TT-SEA Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 FV3 is wonderful for SW WA and NW OR. Definitely a step back for King County compared to its 00Z and 06Z runs. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 WRF is strange... it does not even show solid cloud cover in the Seattle area late tomorrow evening when it also show it dumping snow. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Is there an upvote/downvote feature on mobile? Also, things still looking interesting for the region over the coming days. Will be such a nice break from the monotony. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 And then it shows skies clearing before dawn... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 It will change at least 20 more times. Wrong!! 22 at least! My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Tonight starts my snow. The heaviest looks to be Sunday night into Monday morning. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Must be the convective nature of the airmass by that time. WRF is strange... it does not even show solid cloud cover in the Seattle area late tomorrow evening when it also show it dumping snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Wow by Sunday morning next week the GFS is a huge outlier on the warm side. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 And here is Monday afternoon per the WRF. No idea how to explain the precip it shows in conjunction with the cloud cover it shows. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 And then it shows skies clearing before dawn... Weird. Heavy cloud in my area and not much in the way of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 WRF is strange... it does not even show solid cloud cover in the Seattle area late tomorrow evening when it also show it dumping snow. Historic lofting event do to intense release of thermals caused by swamp gas. Resulting in a nearly cloudless snowstorm! 1 My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 BTW. I haven't said a thing to anyone. My wife knows just because she has seen me obsessing over the models, but I haven't said a word. Someone came in my office yesterday and asked me what I thought about snow chances, and I said "what snow chances, I've been so busy with traveling I haven't checked." 5 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 GFS mean goes below -5C at 10z tomorrow morning and stays there for at least 9 days. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 BTW. I haven't said a thing to anyone. My wife knows just because she has seen me obsessing over the models, but I haven't said a word. Someone came in my office yesterday and asked me what I thought about snow chances, and I said "what snow chances, I've been so busy with traveling I haven't checked." Wow, you truly are a man of the people. Thank you for your difficult work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 WRF nails Seattle and the western half of King County from about 8 p.m - 2 a.m. tomorrow night.The band falls apart after that as the low slips south.Thanks for the timing as it stands now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Partly sunny morning here. It was still drizzling at 6 a.m.Drizzle here as well but some blue is starting to break through44* with a low of 43* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Historic lofting event do to intense release of thermals caused by swamp gas. Resulting in a nearly cloudless snowstorm! This is looking like a rain shower to snow shower event in the swamp. The ground will be wet with rain limiting any accumulation of snow. A heavy band stalls over the swamp and things could change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 GEM is suddenly snowy for King County. WRF is decent....Thoughts? mmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dairyd Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 WRF is strange... it does not even show solid cloud cover in the Seattle area late tomorrow evening when it also show it dumping snow. I believe it corresponds to upper air dry slotting. how that transpires is unclear if you look at the goes-17 satt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Ensembles are going to come in a little cooler. FV-3 is a little too west late week, but not as bad as the operational. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Still socked in with fog and mist here this morning, 41. It would be neat if we could score another high in the 40s today. If so it could be a clean sweep below 50 through at least the tenth or so. Maybe mid-month? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Current dew points 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Nothing like good weather models hot cup of coffee and listing to tool at about 120 decibels. 5 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 OH MY GOD Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 These 2 coyotes know the snow is coming! Or mating season has just begun. I need to get my fence up. 3 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Ensembles never get above -3.5C Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Not exactly unexpected but the latest WRF is slower at bringing in the lower level cold: 12z: 0z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Nice morning... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 OH MY GOD Historic. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Total snow on Sunday night per the 12Z ECMWF... too much eastward shift for Seattle now. More snow out here. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Deformation band right over King County on Monday morning... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Total snow on Sunday night per the 12Z ECMWF... too much eastward shift for Seattle now. More snow out here. That is an improvement for east king county, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Total snow through Monday at 10 a.m... now King County is a big winner. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 The 12z FV3 looks good for Monday. Rain changes over to snow at PDX by Monday 4am. Then it pretty much snows until Tuesday morning as a deformation band sets up shop. The deformation band then starts to slip south later Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Looks like some fun coming up in Haida Gwaii; currently 23F up in masset with significant potential for sea effect snow. However, it doesn't look like they've seen any sticking snow yet: http://images.drivebc.ca/bchighwaycam/pub/cameras/198.jpg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Total snow through Monday at 10 a.m... now King County is a big winner. Uugghh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Deformation band right over King County on Monday morning... WOW massive improvement! Just the trend we want to see. No more farther east though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Historic.Close to the vaunted pv? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Monday afternoon... deformation band is falling apart. Looks like King County might be the best spot now for the deformation band. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 2, 2019 Report Share Posted February 2, 2019 Total snow through Monday at 10 a.m... now King County is a big winner. Wow. 4-6" up here now. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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