May 2019 Weather Discussion PNW

[TacomaWaWx]

Very beautiful sunset tonight. Hazy smoke in the upper atmosphere and a few clouds making for a colorful scenic view tonight.

61 degrees here currently.

[TT-SEA]

Also very close to reality here, although we completely cleared out for almost 4 hours, not a cloud in the sky and gorgeous until this evening.

It only shows 6 hour increments though. Lots of things can happen in between those snapshots.

[TT-SEA]

Tomorrow might be a repeat of today... then improvement on Thursday.    I also wonder if the increase in particulate matter in the air from the Alberta fires also enhances the marine layer with weak flow aloft.

 

The GFS is also pretty robust with that trough on Sunday and Monday... but its still dry like the ECMWF has been showing.

[Geos]

Saw the sun breaks about 4pm. Was about 65° or 66° for the high.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Ornery guy west of Kennewick.

RFD in that? Can’t tell if it’s a hook.

[seattleweatherguy]

Might go on vacation for a few days starting from the 9th of June any significant weather changes?

[seattleweatherguy]

Also considering week of 23rd in June not sure if a pattern change can be seen this far out

[SilverFallsAndrew]

No smoke down here. Had some sunbreaks in the afternoon, but clouded up pretty quick around sundown. 

[Requiem]

Absolutely WILD.

 

https://twitter.com/KansasCityMedia/status/1133153659733331969

[MossMan]

Absolutely WILD.

 

https://twitter.com/KansasCityMedia/status/1133153659733331969

Wow! I watched that at least 15 times, so awesome!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Absolutely WILD.

 

https://twitter.com/KansasCityMedia/status/1133153659733331969

Is that slowed down a ton or just a little?

[TT-SEA]

Thursday through Sunday look spectacular on the 00Z ECMWF. Much less marine influence those days. Warm and sunny... hopefully not too much smoke.

 

It has always shown tomorrow as a marine layer day since it came into view last week... but it has shown afternoon clearing. I am skeptical.

[Requiem]

Is that slowed down a ton or just a little?

 

I believe it is raw footage.

[ShawniganLake]

Accuweather

 

Expect an unusually warm and dry summer across western Canada, especially British Columbia through the Yukon Territory. This is likely to lead to an active wildfire season in this region, with a higher probability of large fires that can burn tremendous amounts of land area. Later in the summer, smoke from large wildfires in the north may become a health issue at times across southern British Columbia and southwestern Alberta, this includes places such as Vancouver, Edmonton and Calgary.

****In Canada, lightning causes around 50 percent of all wildfires (from National Resources Canada), however, lightning started fires are responsible for 85 percent of all the area that is burned in Canada on average.

--Increased potential for record-challenging heat over portions of British Columbia this summer.

--Currently, significant drought exists in portions of northwestern British Columbia, northern Alberta and from south-central Saskatchewan to south-central Manitoba. Based on our current outlook, I fear that drought conditions may become extreme this summer from central and northern British Columbia, through northern Alberta.

 

[TT-SEA]

Accuweather

 

Expect an unusually warm and dry summer across western Canada, especially British Columbia through the Yukon Territory. This is likely to lead to an active wildfire season in this region, with a higher probability of large fires that can burn tremendous amounts of land area. Later in the summer, smoke from large wildfires in the north may become a health issue at times across southern British Columbia and southwestern Alberta, this includes places such as Vancouver, Edmonton and Calgary.

****In Canada, lightning causes around 50 percent of all wildfires (from National Resources Canada), however, lightning started fires are responsible for 85 percent of all the area that is burned in Canada on average.

--Increased potential for record-challenging heat over portions of British Columbia this summer.

--Currently, significant drought exists in portions of northwestern British Columbia, northern Alberta and from south-central Saskatchewan to south-central Manitoba. Based on our current outlook, I fear that drought conditions may become extreme this summer from central and northern British Columbia, through northern Alberta.

 

2EB23D6D-9C69-4CD6-888C-EC7920EBD434.png7F1760A4-83A6-4F32-98D3-B7A5F3479133.png

 

 

Its really nice that the warm and dry anomalies stop right at the border!  

 

WA state is all good.   

[MossMan]

Thursday through Sunday look spectacular on the 00Z ECMWF. Much less marine influence those days. Warm and sunny... hopefully not too much smoke.

 

It has always shown tomorrow as a marine layer day since it came into view last week... but it has shown afternoon clearing. I am skeptical.

Excellent! I am renting an excavator for the weekend so I was hoping for dry and nice weather!

[TacomaWaWx]

[TacomaWaWx]

55 and under the marine layer again this morning. We will see if the sun makes an appearance earlier this afternoon than yesterday.

[seattleweatherguy]

Thursday through Sunday look spectacular on the 00Z ECMWF. Much less marine influence those days. Warm and sunny... hopefully not too much smoke.

 

It has always shown tomorrow as a marine layer day since it came into view last week... but it has shown afternoon clearing. I am skeptical.

