Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Eurasia/NW-Pacific wavetrain looks more amplified. Let’s see if this helps amplify the NPAC in the long range. Test case for upstream drivers, perhaps. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Offshore ridge, Central Pacific energy may be trending further west at Day 5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Day 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Man Siberia/Scandinavia is perfect this run. I think? Really eager to see D10-16. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Day 6 past 4 runs. I don't hate this trend to flatten the ridge over us sooner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 We need some snow for the llamas! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 we really need some blocking in the SE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Too bad the moisture moved through so quickly, the snow was coming down at a good clip for a few minutes. Has stopped and the temp is back to 36 after dipping to 34. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Too far west.... initially Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 What we really need is the pattern to move into the 5-6 day range. It’s been two weeks of saying, “day 10 is really going places, I like what I see”. Just sayin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 What we really need is the pattern to move into the 5-6 day range. It’s been two weeks of saying, “day 10 is really going places, I like what I see”. Just sayinEven the same comments about day 7, just sayin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Down to 33. Hoping for some precip later, TWC says a mix is possible. Will be staying up for that and watching the map analysis, thank you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Down to 34F so that will get us back closer to average for the date. Maybe we can pull off a freeze? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 This run is much worse in the mid-range. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Typical model noise. One run taketh away, another giveth. Onto the 00z GEM, 00z GEFS, and EURO of course. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Ffs. According to the GFS, the longitude of the wavebreak matters more than its latitude/amplification (initially). So I guess if it’s too far west, the result could be a GOA trough split w/ the Arctic air flying off into eastern Canada. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Finally gets there. We are losing that first trough around the 4th though. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Ffs. According to the GFS, the longitude of the wavebreak matters more than its latitude/amplification (initially). So I guess if it’s too far west, the result could be a GOA trough split w/ the Arctic air flying off into eastern Canada.The block can't be any further west than 160 W typically. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Finally gets there. We are losing that first trough around the 4th though. Going the way of the trough on the 30th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Tonight’s snow flurry is warning shot #1! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Pattern at 264 hours looks pretty similar to the pattern right meow. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Pattern at 264 hours looks pretty similar to the pattern right meow.Chilly, lowland snow flurries in favored locations! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 This run has a much weaker PV vs 18z, though. That alone should make middle latitude cold easier to come by in the long run, all else being equal of course. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Tonight’s snow flurry is warning shot #1!I can't believe I am ahead of you on the snow front. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 ALERT 5 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 ALERT Looks kind of dry. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 EUGENEEEEEEEThis is almost a foot of snow there in 6 hours actually. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 SNOW !!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 36 with a dp of 33 so close to snow but.....rain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 ALERT 4 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 ALERT That seems to be the norm now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 The joys of model riding. The ensembles could be further east, or too far west. Models tomorrow night could be historically cold, or not. You just never know! Those folks using the GOLU are laughing at us. Laughing hard. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 This run really wants to get things going. Pretty funny when comparing to the massively blocky 12z and 18z runs. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Exciting day with the models today. The last two GFS runs were quite good, the EPS continues to slowly improve, and the EPS control is coming up great on every run now. Interestingly all models agree this will be almost entirely a PNA block when it develops. Those are much more more likely to bring significant snow than EPO blocks. BTW the EPS is going below -2 on the mean for PNA now. I'm all in on this as I have been for weeks now. The writing is on the wall.This. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 ALERT Somebody call Tiger! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 TIGER !!!! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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