February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV

[ShawniganLake]

Day 10...

 

Wow. FWIW the GEM ensemble had several members showing arctic air towards the end of week 2

[snow_wizard]

Good grief.  The ECMWF has another wave piggy backing over the block at day 10.  No end in sight!

[luvssnow_spokane]

SEA still at just 27.

Odd. maybe my temp gauge is faulty. IN the shade so not sure what is going on. Melting in the shade a little so above freezing here.

[wx_statman]

Historic sustained cold in N. Minnesota over the past 3-4 weeks. 

 

As an example, the town of Cotton has averaged a minimum of -26.7F since January 15th. The previous coldest avg. minimum during this stretch was -25.3 in 1996. 

 

Cotton COOP has seen lows of:

 

-46 on 1/20

-56 on 1/27 (made national news)

-53 on 1/30 (also -56 at Walker COOP on this day)

-56 on 1/31

-46 on 2/9 

 

International Falls pulled off their coldest average minimum for Jan. 16-31, with an average of -26.4 (previously -25.6 in 1963). Int'l Falls has seen minimums of:

 

-38 on 1/19

-37 on 1/25

-46 on 1/27

-40 on 1/30

-45 on 1/31

-38 on 2/9

[ShawniganLake]

The outflow was crazy yesterday. Took a roof off a house in Abbotsford. And did massive damage to the marina in horseshoe bay

 

[luvssnow_spokane]

Good grief.  The ECMWF has another wave piggy backing over the block at day 10.  No end in sight!

No end just marginal waming and probably not a lot more snow for those south of Seattle after midweek. We shall see. Been an awesome run though!!!!

[snow_wizard]

The average high for Eugene is about 52 by that point. It is a pretty significantly cool airmass.

 

That it is.  As long as highs are below 40 the cold nights will keep melting slow.

[Front Ranger]

Odd. maybe my temp gauge is faulty. IN the shade so not sure what is going on. Melting in the shade a little so above freezing here.

 

Well, everywhere north and west of you is easily below freezing. Clouds should reach you soon, anyhow.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Scary amounts of snow possible here over the next 5 days.

[seattleweatherguy]

Scary amounts of snow possible here over the next 5 days.

What counts as scary? And looks like cold lasts until March

[snow_wizard]

No end just marginal waming and probably not a lot more snow for those south of Seattle after midweek. We shall see. Been an awesome run though!!!!

 

It's going to be weird seeing the snow just slowly melt off like it normally does in much colder climates.  I think one more Arctic outbreak is still highly possible also.

[Front Ranger]

Historic sustained cold in N. Minnesota over the past 3-4 weeks. 

 

As an example, the town of Cotton has averaged a minimum of -26.7F since January 15th. The previous coldest avg. minimum during this stretch was -25.3 in 1996. 

 

Cotton COOP has seen lows of:

 

-46 on 1/20

-56 on 1/27 (made national news)

-53 on 1/30 (also -56 at Walker COOP on this day)

-56 on 1/31

-46 on 2/9 

 

International Falls pulled off their coldest average minimum for Jan. 16-31, with an average of -26.4 (previously -25.6 in 1963). Int'l Falls has seen minimums of:

 

-38 on 1/19

-37 on 1/25

-46 on 1/27

-40 on 1/30

-45 on 1/31

-38 on 2/9

 

Nino climo.

 

[snow_wizard]

The outflow was crazy yesterday. Took a roof off a house in Abbotsford. And did massive damage to the marina in horseshoe bay

 

0E783715-3291-43B4-B1B0-434D43797DAA.png

 

Just nasty up there.

[snow_wizard]

Nino climo.

 

30dTDeptUS.png

 

Not!

[TT-SEA]

New update from Cliff Mass...

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/02/a-modest-snow-event-later-today.html

[wx_statman]

Nino climo.

 

30dTDeptUS.png

 

Weird year!

[snow_wizard]

Well, everywhere north and west of you is easily below freezing. Clouds should reach you soon, anyhow.

 

It's still freezing here also.  The snow is absolute fluff.

[kokaneekidz]

I see snow falling ALREADY down the straight of Juan de Fuca. This is wonderful, not much warming by the sun , unlike yesterday. Let's keep the ground frozen before the next acts of Mother Nature's love. The best Valentine's gift ever....

