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February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV


Geos

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This is why the snow totals went up dramatically in the Seattle area.   The trough has shifted just far enough west now to pump in the moisture all the way up here.

 

ecmwf_z500a_namer_3.png

 

The GFS and FV3 are a little farther east at this time.   And its just 48 hours away.   Big implications.

Poor Hawaii, taking the hit for our fun weather up here

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Brings back 2008 memories.

Did that happen in 2008? Never had a warm up in my area that I remember. Definitely no rain in my area during that 2+ week stretch.
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Did that happen in 2008? Never had a warm up in my area that I remember. Definitely no rain in my area during that 2+ week stretch.

I think he meant the brief pullback in the model solutions that ended up being a fake out.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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Well hope everyone enjoys the cold night tonight. Down to 22 already here with some stars out...Going to nod off from the night shift tonight...

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5th snowiest day in history at PDX.

This is just completely lacking nuance. PDX NWS station maybe but the result in "Portland" proper is incredibly different. I live downtown and we had an inch and some flurries. My brother lives at 50th and Woodstock and they got 2" that melted very quickly. One of my friends off Killngsworth/99W got about the same. It was a complete non-event for a huge amount of the actual city. Nobody will remember this day. A lot of people remember Feb 2014.

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Total precip over the next 4 days... you would think we would see a huge fetch of moisture approaching us right now from the Pacific.  

 

 

ecmwf-tprecip-washington-17.png

 

sat.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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This is just completely lacking nuance. PDX NWS station maybe but the result in "Portland" proper is incredibly different. I live downtown and we had an inch and some flurries. My brother lives at 50th and Woodstock and they got 2" that melted very quickly. One of my friends off Killngsworth/99W got about the same. It was a complete non-event for a huge amount of the actual city. Nobody will remember this day. A lot of people remember Feb 2014.

Yeah, but technically the statement “5th snowiest February day at PDX is still true”. But the rest I agree with, even though I actually liked this storm.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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This is just completely lacking nuance. PDX NWS station maybe but the result in "Portland" proper is incredibly different. I live downtown and we had an inch and some flurries. My brother lives at 50th and Woodstock and they got 2" that melted very quickly. One of my friends off Killngsworth/99W got about the same. It was a complete non-event for a huge amount of the actual city. Nobody will remember this day. A lot of people remember Feb 2014.

 

A lot of people in the large swath of east Vancouver that got 5-6" will. It was a gorgeous day.

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A lot of people in the large swath of east Vancouver that got 5-6" will. It was a gorgeous day.

Weird day for sure, almost squally in nature. Loved it, had a different feeling than our usual dry east wind driven snow.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Digging deeper into the 0z ECMWF it would be a snowpocalypse for King County.  925mb temps remain zero or lower through the vast majority of the heavy precip and 850s remain solidly below zero.  The kicker is weak easterly surface gradients will continually feed low level cold into the picture while the precip is falling.  In short very snowy.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Agreed! It is so borderline now I would not be surprised to see rain or a mix precip. Really on the edge. It is not a good sign to be honest.

 

The other possibility I don't like is a boat load of heavy wet snow.  That stuff isn't nearly as fun as the drier snow.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Sorry but hey I was replying to a quote about how PDX had a top snow storm Feb total. Felt like there is a lot of nuance missing there. Didn't want to argue about random parts of the metro.

Sure, but “nobody will remember this day” seemed like a statement that was missing some nuance as well. ;)

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Moody Saturday night on Mt. Scottjosh...

Don’t take the bait.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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The other possibility I don't like is a boat load of heavy wet snow. That stuff isn't nearly as fun as the drier snow.

I actually like wet snow much more than dry snow. Clings to the trees and makes for a much better workout when shoveling. And it usually means warmer temps so roads aren’t as terrible. Win win win.

 

Dry snow doesn’t hold on the trees and always blows off the roofs/etc before it can add up. It just doesn’t look as nice, IMO.

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foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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Guest CulverJosh

Moody Saturday night on Mt. Scottjosh...

 

Yes.  Hard to shake the sting of what this week could have been down here.  I was so ready for an epic week.  Especially after the crap we endured Nov/Dec/Jan.  I will just hang my hat on the potential for the end of the week and hope we can kill the onshore flow at some point.

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Nice to see the Euro is still on for the block reset in the 8 to 10 day period.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Yes. Hard to shake the sting of what this week could have been down here. I was so ready for an epic week. Especially after the crap we endured Nov/Dec/Jan. I will just hang my hat on the potential for the end of the week and hope we can kill the onshore flow at some point.

You’re still in a much better location than others and you’ll have plenty more chances. You’ll get nailed at some point soon.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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