SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 The North Bend station was warmer and even drier... Avg Max 56.7Avg Min 35.0Mean 45.2Precip 1.71" They don't measure snow there. 8 days with lows below freezing... all before 3/10. The first 9 days were cold with highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s... started warming up on 3/10 with a high of 54. We had a 35/17 day on the 4th and a 66/42 day on the 19th for our coldest and warmest days of the month. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 We had a 35/17 day on the 4th and a 66/42 day on the 19th for our coldest and warmest days of the month. 38/27 on the 4th was the coldest day. 78/52 was the warmest day of the month up here... also on the 19th. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 63 now and partly sunny here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 38/27 on the 4th was the coldest day. 78/52 was the warmest day of the month up here... also on the 19th. We had solid snow cover through the 19th and there was still quite a bit around for a few days after so that undoubtedly kept temps down a bit during the warm spell. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 We had solid snow cover through the 19th and there was still quite a bit around for a few days after so that undoubtedly kept temps down a bit during the warm spell. Yeah my buddy out in the eatonville/graham area had solid snowcover until about the same time. On the 18th most places around his house had 6” atleast on the ground with more in the shaded areas too. Pretty crazy how long the snow lasted in lower elevations. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 There would still be some. But what the GFS shows is not really even related to shadowing on Sunday... the main moisture plume is just a little too far to the south and east. In a true shadowing scenario... you would see heavy precip on the Olympic Peninsula as well. 12Z ECMWF looks a little farther south and east with the moisture plume on Sunday... but its close to what the GFS shows. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Still wet down here. I remain skeptical that this cooler and rainy pattern will continue past the 20th or so. Our new normal is a blast furnace from late April-late September. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 12Z ECMWF looks a little farther south and east with the moisture plume on Sunday... but its close to what the GFS shows. I’d send y’all some of our precip if I could. We have hit the jackpot for well over a month now. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 68 and partly sunny... making a run at the 6th day in the 70s here since the middle of March. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Still wet down here. I remain skeptical that this cooler and rainy pattern will continue past the 20th or so. Our new normal is a blast furnace from late April-late September.Easy mowing! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Reading between the lines I can at least infer with some degree of confidence that the 12z Euro is not significantly warmer/drier than the 00z. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 12Z ECMWF shows a similar pattern late next week to the pattern that has resulted in the generally dry and warm weather recently: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Reading between the lines I can at least infer with some degree of confidence that the 12z Euro is not significantly warmer/drier than the 00z. Quite a bit drier up here than the 00Z run. Only shows about an inch of rain total in the Seattle area over the next 10 days compared to about 1.6 inches on the 00Z run. Its basically dry after Monday which is similar to the last run. It is wetter in central and southern Oregon though compared to the 00Z run. It shows 3.9 inches in Eugene over the next 10 days while the 00Z run showed 2.7 inches. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted April 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Amazing to see PDX hasn't received measurable rain yet. Salem is at about 1/2" over the past 24 hours now. 1.09" in Eugene over the past 30 hours. There was some light drizzle this morning in this part of Portland. I looked at the airport data and it’s a straight line of T’s every hour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Snowed in Charlotte, NC this morning. Lol. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Reading between the lines I can at least infer with some degree of confidence that the 12z Euro is not significantly warmer/drier than the 00z.You are correct. Essentially unchanged from 00z. Timing of waves is slightly slower after D7 so there’s a longer gap between fronts but extrapolating would yield a similar result to 00z. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 One nice day after another!Spring has sprung in my nostrils! Hay fever eruption today...ugh! 60* currently Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 The 79/16 spread that OLM saw last month is one of their greatest in history. I'm almost positive it's their biggest for March, and has to be top 3 on record. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Lots of troughy 12z EPS members. Pattern eventually evolves into a more progressive wavecycle so a more active trough-ridge-trough sequence develops over the PNW. Large scale theme remains the same in the long range. Active wavetrain/-NAO under a dynamic final warming and the corresponding return to equatorward wave activity fluxes. The aforementioned pattern fits these boundary conditions. