Front Ranger Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 5 hours ago, TacomaWx said: Tomorrow could be a really nice rain maker. Could be the biggest daily rainfall since 12/26. My job has actually slowed down quite a bit without much in the way of rainfall this rainy season. April is looking like a good bet to be wetter than January (2.92”) , February (1.98”) or March (2.77”) this year. What will you do as things dry out more seasonally? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 11 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I feel like nationally, this cold season has sorta been a hybrid of 2013-14, 2010-11, and 2000-01. Lots of blocking and consistently cold air over large portions of the country, but more West-focused this winter. The interesting thing about March 2012 is that it followed a blowtorch winter for much of the country, and was actually a furnace of a month for anyone not on the West Coast. If it was a harbinger of summers to come, definitely does look different this year! Despite being similar-ish at Andrew's place. This winter was a blowtorch here. Warmest on record. There were zero similarities to 2013/14, which was one of the greatest winters of all time in this area. It snowed like 1-2 times per week from Jan-Mar in 2014, with two 18”+ storms and subzero temperatures on multiple occasions. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said: Does he like GRAUPEL? Funny how Michael Snyder is so anti graupel. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 37 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I feel like nationally, this cold season has sorta been a hybrid of 2013-14, 2010-11, and 2000-01. Lots of blocking and consistently cold air over large portions of the country, but more West-focused this winter. The interesting thing about March 2012 is that it followed a blowtorch winter for much of the country, and was actually a furnace of a month for anyone not on the West Coast. If it was a harbinger of summers to come, definitely does look different this year! Despite being similar-ish at Andrew's place. March 2012 was much wetter here. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 Where is that first spring heat wave? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 11 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Where is that first spring heat wave? Phil’s house. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Congrats! So many big life events for you in the last couple of years. This latest development might slow down the frequency of the drunken bar nights? Thank you and to everybody! I haven’t slept in 48 hours lol My bar hopping days are now over 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 59 minutes ago, Phil said: This winter was a blowtorch here. Warmest on record. There were zero similarities to 2013/14, which was one of the greatest winters of all time in this area. It snowed like 1-2 times per week from Jan-Mar in 2014, with two 18”+ storms and subzero temperatures on multiple occasions. Talking big picture, Phil. As I said, consistent cold anomalies in the lower 48/blocking, but more west-centered this winter. Weren't 2000-01, 2010-11, and 2013-14 all +QBO/-ENSO as well? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 I was looking on YouTube and stumbled upon this video on a EF4 tornado on 3/31/23. I'll admit, the video quality is awesome. Very crystal clear. It has over 3 million views. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 34 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: March 2012 was much wetter here. Yeah, the wetness was obviously a lot further south along the west coast pretty much this entire winter, compared to any recent Nina. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said: I was looking on YouTube and stumbled upon this video on a EF4 tornado on 3/31/23. I'll admit, the video quality is awesome. Very crystal clear. It has over 3 million views. Nice. One of the more compact EF4s I've seen. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 3 hours ago, Omegaraptor said: South Sierra snowpack is at 296% of April 1 average. Has been hovering at 280-290% lately. Can we get over 300%? Already is. 7 1 Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 From NWS Boise. 1993 was the last year in the top 9 before this year. #Boise set the record of consecutive day below 60 degrees yesterday at 154 days! Records began in 1875. The streak will continue through at least Friday. #idwx #orwx 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 20 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Thank you and to everybody! I haven’t slept in 48 hours lol My bar hopping days are now over You will sleep again…In about 4 years…Unless you have another! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 From NWS Pocatello Idaho Falls keeping with its cold streak recorded a daily record low of 15°F this morning breaking the previous record of 16°F set back in 1961. IF, Rexburg, and Challis are also now at their ALL-TIME longest streak of not hitting 50°F! #idwx 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 6, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 Nice to see some cold records for once. 5 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 36 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Thank you and to everybody! I haven’t slept in 48 hours lol My bar hopping days are now over What’s the lizard’s name? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 16 minutes ago, MossMan said: You will sleep again…In about 4 years…Unless you have another! Our first would sleep like 10-12hrs straight almost every night as a baby. It was easy. Our second was the total opposite Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Our first would sleep like 10-12hrs straight almost every night as a baby. It was easy. Our second was the total opposite Same here but in reverse. Clearly girls are better people and respectful of circadian rhythms. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 37 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said: I was looking on YouTube and stumbled upon this video on a EF4 tornado on 3/31/23. I'll admit, the video quality is awesome. Very crystal clear. It has over 3 million views. Incredible footage. He was very confident they were safe despite being so close. It just missed those two houses... razor thin margin between being totally destroyed and no damage. