TT-SEA Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Wow! The WRF actually shows snow here tomorrow morning. I'll have to see it to believe it. Good catch. I saw the precip but did not check the temp. Might be a favorable time of the day... then it warms up in the early afternoon... and then cold air arrives by late afternoon. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 That would singlehandedly ruin any prospects of snow here.Lol yeah. In these sorts of scenarios they wait until the event is wrapping up to add the warning lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Total snow from 10 p.m - 1 a.m. Resorting to the shittty WRF model now all of a sudden, weird!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Another interesting thing the WRF has been hinting at is a NW / east wind convergence tomorrow evening over King County. Could be interesting. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 How are things looking for PDX snow-wise on Monday with these new updates? "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 I just hope the EURO sticks to its guns tonight. I don't care for the limited snow on the WRF. The WRF is actually pretty good. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Big WRF run for southern VI tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Monday at 7am, 00z HRDPS has a deformation band forming but on the east slopes of the Cascades. However it curls back west to SEA in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 The WRF was way too aggressive at bringing the cold air in on previous runs. Yesterday's 0z had sub-freezing 925mb temperatures here this morning. Tonights 0z has them arriving near midnight tonight. Still plenty cold tomorrow morning, but you wouldn't want to see it pushed back another 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 The ultra high res models show Seattle area getting almost nothing. Nam 3k and the hrdps. R2D2 look good though. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Resorting to the shittty WRF model now all of a sudden, weird!! Its what is coming out now. I am just grabbing whatever is updating. The WRF is usually quite bad. But its more information available for us to decipher. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Snowfall on the WRF through 4 AM Monday. Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Convection lottery commencing in about 24 hours, good luck to everyone!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 The WRF was way too aggressive at bringing the cold air in on previous runs. Yesterday's 0z had sub-freezing 925mb temperatures here this morning. Tonights 0z has them arriving near midnight tonight. Still plenty cold tomorrow morning, but you wouldn't want to see it pushed back another 12 hours. This is so common with the WRF. Its almost always too aggressive with cold air penetration at the onset of events. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 00z HRDPS snowfall through Monday 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Oh My God 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Not sure why the WRF map somebody else posted is so lame. The ones I've looked at are pretty decent for King County. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Not sure why the WRF map somebody else posted is so lame. The ones I've looked at are pretty decent for King County.Intentionally selective Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Not sure why the WRF map somebody else posted is so lame. The ones I've looked at are pretty decent for King County. Here is the 12km map. Looks like a solid 1-4 inches east of 167. East King County does decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 This is going to blow up. I love it. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 This is going to blow up. I love it. Did you see the map I posted?! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 OMG! The thing for later next week is amazing on this run. Worlds better than the 12z. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Here is the 12km map. Looks like a solid 1-4 inches east of 167. East King County does decent. Very decent. This is just the beginning too! Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 OMG! The thing for later next week is amazing on this run. Worlds better than the 12z. Yeah, its snow up here pretty much non-stop from hour 108-180. Then maybe a 24 hour warm up to 35 degree rain here, but up north you guys will still be in business. Have that low drop dig a little harder around hour 204 and we'll be into a full on blast. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 This is going to blow up. I love it.I wouldn't be surprised if you did better than me but you deserve it after all you been through this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Very decent. This is just the beginning too! This whole month might surpass December 2008. Finally low solar paying off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Nice looking outflow during the day tomorrow, this could be a midnight high sort of a day: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 GEM is pretty decent as far as the GEM goes. Snow event dropping south Friday night-Saturday. Some cold air coming back toward the end. Never truly warms up. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 This whole month might surpass December 2008. Finally low solar paying off. I hope this month surprises us all, though I don’t think it’ll surpass 12/08. At least probably not, but you never know. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 This whole month might surpass December 2008. Finally low solar paying off.Do some people not realize just how high the bar 2008 set? 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Maps!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 WRF continues it's march eastward with the main N/S precip band. Although, it is the WRF... the same model that a few days ago everyone decried as one of the worst models when it was showing diddly squat. Again, it's painfully obvious that no one should put any stock in a singular model, run, map, etc. It's clear the models have no idea what's going to happen. This type of conundrum leads to good 'ol fashioned reliance on radar/surface analysis tomorrow and tomorrow night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Nice looking outflow during the day tomorrow, this could be a midnight high sort of a day: Look at the WSW flow meeting the north east. Theres bound to be some convergence, at least over the peninsula tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Intentionally selectivePeople wanted to know timing. I posted the maps for each 3 hour period. You cannot come on and here and call me out for the maps that don't look awesome because I have been posting literally everything. Hundreds of good snowfall maps. I post them as they come. No matter what they show. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Very snowy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Amplification never gets there though which is why we never go full arctic in the believable range. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dairyd Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 The WRF was way too aggressive at bringing the cold air in on previous runs. Yesterday's 0z had sub-freezing 925mb temperatures here this morning. Tonights 0z has them arriving near midnight tonight. Still plenty cold tomorrow morning, but you wouldn't want to see it pushed back another 12 hours. Seems verified, mesoscales work best when they have good data in their boundary conditions (as the storm approaches): 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 3, 2019 Report Share Posted February 3, 2019 Fraser outflow gradient now up to -18mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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