snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 I can't wait till Day 2 and it shows cold rain That usually doesn't happen any more. The models are much improved from 10 years ago. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Yeah that was good one too. High risk/high reward kind of battle ground setup. Never looked particularly cold down here.I don’t remember anything good in Jan 2011 up here. Edit: because the models busted! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 6 past 4 runs 1 2 20 00z ECMWF Day 6 4 runs.gif That high latitude lobe is much stronger on this run. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 I don’t remember anything good in Jan 2011 up here. That one was shown to be a big snow maker followed by cold and it kind of fizzled. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 7 Seasonably cool. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 I love the Arctic stuff. Much more enjoyable and truly wintry.And I am ok with the fact our opinions differ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Seasonably cool.That’s how NWS Seattle (and Rich Marriott) is going to put it. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Not only is the GOA stuff much better at day 7, but the upstream trough forcing the ridge is a lot deeper vs previous runs. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Phasing on the Euro still not too favorable with the pattern breaker the GFS is currently in love with. Might be a good thing as things continue to evolve over the next few days... 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Seasonably cool. Oh please... Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 No blood shall be shed in the Continental "Air". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Phasing on the Euro still not too favorable with the pattern breaker the GFS is currently in love with. Might be a good thing as things continue to evolve over the next few days... This run is far superior to 24 hours ago though. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Seasonably chilly. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 I don’t remember anything good in Jan 2011 up here. Edit: because the models busted! You had at least 5 feet of hypothetical snow that month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 8 Not yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Early Jan 2011 has a special place in my heart for busted mid-range cold.At one point that one showed 3 separate foot+ snowstorms inside 150 hours from strong lows coming in South of Seattle. The trough ended up digging too far offshore forcing the first low to come in well North of us around the North tip of Vancouver Island and the others followed suit. We got a brief but decent overrunning event (widespread 3-5 inches around most of Western Washington) and then a bunch of very mild rain and wind. Never looked particularly cold though and was always a very tenuous situation that was highly depended on the exact track of the areas of low pressure. Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Huge change over AK vs last nights runs. That was the main complaint everyone had about that run. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Need to start seeing timing move up. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 8 Not yet Wow you guys are picky. This run is better in many ways than last nights. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Seasonably chilly.Not for a Monday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Need to start seeing timing move up. It's happening. Take it to the bank. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Nice trend on the Euro over the past 4 runs to bring the cold air closer. Here I thought I as the only one who liked this run. Tough crowd! Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Definitely took a step towards the GFS around D8. Is it finally giving in? Maybe at least partially?Probably going to end up compromising. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Here I thought I as the only one who liked this run. Tough crowd!I'm loving it so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 DAY 9!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Just never quite meets up with the energy dropping out of the NW Territories. Close though... My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Wow you guys are picky. This run is better in many ways than last nights.Yes it is better. Better overall placement.TONIGHT PREVIOUS 1 My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Phasing on the Euro still not too favorable with the pattern breaker the GFS is currently in love with. Might be a good thing as things continue to evolve over the next few days...Its trends we look for in the long range. Euro has made huge steps towards the GFS tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 I'll stick to what I mentioned two days ago. Saturday 00z runs is when we'll have a really, really good idea, but things are looking promising. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 OMG!! Here it comes... aligning with GFS much better - BRING IT!!! My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Honestly what the EURO shows looks pretty plausible. It's not a very amplified pattern, so we aren't able to tap into the super cold stuff. Some nice cold onshore flow like 2002 is our best bet, but things could still trend colder. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Look at that Low! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 I'll stick to what I mentioned two days ago. Saturday 00z runs is when we'll have a really, really good idea, but things are looking promising.Agreed. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Euro would lay down a good bit of snow in B.C. next Friday. I’ll take it. Though the trough doesn’t tap arctic air it is much better than any euro so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Wow you guys are picky. This run is better in many ways than last nights.Looking at this comparison, its absolutely crazy and bizarre that anybody would be complaining. 00Z (Tonights) 12Z (Earlier today) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 I'll stick to what I mentioned two days ago. Saturday 00z runs is when we'll have a really, really good idea, but things are looking promising. Tuesday. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 3, 2020 Report Share Posted January 3, 2020 Euro would lay down a good bit of snow in B.C. next Friday. I’ll take it. Though the trough doesn’t tap arctic air it is much better than any euro so far.Yeah a good bit everywhere except Vic lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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