.

 

Might be a pretty decent day though.

 

The HRRR and 12Z NAM this morning are showing that the rain waits until after dark tonight.   

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Not that it really matters but it would be more widespread than that.

 

On another note. Shawnigan lake will finish September with above normal rainfall. It has been a wet evening.

 

Paltry rain in Victoria this past day, we were right on the edge of it. The next approaching system has been infused with tropical moisture so hopefully tonight/tomorrow overperforms.

[ShawniganLake]

Might be a pretty decent day though.

 

The HRRR and 12Z NAM this morning are showing that the rain waits until after dark tonight.

Seems hard to believe. Looks like the front is moving along pretty good right now.

[TT-SEA]

Seems hard to believe. Looks like the front is moving along pretty good right now.

 

 

Definitely arrives up there much earlier.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Still sunny here in Newport. 3 days in a row of sun and calm winds on the Oregon Coast is truly remarkable!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The next heatwave should be winding down by the time we get to October. 

[Blizzard777]

So, a little moisture this weekend and back to dry

 

Have the backyard being overhauled for the next several weeks so suppose the dry weather will work in their favor

[El_Nina]

Very very soupy morning in Fort Lauderdale.

[Jesse]

Still sunny here in Newport. 3 days in a row of sun and calm winds on the Oregon Coast is truly remarkable!

Isnt September usually they’re sunniest month out their

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Isnt September usually they’re sunniest month out their

 

So I have heard. I also heard it is the wettest cloudiest month in W. Washington, at least this year. 

[TT-SEA]

Very very soupy morning in Fort Lauderdale.

 

 

So 66 degrees with a dewpoint of 46?   

[MossMan]

Should be the perfect day to work in the yard...as long as the rain holds off until tonight like Tim said.

[TT-SEA]

Should be the perfect day to work in the yard...as long as the rain holds off until tonight like Tim said.

Should be OK up there... but obviously it might arrive a little earlier for you. I was focusing on the Seattle area.

[TT-SEA]

Should be the perfect day to work in the yard...as long as the rain holds off until tonight like Tim said.

 

 

FWIW... here is the 12Z WRF at 5 p.m.