February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[TT-SEA]

Seems like there is a local bias towards relying too much on the UW tools and not enough on the Euro.

 

 

He laments the UW model failures without even acknowledging that there was a model that did show what would happen the day before.   Its like he does not allow himself to even look at the ECMWF surface maps because he does not want to know how bad his models are in reality.   

[kokaneekidz]

Does the UW WRF utilize only GFS input or is it a blend of NAM and GFS and HRRR???

 

He laments the UW model failures without even acknowledging that there was a model that did show what would happen the day before.   Its like he does not allow himself to even look at the ECMWF surface maps because he does not want to know how bad his models are in reality.   

[umadbro]

Looking forward to the 36 degree deformation drizzle this afternoon!

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Does Victoria still have their long streak of above freezing high temps intact? I wonder if that may end today?

 

Probably at YYJ, I think much of Victoria proper had a sub-freezing high 2 years ago, but I think the airport still ended up above freezing. The sun is breaking through now and without snow on the ground things might warm up more than expected. Still will be a bit of a stretch to break freezing today, but I wouldn't be surprised if it gets close.

[Requiem]

Most areas have a pretty wind blown dusting down here. As far as I'm concerned we may be the biggest losers of this event.

Seriously? You are not the biggest losers in this event. At least you got something.

[Geos]

Really dumping on the city now.

 

[Esquimalt]

Seriously? You are not the biggest losers in this event. At least you got something.

You might get the deformation bands.  We literally had three quarters of an inch of powder scattered because of the 35 mph north easterlies.  Most of the roofs aren't even white. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Is she okay? 

 

She just called. Sounds like they are going to have to take her appendix out.

[Canadian guy]

Most areas have a pretty wind blown dusting down here.  As far as I'm concerned we may be the biggest losers of this event. 

 

At least there is some more opportunities coming up later this week.

[Requiem]

She just called. Sounds like they are going to have to take her appendix out.

Oh no! I’m so sorry, hope she gets better soon. At least they have a diagnosis.

[Tyler Mode]

Looks like the band is rapidly moving west now up in Seattle, and a much lighter band is developing down here east of Portland and moving west.

 

This will look awesome on the new GOES 17 satellite when skies clear.

 

Currently 34 here and winds have just switched from the SE to the NW.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Seriously? You are not the biggest losers in this event. At least you got something.

 

There's something to be said for being in a snowless hole with the coldest airmass of the year in your area essentially going to waste. Doesn't feel nearly as bad when snow is pounding the Northern BC Coast and we get nothing, but never really had a chance anyway.

[Perturbed Member]

You might get the deformation bands.  We literally had three quarters of an inch of powder scattered because of the 35 mph north easterlies.  Most of the roofs aren't even white. 

 

We're going to most likely get a very light mix of rain and snow that accumulates to nothing. It is nearly 36F now and these precip rates are way too weak to cool anything. 

[TT-SEA]

She just called. Sounds like they are going to have to take her appendix out.

 

Oh wow.  

[TT-SEA]

Does the UW WRF utilize only GFS input or is it a blend of NAM and GFS and HRRR???

 

Just the GFS I believe.

 

And its screws that up because even the GFS was showing more snow and than the WRF.  

[Requiem]

You might get the deformation bands. We literally had three quarters of an inch of powder scattered because of the 35 mph north easterlies. Most of the roofs aren't even white.

I would have taken that any day. We’re getting light rain.

[HighlandExperience]

Wow dumping snow still

[Kayla]

She just called. Sounds like they are going to have to take her appendix out.

 

Yikes, that's no fun. Been there done that when I was 16. Sending positive thoughts!

[TT-SEA]

Wow dumping snow still

 

 

Nice!

 

The Highlands web cam looks awesome.   How much did you get?

 

Nothing falling here at all.  I think we are totally done.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Snow has moved back over here!

[Geos]

Sweet, nice encore batch coming in.

 

[Bryant]

18° and lightly snowing. 4.5-5" currently. Amazing seeing snow fall with such cold temps

[Esquimalt]

There's something to be said for being in a snowless hole with the coldest airmass of the year in your area essentially going to waste. Doesn't feel nearly as bad when snow is pounding the Northern BC Coast and we get nothing, but never really had a chance anyway.

And the worst is seeing people all around except you score.  I hope we'll get payback when we score big later this week. 

[Timmy]

18° and lightly snowing. 4.5-5" currently. Amazing seeing snow fall with such cold temps

2 kold 4 sno

[Sometimesdylan]

I love how this forum has come alive. Good wx... good forecast!

[GHweatherChris]

Might get a bit more from the east as the low progresses, daytime snow falling and sticking would be a great end to this appetizer!!

[Perturbed Member]

HRRR now has a lot of the deformation precip as just rain

 

[wxmet]

FV3-GFS 12z is very snow for western WA starting Friday and continuing into Saturday. Looks like some strong dynamics will be in play as well with 700mb frontogenetically-forced bands developing. Hope the Euro 12z agrees.

[Requiem]

HRRR now has a lot of the deformation precip as just rain

 

Just not our time.

[TT-SEA]

I was just checking out traffic cams... amazing how little snow there is north of Bellingham.   It looks great from Bellingham southward but north of town there is basically no snow and just howling wind.    That would suck.    Too much outflow and not enough moisture.   I know it works in their favor sometimes when its raining in Bellingham and snowing in Lynden.

 

[Requiem]

Well, Seattleites better not complain about 1/10/17 anymore.

[Bryant]

2 kold 4 sno

I honestly don't remember the last time it was snowing and this cold. Probably when I lived closer to the Fraser outflow, but even then we would typically dry out very fast with those temps

[Bryant]

Well, Seattleites better not complain about 1/10/17 anymore.

That event still doesn't compare to this one

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Oh wow.  

 

Yeah  

 

At least it didn't happen last week when we were in Oklahoma. 

[Dave]

Just incredible! Still moderate snow and 18.2 degrees.

You should drive back to your old house to compare the snowfall differences once the roads are driveable.

[kokaneekidz]

Bizarre. They need to look into how it analyzes things. I can remember just a year or two ago it showing like a massive convergence zone snow that never materialized along the county line. There must be some inherent flaw in the way it overdoes CZ zones but underplays deformation boundaries and arctic fronts. Or maybe the lack of arctic fronts means it does not have enough data to compute.

Just the GFS I believe.

 

And its screws that up because even the GFS was showing more snow and than the WRF.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This might be the coldest and snowiest for some since 1990. That's cold wind and snow at once.

[Jesse]

That event still doesn't compare to this one

This one seems better in some ways. Colder temps overall and higher winds. Although it depends on what you’re into.

[Blizzard777]

4 inches and continues to snow and blow

24*

[Jesse]

my phone shows snow starting here at 2pm and continuing too 1:am do you think it is write