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February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV


Geos

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No way it snows below 1000' monday night. Not a chance.

South valley is cursed so there is zero chance here.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Southerly trend!

 

Hope it keeps it up (after Tuesday, that is).

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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GFS needs to trend better for Wednesday if PDX is going to see anymore snow.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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A few flakes coming down right now...not too impressed because there is a strong south easterly wind which is evaporating a lot of the precipitation.

 

Yeah, light NE winds would be better for sustaining precipitation, some indications the low is coming in just a bit too far north and putting us in the maximum region of shadowing. The struggle to get meaningful precipitation is the thing I hate the most about this microclimate.

 

I think there's still a chance this works out, the dewpoints aren't extremely low and evaporative cooling could get us to a good temperature for quick accumulation. Just depends on very small details in the track of the low.

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Yeah, light NE winds would be better for sustaining precipitation, some indications the low is coming in just a bit too far north and putting us in the maximum region of shadowing. The struggle to get meaningful precipitation is the thing I hate the most about this microclimate.

 

I think there's still a chance this works out, the dewpoints aren't extremely low and evaporative cooling could get us to a good temperature for quick accumulation. Just depends on very small details in the track of the low.

This is stupid. People to the north of us will get it. People to the south of us too and then there's us who get nothing.

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Light snow falling in the swamp. This might be the last snowfall of the winter in the swamp. Going to savor it.

How much have you had so far?

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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18z looking colder end of the week. Just a little movement of the block to the east makes a big difference with the storms coming from the north.

 

Shows significant cold troughing.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just some light snow for a half hour or so.

For the whole event so far? Sorry man.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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Share on other sites

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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Hey all, I'm kinda new here. For my Portland folks, anybody take a look at the possibility of an isothermal snowfall situation tomorrow night into Tuesday morning? Some of the higher res models (3km NAM, HRDPS) are showing this possibility. Here's what I'm referring to:

 

hrdps_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_48.png

"Hope" probably wasn't the "analysis" you needed. Jesse was right, wait and see.  What I'm seeing, it is unlikely going to happen if you're looking for  snow on the valley floor. That's my best look forward. If you have some elevation to work with, maybe.  Too early to tell.   Winds have already shifted WSW or SW in Salem.  I've switched to the W here across the valley near Estacada.  I'm thinking low levels will be just a bit too warm.  .  If winds stay S, SW, or WSW I don't see it happening.  It is a wait and see this far out. Stranger things have happened.  Root for at least a shift to NW wind. 

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"Hope" probably wasn't the "analysis" you needed. Jesse was right, wait and see.  What I'm seeing, it is unlikely going to happen if you're looking for  snow on the valley floor. That's my best look forward. If you have some elevation to work with, maybe.  Too early to tell.   Winds have already shifted WSW or SW in Salem.  I've switched to the W here across the valley near Estacada.  I'm thinking low levels will be just a bit too warm.  .  If winds stay S, SW, or WSW I don't see it happening.  It is a wait and see this far out. Stranger things have happened.  Root for at least a shift to NW wind. 

 

If you're calling me out (or at least trying to) for saying "we can hope", than what I was trying to say is that we can't figure out things this early. Really no need to grill me for not providing an analysis, as this isn't a feature present on numerous models.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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At hour 180 here comes the next trough...

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I like to go back 4 or 5 days and look how watered down the troughs are compared to what we Acually get. Next weekend will get colder than modeled now.

5 days ago... the ECMWF was WAY colder for this upcoming week. It has trended much warmer. It was so cold that all the snow was down in Oregon and CA.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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