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Temp rising rapidly under cloud cover with some light flurries. Up to 29 now. I see much of the valley already has light southerly flow. 

[Farmboy]

Definitely colder than if we had bare ground. But the ECMWF does a really a good job accounting for snow cover. All those low 40s later in the week would probably be mid to upper 40s with no snow.

Ouch.

[snow_wizard]

The Euro spits out really cold nights next weekend.  Upper teens and low 20s.  Should refreeze everything nicely.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Ouch.

Had to come to end eventually. This is the first signs. Been amazing for some and I hope those that got left out can get more.

[HighlandExperience]

It's going to be weird seeing the snow just slowly melt off like it normally does in much colder climates.  I think one more Arctic outbreak is still highly possible also.

 

 

Did you see the morning WRF map for snowfall ? It shows barely an inch over most of king county. I really don't think that can be right compared the ECMWF. 

[Front Ranger]

Echoes rapidly approaching the coast. I think Victoria area will do well with this.

[Jbolin]

Well, it was fun while it lasted.

[Requiem]

Well, it was fun while it lasted.

 

If you live in the Sound you are probably going to get at least some snow.

[runninthruda206]

If you live in the Sound you are probably going to get at least some snow.

some meaning 6-8 at least

[Requiem]

some meaning 6-8 at least

 

1-4 at the very least, I'd expect.

[Blizzard777]

I’m going to shovel the driveway and make my own Mount Rainer!

It will last longer that way.

 

Will enjoy tonight’s light snow and ready to accept however this battle ends.

I have this gut feeling it’s going to be ugly....stocking wood in the garage and generator area has been set up.

[jakerepp]

My phone and car both saying 28* here still under mostly cloudy skies. It wont even get to freezing, I'd guess.

[luterra]

Somehow our coldest air mass of the season only gave me a low of 28 in Corvallis this morning, definite bust on the 18-20 predicted.  Too much cloudcover and mixing.  South winds kicked in at 10 am, headed for rain.

 

Latest GFS shows the atmospheric river pushed north to our area for Mon-Tues, gives me 5" at face value in the next 8 days.  That much water with relatively low snow levels will definitely help with the drought at least :-).

[Requiem]

Somehow our coldest air mass of the season only gave me a low of 28 in Corvallis this morning, definite bust on the 18-20 predicted.  Too much cloudcover and mixing.  South winds kicked in at 10 am, headed for rain.

 

Latest GFS shows the atmospheric river pushed north to our area for Mon-Tues, gives me 5" at face value.  That much water with relatively low snow levels will definitely help with the drought at least :-).

 

5 inches? Whoa, that's a juicy front alright.

[kokaneekidz]

Just nasty up there.

That really sucks to be enduring all this with ZERO SNOW on the ground whatsoever. I would not be a happy camper...

[overcast]

I’m going to shovel the driveway and make my own Mount Rainer!

It will last longer that way.

 

Will enjoy tonight’s light snow and ready to accept however this battle ends.

I have this gut feeling it’s going to be ugly....stocking wood in the garage and generator area has been set up.

 

Agreed. For the south sound, whether it's a foot of new snow, freezing rain, or rain on top of 10-15 inches of snow, any outcome shown would have big impacts and certainly power outages. Should be interesting!

[MossMan]

Talk about deep blue skies this morning...fantastic! Clouding up nicely now!

25 currently.

[kokaneekidz]

My personal forecast is tonight is going to be wonderful for the CZ area in particular I see some 12 inch totals coming to whereever it sets up home ... Could be around Marysville or as far south as Shoreline. But the way the low is progged to come right over the middle of the metro area just north of the low will be the major winner of this event.

[North_County]

That really sucks to be enduring all this with ZERO SNOW on the ground whatsoever. I would not be a happy camper...

It's coming. I refuse to be as pessimistic as others because as long as there's cold air there's a chance.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

That really sucks to be enduring all this with ZERO SNOW on the ground whatsoever. I would not be a happy camper...

 

You haven't had any so far?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

It's coming. I refuse to be as pessimistic as others because as long as there's cold air there's a chance.

Particularly since it's soooo easy for those of you in the Fraser Valley to get an overrunning event.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The higher resolution 12z WRF for today's system (which is just now starting to show up on the radar):