December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Blizzard777]

He needs a heart transplant as soon as possible. He became sick the 1st week of November and turned very ill around Thanksgiving. Blood clots in both right and left ventricles. Liver and kidney issues, but those are slowly and steadily improved. It's very serious and very saddening. Thank you for asking.

 

12z NAM in 9 hours 16 minutes

Your family is in my thoughts and prayers as well DJ

Hope a donor is found soon

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Thos is a non lighter friendly night tonight.

 

My thumb has a callous lol.

[Geos]

Just went out. Roads are covered in limbs and pine cones. Some PSE trucks out in random places as well. Winds seem to be slackening off a little now.

[Blizzard777]

Winds seem to be decreasing now

Generator is no longer on call

[TigerWoodsLibido]

He needs a heart transplant as soon as possible. He became sick the 1st week of November and turned very ill around Thanksgiving. Blood clots in both right and left ventricles. Liver and kidney issues, but those are slowly and steadily improved. It's very serious and very saddening. Thank you for asking.

 

12z NAM in 9 hours 16 minutes

 

 

Thinking of you man.

[TT-SEA]

Wind has really quieted down here too.

[Chewbacca Defense]

He needs a heart transplant as soon as possible. He became sick the 1st week of November and turned very ill around Thanksgiving. Blood clots in both right and left ventricles. Liver and kidney issues, but those are slowly and steadily improved. It's very serious and very saddening. Thank you for asking.

 

12z NAM in 9 hours 16 minutes

 

Sorry to hear, you guys are in my thoughts.  Hopefully they can get things sorted out quickly.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just came home from bar hopping in Kirkland. Very, very gusty down there and the wife texted me saying it was cranking up at our house a little earlier.

 

Lots of trees and big tree limbs down between Kirkland and Carnation. Drove through 3 or 4 areas without power as well. I wasn't able to enjoy it as much as I normally do but glad to see it semi-overperformed.

 

Late night

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS goes to a decent place again...

[MossMan]

Windstorm now over. 43 degrees.

[MossMan]

Looked like a fun morning in the Methow area on Wednesday.

[seattleweatherguy]

Just came home from bar hopping in Kirkland. Very, very gusty down there and the wife texted me saying it was cranking up at our house a little earlier.

 

Lots of trees and big tree limbs down between Kirkland and Carnation. Drove through 3 or 4 areas without power as well. I wasn't able to enjoy it as much as I normally do but glad to see it semi-overperformed.

There are bars in kirkland? I hear at olive garden the lights flickered some. Round two on tuesday?

[Bryant]

[seattleweatherguy]

[Gradient Keeper]

Thank you all, I greatly appreciate it. We are being told that "time is of the essence" and in fact the doctors, cardiologists are surprised his heart is still functioning. We don't know if he will be going to the UW Medical Center, Spokane, or Los Angeles. We are REALLY hoping/praying for UW/Seattle!

 

Hoping the 00z EURO offers some blocking before Day 10.

[Geos]

A lot of power outages on the east side now. Big ones in Redmond, Kirkland, Sammamish, and Woodinville now.

[ShawniganLake]

Seems like the long range ensembles have been moving away from the idea of a blocky looking pattern

[Geos]

There are bars in kirkland? I hear at olive garden the lights flickered some. Round two on tuesday?

Yeah there's some in the city.

[Gradient Keeper]

Seems like the long range ensembles have been moving away from the idea of a blocky looking pattern

Dang it. That figures.

[ShawniganLake]

Dang it. That figures.

What do you think. Doesn’t really look close to being good for arctic air to me

 

[seattleweatherguy]

Yeah there's some in the city.

Interesting will have to check that out to meet new people.

[seattleweatherguy]

Yeah there's some in the city.

You recommend any? I hope round 2 is more exciting followed by snow across wa and or

[Gradient Keeper]

What do you think. Doesn’t really look close to being good for arctic air to me

 

EBE1796A-48EB-450E-8437-CCE02B61511F.png

Nice southeast ridge, but no amplification with Gulf of Alaska block, then it flattens. Who knows. It'll be different tomorrow.

[Bryant]

Interesting will have to check that out to meet new people.

A bar isn't exactly the best place to meet new people... lol

[Jesse]

Sorry Rob. Hope nephew is ok. Always good to see you back here. You are a forum staple.

