SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 12Z GFS is crashing the ridge hard by day 8 with heavy rain. Some cooler air works in behind it too. Not a bad solution. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Looks like a pretty dark day today. Let's see how far into the 40s we will get? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 The gem shows an interesting setup with a ridge sitting over us in the extended, a pocket of -10c 850 temps in se Oregon and +5 everywhere else. It would likely be a pretty incredible low level cold setup, 2m temps show highs below freezing for west side locations.Tropical tidbits shows highs in the 40s, FWIW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 The 12z GFS is actually not horrible. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 GEM remains way more amplified with the mid range blocking ridge compared to GFS. Massive cold dump into middle of the CONUS for NYE/NY. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 GEM remains way more amplified with the mid range blocking ridge compared to GFS. Massive cold dump into middle of the CONUS for NYE/NY. gem_T850a_namer_26.png WCWF returns!!! Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 I think I'd rather see the GFS solution verify, though it is a huge outlier. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Should be another decent shot of Cascade snow today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Rain just quickly transitioned over to snow. 35 degrees and coming down lightly, so not sticking. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Tropical tidbits shows highs in the 40s, FWIW.Upper 30’s to 40 here near pdx, and would likely be cooler with fog and east wind/drift. I didn’t go enough frames to see the six hour increment high temp. Still impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Got down to 31 this morning before the front rolled through. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Just saw a couple flakes here. A couple days ago the wrf and gfs and euro were showing a trace-3” this morning so, no I’m not excited. 35f 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Rain just quickly transitioned over to snow. 35 degrees and coming down lightly, so not sticking. Same exact thing happening here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Have to give the FV3 credit. All of the models have really struggled past day 4 the past few days, but it appears to have been the most consistent and probably accurate for the pattern evolution in the 4-7 day period. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Ensembles have improved this morning. Definite cooler look in the mid range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Some wet snow mixing in here under a heavy shower. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Been 21 years since we’ve gone thru Christmas without even a trace of snow here. Actually haven’t even seen a mix to this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Congrats to folks seeing their first flakes this morning. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Been 21 years since we’ve gone thru Christmas without even a trace of snow here. Actually haven’t even seen a mix to this point. Worst winter since '25-'26. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Worst winter since '25-'26.Heading that way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Congrats to folks seeing their first flakes this morning. I already saw flakes on Nov 30th. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Some wet snow mixing in here under a heavy shower.Always amazed by how much snow you can get there. My friend todd lives at the Wishkah fish hatchery so I've spent alot of time down in that area. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Fwiw i have a good feeling that we'll start to see many chances gor lowland snow starting mid Jan. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Heading that way. One thing that annoys me about living out here is that so many people when they hear snow is in the forecast they get down. They complain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 One thing that annoys me about living out here is that so many people when they hear snow is in the forecast they get down. They complain. I don't think I've ever experienced this once. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 I don't think I've ever experienced this once. Just look when a forecaster goes on twitter and announces snow for the west coast. People say "oh God no" or "I can't live with that". I just feel that a lot of people that move out here are coming here because they hate the snow and want to escape it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 About to end... but this band did manage sticking snow for the first time this year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 I had about 45 minutes of snow that managed some slush on the cars. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Just look when a forecaster goes on twitter and announces snow for the west coast. People say "oh God no" or "I can't live with that". I just feel that a lot of people that move out here are coming here because they hate the snow and want to escape it.You are right about that. I used to get annoyed when I lived on the West Side (Bellingham), and I would watch the Seattle news, and if their weatherman said "The good news is that it is going to get warmer", or "Fortunately, we won't get ay snow from this system", the other anchors would almost applaud. But it is funny to see how people panic at the first hint of snow. If there is any possible snow in the forecast, social activities get cancelled. If there is even one tiny snowflake falling, the TV news leads with the story, and they send reporters all over the area as if a huge disaster just happened. But I do like Scott Sistek. I think he does like the snow, and understands there are a lot of people out in TV land who are also wanting snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Just look when a forecaster goes on twitter and announces snow for the west coast. People say "oh God no" or "I can't live with that". I just feel that a lot of people that move out here are coming here because they hate the snow and want to escape it. I don't pay much heed to idiots on twitter. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 12z GFS was quite nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 You are right about that. I used to get annoyed when I lived on the West Side (Bellingham), and I would watch the Seattle news, and if their weatherman said "The good news is that it is going to get warmer", or "Fortunately, we won't get ay snow from this system", the other anchors would almost applaud. But it is funny to see how people panic at the first hint of snow. If there is any possible snow in the forecast, social activities get cancelled. If there is even one tiny snowflake falling, the TV news leads with the story, and they send reporters all over the area as if a huge disaster just happened. But I do like Scott Sistek. I think he does like the snow, and understands there are a lot of people out in TV land who are also wanting snow. Yeah, you're right. It's the broadcasters that always bother me, they always are like "It's a beautiful day in Victoria, thankfully looks like spring has come early"...meanwhile it's the 3rd week of January! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Snow is one of nature's most amazing moments. I can remember walking around outside as a kid in amazment. The silence is one of the coolest things and i still enjoy it as much as ever. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Unfortunately the majority of people find snow annoying and disruptive. I always give a few of my friends that hate the snow a hard time on Facebook whenever they post anything negative about snow. I somewhat understand. I do wish people would see the beauty in the snow, but it is hard to drive around in over there. Here they plow the streets, and I always tell people the hardest part about my drive is my driveway (before I use my snowblower), because the streets are cleared after a snow. During the snow can get a bit tricky though, so having an all wheel drive or 4WD is essential. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 12z GFS was quite nice. It was Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Snow is one of nature's most amazing moments. I can remember walking around outside as a kid in amazment. The silence is one of the coolest things and i still enjoy it as much as ever. The quiet of a snowfall always amazes me, and is part of the beauty of it. I also remember in 1985 after a big snow in Bellingham just before Thanksgiving, we walked downtown to buy something, and the city was so quiet, since cars were not driving around. Loved that quiet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 It wasI think a lot of it has to do with expectations. After the past few days of model trends I had pretty much written off the first 7-10 days of January as ridgy with generally high heights and maybe some warmish, splitty systems moving in if we’re lucky. Still could happen I suppose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Wonder why the local climate and past weather page on Portland NWS has been down so long. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 26, 2018 Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Wonder why the local climate and past weather page on Portland NWS has been down so long. Works for me. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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