Part I - January 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Hope everyone enjoyed their dinner while watching the GFS s**t show.

Yummy, bratwurst?

[TacomaWaWx]

Short moderating cold, little bit of snow and warm up to 50's Sounds amazing or more like more of the usual. Sooooo much potential - GONE!

This event will be better than quite a few winter's I can remember. Having just "more of the usual" cold snap is better than nothing at all. Not every winter is going to be a 1950 or a 1969 or a 2019.

[luvssnow_spokane]

GEM looks snowy for SW WA

[Cloud]

Nope

D****T! ICON then? or maybe that funky JMA? 

Hmm.. 

[GHweatherChris]

If you are talking about the guys patting themselves on the back because they “called it,” I think they (you) already arrived.

I never called anything, seriously. Never do, I know better.

[luvssnow_spokane]

This event will be better than quite a few winter's I can remember. Having just "more of the usual" cold snap is better than nothing at all. Not every winter is going to be a 1950 or a 1969 or a 2019.

That is for sure this is not even close. More like completely forgettable. 

[Requiem]

You know what? I would be satisfied with 2-4 inches of snow this week. That is all that would satisfy me.

[fubario]

Total snow Wednesday and Thursday... a nice inflated GFS snow total map over a longer period to make people feel better. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Not your strong suit. lol

[TT-SEA]

But you showed the EPS showing continuing cold this morning.

 

Yeah... no.

 

Phil is forcing me to say that the cold will be returning... I guess at some point after 15 days and there are hints of it at the end of the EPS run.   That is a complete pattern reset after the warm up.   

 

I think its safe to call it an absolute lock at this point.

[luvssnow_spokane]

D****T! ICON then? or maybe that funky JMA? 

Hmm.. 

Triple nope... This is about done. Writing is all over the wall! To many models showing the same results now. Sadly, what we will get will be watered down version. Bummer.

[GHweatherChris]

Yeah... no.

 

Phil is forcing me to say that the cold will be returning... I guess at some point after 15 days and there are hints of it at the end of the EPS run. That is a complete pattern reset after the warm up.

 

I think its safe to call it an absolute lock at this point.

Lol, didn't expect a detailed response to sarcasm, but, nice job!

[TacomaWaWx]

That is for sure this is not even close. More like completely forgettable.

 

I'd just be happy to have 1" of snow on the ground for a couple days. I'm not going to be thinking about what "could have been" on the forecast models and just enjoy the weather event. Should be fun!

The weather decides the weather not the forecast models. Just enjoy whatever comes your way! I was happy to just see snow for a couple hours yesterday.

[TT-SEA]

Not your strong suit. lol

 

 

I guess it comes watching people drool and scream in excitement over obviously inflated GFS snowfall maps for the last 2 weeks.   I just don't get it.   If I was obsessed with snow... that would make it much worse.  

[luvssnow_spokane]

I'd just be happy to have 1" of snow on the ground for a couple days. I'm not going to be thinking about what "could have been" on the forecast models and just enjoy the weather event. Should be fun!

Make sure you make a snowman with the one inch of snow.

 

Here are some ideas for everyone.  Pinteresting

 

[TT-SEA]

Lol, didn't expect a detailed response to sarcasm, but, nice job!

 

So the arctic air returning after a pattern reset is not lock at this point?  

 

You don't understand what I am seeing.   Go ask my friend how serious I am.   Nature listens to me when I get serious.  

[fubario]

You hold the GEM in such low regard? What did the Canadians ever do to you?

Give the world Tragically Hip? 

[MossMan]

The Euro is going to be even worse than the GFS. And by this time tomorrow night it will show us barely having one single day below freezing.

[GHweatherChris]

We have lost Jim and Rob.

 

Jim pretty much said so with a post tonight.

[TT-SEA]

Lol, didn't expect a detailed response to sarcasm, but, nice job!

 

And it was more of response to Phil.  

[Cloud]

Someone is on fire right now. LOL. 

[Deweydog]

Three years ago right now it was SNOWING HEAVILY.

[TT-SEA]

Someone is on fire right now. LOL. 

 

 

I actually think its still going to be pretty interesting.   And people will set their expectations very low now...and then it will be better than they expect and that is always nice.  