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 You are correct. Essentially unchanged from 00z. Timing of waves is slightly slower after D7 so there’s a longer gap between fronts but extrapolating would yield a similar result to 00z.Yeah, I hadn’t gotten a chance to check until just now. But sometimes it's the posts that aren’t made here can be some of the most informative. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Lots of troughy 12z EPS members. Pattern eventually evolves into a more progressive wavecycle so a more active trough-ridge-trough sequence develops over the PNW. Large scale theme remains the same in the long range. Active wavetrain/-NAO under a dynamic final warming and the corresponding return to equatorward wave activity fluxes. The aforementioned pattern fits these boundary conditions.A variable pattern in the long range sounds perfect. Hopefully we can get some decent rainfall under our belts between now and then. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 You are correct. Essentially unchanged from 00z. Timing of waves is slightly slower after D7 so there’s a longer gap between fronts but extrapolating would yield a similar result to 00z. Are you looking at the rainfall map for WA and OR? Because that is what we are comparing and what Jesse was referring to... since that is what matters to him. He was saying that it must be as wet or wetter since I did not reference it. But it was actually drier up here and I had just not mentioned it yet. It is drier from Portland northward. 00Z run... And new 12Z run... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 War of Interpretation. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 War of Interpretation.Now that you’re here maybe we can add some extrapolation to the mix! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 War of Interpretation. Not really. Jesse was referring to me... and his post earlier about me only mentioning when the models are drier and warmer. He assumed that the ECMWF must not be drier or warmer because I did not post about it. Fair assumption. But I just had not had time yet. It is actually quite a bit drier up here. I am a little surprised actually... an inch of rain over the next 10 days is not exactly wet considering the long dry period we have experienced. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Partly sunny and 70 in North Bend now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Seems like we basically have the same weather in the Portland area today that Salem had most of yesterday afternoon. Temps around 60 with light rain at times. Very slow northward progression of this system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Now that you’re here maybe we can add some extrapolation to the mix! I think it's safe to assume the War of Interpretation can be extrapolated to continue well beyond 240 hours. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 I think it's safe to assume the War of Interpretation can be extrapolated to continue well beyond 240 hours.Summer 2018 only wetter and snarkier!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Are you looking at the rainfall map for WA and OR? Because that is what we are comparing and what Jesse was referring to... since that is what matters to him. He was saying that it must be as wet or wetter since I did not reference it. But it was actually drier up here and I had just not mentioned it yet. It is drier from Portland northward. 00Z run... And new 12Z run... How does that contradict anything I said? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 And yes, Tim, SEA ran the warmest departure from average of all major stations last month. For reasons that are obvious to anyone with a functioning brain. I have never argued that North Bend will be colder than SEA every single day. To imply otherwise is just intellectually dishonest. Enjoy your rain. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 And yes, Tim, SEA ran the warmest departure from average of all major stations last month. For reasons that are obvious to anyone with a functioning brain. I have never argued that North Bend will be colder than SEA every single day. To imply otherwise is just intellectually dishonest. Enjoy your rain. I will enjoy the rain... we really need it. And I have never said there was not UHI at SEA. I have agreed with Jared's analysis many, many times. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Looks like PDX is picking up measureable rainfall for the first time this month. And hopefully not the last! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Hoping for a windstorm- chances are pretty slim though. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 I pretty much just stick to the GFS. I end up being much happier that way. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Seems like we basically have the same weather in the Portland area today that Salem had most of yesterday afternoon. Temps around 60 with light rain at times. Very slow northward progression of this system. Be interesting to see how much I ended up with today. Looks like a little upslope shower activity developing, but southerly flow like this is typically going to yield pretty uniform precip rates across the region. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Saturday could be mostly dry and mild down here. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 GFS cooler and wetter next week. 12z ensembles were quite a bit cooler. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 Good Lord... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 2, 2019 Report Share Posted April 2, 2019 GFS cooler and wetter next week. 12z ensembles were quite a bit cooler.It would seem everything is trending cooler and wetter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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