[Requiem]

Tuesday has a lot of potential (not only for wind) but for heavy rain and high waves. It could be a genuinely stormy day, akin to something like December 7th, 2015, though I expect the gusts could be a bit higher and the rainfall totals quite a bit lower. Anyone else see the potential?

[Omegaraptor]

Tuesday has a lot of potential (not only for wind) but for heavy rain and high waves. It could be a genuinely stormy day, akin to something like December 7th, 2015, though I expect the gusts could be a bit higher and the rainfall totals quite a bit lower. Anyone else see the potential?

Forecasts are showing the pineapple express event on Tuesday to be weakening. This morning it was forecasted at 1.25” Tuesday, now 0.75” Tuesday but with another 0.75” on Thursday. In addition, Monday will have significant precip.

 

It will not even get close to December 2015. However, it will push December rainfall totals to above-normal levels.

 

Do Pineapple Express events reduce drought?

[Requiem]

Forecasts are showing the pineapple express event on Tuesday to be weakening. This morning it was forecasted at 1.25” Tuesday, now 0.75” Tuesday but with another 0.75” on Thursday.

 

It will not even get close to December 2015.

Did I say it would? The combination of wind and rain would allow for a similar kind of day to 12/7/15. As I said, the rain totals will be a lot less. But dark, stormy, and at least blustery looks probable.

[Omegaraptor]

Did I say it would? The combination of wind and rain would allow for a similar kind of day to 12/7/15. As I said, the rain totals will be a lot less. But dark, stormy, and at least blustery looks probable.

Edited my post, I didn’t say enough. Same situation as Dec 2015 (atmospheric river from Hawaii), but much weaker rainfall.

[Bryant]

Did I say it would? The combination of wind and rain would allow for a similar kind of day to 12/7/15. As I said, the rain totals will be a lot less. But dark, stormy, and at least blustery looks probable.

Yes, you actually did.

[Timmy]

The euro is hot garbage tonight, looks like split flow and nothing remotely interesting.

[Requiem]

Yes, you actually did.

 

Er...no? Where did I say rainfall totals from Tuesday's storm will approach 12/7/15?

[Requiem]

The euro is hot garbage tonight, looks like split flow and nothing remotely interesting.

 

Monday-Friday looks stormy enough.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z CMCE flat ridging, zero amplification......

 

It seems we take 1 step forward, then 1 step back, then 2 steps forward, and now 15 backwards at a rapid pace. Jeez.

 

I just saw this on Michael Ventrice's twitter. Blah. Let's nope the models are just in havoc mode due to the SSW event/PV Split.

 

Michael Ventrice‏Verified account @MJVentrice 19 hours ago

 

 

Latest ECMWF Week 2 forecast has backed away from the impressive blocking signature over the North Pacific into North Pole. This shift resulted in less cold air directed towards North America, putting cold late December and early January calls at risk for failure.

 

[Requiem]

 

00z CMCE flat ridging, zero amplification......

 

It seems we take 1 step forward, then 1 step back, then 2 steps forward, and now 15 backwards at a rapid pace. Jeez.

 

I just saw this on Michael Ventrice's twitter. Blah. Let's nope the models are just in havoc mode due to the SSW event/PV Split.

 

Michael Ventrice‏Verified account @MJVentrice 19 hours ago

 

 

Latest ECMWF Week 2 forecast has backed away from the impressive blocking signature over the North Pacific into North Pole. This shift resulted in less cold air directed towards North America, putting cold late December and early January calls at risk for failure.

 

 

 

For a more short term question, how is Tuesday looking for wind and rain? 

[Timmy]

For a more short term question, how is Tuesday looking for wind and rain?

Zero wind and negative rain.

[Requiem]

Zero wind and negative rain.

 

I wanted a helpful answer, but okay.

[Gradient Keeper]

For a more short term question, how is Tuesday looking for wind and rain? 

WRF shows something like 12 hours of 30-40kt gusts for the Willamette Valley and a butt load of rain. AR pointed right at western OR. I dunno what the EURO shows though.

[seattleweatherguy]

Flatstick is always one of our faves.

 

Craft beer + cheap putt-putt = a good time.

Thanks for the tip cheers for hopefully a good winter to remember

[Requiem]

WRF shows something like 12 hours of 30-40kt gusts for the Willamette Valley and a butt load of rain. AR pointed right at western OR. I dunno what the EURO shows though.

 

Alright, I was wondering whether I was misinterpreting the models, because that's what I see as well. EURO shows some 45-60 mph gusts in the Willamette Valley. Lots of rain as well.