[luvssnow_spokane]

We have lost Jim and Rob.

 

Jim pretty much said so with a post tonight.

 

Rob has not been here much for the last couple days. Jim will come on here and give us scolding and give us some fantasy reason that this is by far the greatest Jan event we have had in years, and that we got the winterless Januaries past us, and this will be a memorable event. AND ON AND ON!!! He will think these model runs were actually good for some reason. 

[MossMan]

Three years ago right now it was SNOWING HEAVILY.

It was?

 

Just checked my pic archives...Nope not here.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

You know what? I would be satisfied with 2-4 inches of snow this week. That is all that would satisfy me.

It's been an incredible last 3 winters for me. Best 3 consecutive winter stretch I've ever experienced and will probably ever get in my lifetime. Chances of getting another snowy winter were low, so I won't be upset if I barely get anything.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

So much energy we have invested in this. I guess they don't all end up like February 2019, or even February 2018...

[luvssnow_spokane]

I actually think its still going to be pretty interesting.   And people will set their expectations very low now...and then it will be better than they expect and that is always nice.  

very true. OMG!!!! I am down to 41.9 already... I was not expecting that. #Overpeform2020

[TigerWoodsLibido]

So much energy we have invested in this. I guess they don't all end up like February 2019, or even February 2018...

Our access to Arctic air is further cut off every year according to Cliff Mass.

[fubario]

Yeah... kittens can be great fun.   Just need to reset expectations.

Don't F**k with Cats!

 

Netflix

 

Great doc.

[TT-SEA]

I got an early release copy of the 00Z ECMWF... absolutely EPIC!   

 

Stay tuned... details to follow.  

[Requiem]

It's been an incredible last 3 winters for me. Best 3 consecutive winter stretch I've ever experienced and will probably ever get in my lifetime. Chances of getting another snowy winter were low, so I won't be upset if I barely get anything.

 

Would have liked to see that mixture of heavy snow and high east winds, but I guess the past three winters were acceptable-ish.

[luvssnow_spokane]

I got an early release copy of the 00Z ECMWF... absolutely EPIC!   

 

Stay tuned... details to follow.  

OKAY DOMEBUSTER!!!!! lol

[TT-SEA]

Don't F**k with Cats!

 

Netflix

 

Great doc.

 

Watched it.   

 

Not that great.   Making that f*ckhead a celebrity which is all he ever wanted. 

[TT-SEA]

OKAY DOMEBUSTER!!!!! lol

 

 

I have a buddy in DC... works for NOAA.    Let just say that you don't want to go to bed early tonight.    

[Cloud]

I actually think its still going to be pretty interesting.   And people will set their expectations very low now...and then it will be better than they expect and that is always nice.  

It's too far out for me to be concerned about it right now even though I dont't like the trend. 

Focusing on Sunday and the CZ could be a lot of fun for me. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I got an early release copy of the 00Z ECMWF... absolutely EPIC!

 

Stay tuned... details to follow.

Signed by the king himself

[TT-SEA]

It's too far out for me to be concerned about it right now even though I dont't like the trend. 

Focusing on Sunday and the CZ could be a lot of fun for me. 

 

 

Yeah... I suspect Sunday evening into Monday morning is the real show for the Seattle area with this event and its close enough now to know its very likely going to happen and c-zones over-perform and surprise all the time.   Its our ace-in-the-hole if you love snow.

[fubario]

I guess it comes watching people drool and scream in excitement over obviously inflated GFS snowfall maps for the last 2 weeks.   I just don't get it.   If I was obsessed with snow... that would make it much worse.  

 

You're my favorite poster, Tim. Then again, I like chewing on tinfoil (Chuck Barris for the old farts here). lol

[GHweatherChris]

Only good thing about Sunday is the Hawks beating the Cheeseheads!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Rob has not been here much for the last couple days. Jim will come on here and give us scolding and give us some fantasy reason that this is by far the greatest Jan event we have had in years, and that we got the winterless Januaries past us, and this will be a memorable event. AND ON AND ON!!! He will think these model runs were actually good for some reason. 

 

As soon as Jim started talking about next week in the past and present tense, I knew it was over.