I'm heading up to Arlington WA on June 9th for a few days. Can't wait I hope weather or smoke will be a non issue

[TT-SEA]

Gorgeous weekend ahead per the 12Z ECMWF.

 

It also brings in a little rain late next week up here... but not much.    And almost nothing south of Seattle through day 10.  

[TacomaWaWx]

Suns starting to break through the marine layer already, about 3 hours earlier than yesterday. Up to 61 degrees.

[MossMan]

I'm heading up to Arlington WA on June 9th for a few days. Can't wait I hope weather or smoke will be a non issue

What part of Arlington?

[TT-SEA]

Suns starting to break through the marine layer already, about 3 hours earlier than yesterday. Up to 61 degrees.

 

 

Same here.    And totally sunny down in western Oregon already.

 

The 12Z ECMWF does not show anything close to marine layer day down there (or even up here) for the next 10 days.   It does show some actual clouds from a frontal system late next week... but nothing like what it showed for yesterday with an obvious marine inversion lasting most of the day.

 

Andrew's hope for endless marine layer and maybe 1-2 hours of sun breaks each evening is looking pretty bleak.  

[TacomaWaWx]

Same here. And totally sunny down in western Oregon already.

 

The 12Z ECMWF does not show anything close to marine layer day down there (or even up here) for the next 10 days. It does show some actual clouds from a frontal system late next week... but nothing like what it showed for yesterday with an obvious marine inversion lasting most of the day.

 

Andrew's hope for endless marine layer and maybe 1-2 hours of sun breaks each evening is looking pretty bleak.

I’m not a huge fan of the marine layers. It’s nice sometimes that it will keep the daytime heating down a little bit. Overall if it’s going to be dry it might as well be sunny out. Overcast skies and no rain is lame. The May/June gloom is probably one of my least favorite weather patterns.

[TT-SEA]

I’m not a huge fan of the marine layers. It’s nice sometimes that it will keep the daytime heating down a little bit. Overall if it’s going to be dry it might as well be sunny out. Overcast skies and no rain is lame. The May/June gloom is probably one of my least favorite weather patterns.

 

 

I am not fan of all day low clouds either.   I am fine with a few rainy days mixed in... but just being stuck in the gloomy crap for days on end feels like summer is being taken away.   Despite it being somewhat normal around here.    I don't have to love all weather here... even if its not too unusual.    

[TacomaWaWx]

I am not fan of all day low clouds either. I am fine with a few rainy days mixed in... but just being stuck in the gloomy crap for days on end feels like summer is being taken away. Despite it being somewhat normal around here. I don't have to love all weather here... even if its not too unusual.

Yeah that is true the weather can’t be something you love everyday. Weather looks awesome over the next week atleast.

[ShawniganLake]

I’m not a huge fan of the marine layers. It’s nice sometimes that it will keep the daytime heating down a little bit. Overall if it’s going to be dry it might as well be sunny out. Overcast skies and no rain is lame. The May/June gloom is probably one of my least favorite weather patterns.

Move north. We get very few marine layer days up here. Been sunny the past couple days. Just a few patches of clouds this morning but not much to mention

[TT-SEA]

Move north. We get very few marine layer days up here. Been sunny the past couple days. Just a few patches of clouds this morning but not much to mention

 

 

Less haze today?

[ShawniganLake]

Less haze today?

Seems to be better for sure. Could see the mountains again driving into town this morning

[TacomaWaWx]

Move north. We get very few marine layer days up here. Been sunny the past couple days. Just a few patches of clouds this morning but not much to mention

I hope to move up to Bellingham or Anacortes sometime in the next few years. Really love it up there. Close to the San Juan’s and lots of hiking spots. I like Tacoma but I would prefer the Bellingham area would be a dream to live there. Plus they more interesting weather than Tacoma being near the Fraser river valley.

[Front Ranger]

The true test of a weather weenie's enthusiasm is tracking the marine layer.

[seattleweatherguy]

What part of Arlington?

Going to Angel of the Winds casino area to sight see and go to the state parks around there. Not much of a gambler but I hear their buffet is good for lunch!

[TacomaWaWx]

Up to 67 degrees at 4pm. Perfect weather in my opinion. Some anvil clouds over the cascades but other than that sunny day.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Nice day out today. Time to mow soon.

[Timmy Supercell]

Doesn't look like any thunder today, but things look more promising next few days. Maybe I'll get a video or two if they are good enough.

[MossMan]

Going to Angel of the Winds casino area to sight see and go to the state parks around there. Not much of a gambler but I hear their buffet is good for lunch!

You should run over to the Camano Island state parks, beautiful area!

[Phil]

Days start getting shorter in 4 weeks!

[TT-SEA]

Days start getting shorter in 4 weeks!

 

Days starting getting longer in 30 weeks!!  

[TacomaWaWx]

Days start getting shorter in 4 weeks!

Before we know it it’ll be October. I swear time flies faster once you get older.

[High Desert Mat?]

Hmmmm, where is this going?