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Our first would sleep like 10-12hrs straight almost every night as a baby. It was easy. Our second was the total opposite Opposite for us! Though neither were fantastic sleepers the first two years. Funny enough the only thing that never woke them up were our barking dogs! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 48 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Talking big picture, Phil. As I said, consistent cold anomalies in the lower 48/blocking, but more west-centered this winter. Weren't 2000-01, 2010-11, and 2013-14 all +QBO/-ENSO as well? Correct, all +QBO/-ENSO. I see the similarities to both 2000/01 and 2010/11, yes. But 2013/14 was +TNH, this winter was basically opposite. But maybe I’m biased to my own backyard. 2013/14 was almost as special as 2009/10 here. Just an amazing winter, complete with everything. And it was long winter, ran from November to April. And followed by an amazing summer full of troughing and severe weather. Doubtful we repeat that this year. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Phil’s house. 88.3°F here today. Frogs are loving it though. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 6, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 Nothing like a good old fashioned Phlat Ranger debate to bring me back to the cold phase dase. Best sign so far that THINGS HAVE CHANGED. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 13 minutes ago, Phil said: 88.3°F here today. Frogs are loving it though. 30 degrees colder here today and yet the frogs are also singing loudly tonight. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 Saturday looks great on the 00Z GFS... and now even Sunday looks warm and dry from Portland southward. The rain does not move in down there until Monday morning. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 14 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Nothing like a good old fashioned Phlat Ranger debate to bring me back to the cold phase dase. Best sign so far that THINGS HAVE CHANGED. I feel a sad whisk of nostalgia now. Tacoflatman and I's debates used to fill these pages up during the slow season. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 30 degrees colder here today and yet the frogs are also singing loudly tonight. North Bend frogs must be hardy af. Ours don’t sing unless temps are in the 60s or higher. Though there are several species. The ones singing now are down by the creek and make a droning/wailing sound. Tree frogs come out later, in June usually, which make the more classic croaking noise. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 7 minutes ago, Phil said: North Bend frogs must be hardy af. Ours don’t sing unless temps are in the 60s or higher. Though there are several species. The ones singing now are down by the creek and make a droning/wailing sound. Tree frogs come out later, in June usually, which make the more classic croaking noise. They must be... about 10 days ago when it was snowing in a c-zone just north of my area and 36 and drizzling here they were singing loudly. I theorized at the time that they must shut down when it gets to 32. They are loud tonight at 46 degrees. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 Still not real cloudy here... full moon shining brightly through thin high clouds. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 Dang snow still won’t melt in twisp hills. This is a less sunnier part but still. My dad used the snowblower to make a path around the garden yesterday. Had to wait until afternoon for it to soften up since it’s refreezes every night 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 2 hours ago, Front Ranger said: What will you do as things dry out more seasonally? Just pray that the lord blesses us with a 2019 esque summer. He’s blessed us so much lately 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Still not real cloudy here... full moon shinning brightly through thin high clouds. There are rain drops here Timothy. I warned my boss that tomorrows gonna be a SOAKER. A rarity for the 22-23 rainy season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 Raining 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 6, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 4 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Dang snow still won’t melt in twisp hills. This is a less sunnier part but still. My dad used the snowblower to make a path around the garden yesterday. Had to wait until afternoon for it to soften up since it’s refreezes every night Did you hear this weekend is looking slightly warmer than it was looking yesterday but much much colder than it was looking Sunday though? Great/terrible trends for snowmelt. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: There are rain drops here Timothy. I warned my boss that tomorrows gonna be a SOAKER. A rarity for the 22-23 rainy season. Obviously still dry here. And tomorrow depends on where you are working. It will be wet but not crazy wet on the east side of the Seattle area. Maybe only a quarter of an inch out here. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Obviously still dry here. And tomorrow depends on where you are working. It will be wet but not crazy wet on the east side of the Seattle area. Maybe only a quarter of an inch out here. I’m going to be working up in Redmond along our drainage basins on 520. Probably won’t be as wet up there as it will be back here at home. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Obviously still dry here. And tomorrow depends on where you working. It will be wet but not crazy wet on the east side of the Seattle area. 2nd shade of grey! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 1 minute ago, TacomaWx said: I’m going to be working up in Redmond along our drainage basins on 520. Probably won’t be as wet up there as it will be back here at home. Another Hood Canal special with weak offshore flow. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 6, 2023 Report Share Posted April 6, 2023 Something to watch in the models... the MJO might be moving into phase 8 in the next 7-10 days which tends to put the main troughing offshore in April with warmer conditions in the west and really warm in the Midwest. So the models might have a tendency to trend toward troughing offshore as things get closer... which is a much different pattern than being centered over the intermountain west as we have seen for the last 2 months. Likely means warmer and wetter for the PNW. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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