Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[snow_wizard]

With the c-zone I always watch the western edge of it for signs it's going to peter out.  So far that part of the zone is staying good.

[snow_wizard]

North winds all the way from Bellingham to Seatle now.  Very good.

[Bham_Guy]

3" for Bellingham???????  Must be up at the airport, we maybe have 1-1.5" in the Squalicum/Barkey hills less than 1" down in Barkley Village.

 

It's definitely not at the airport. They might have had a half inch or so

[SouthHillFrosty]

North winds all the way from Bellingham to Seatle now.  Very good.

How far do you think this convergence zone will make it down?

[North_County]

18° with a steady NE wind. I suspect the inch I picked up during the 4th quarter of the football game is all I'm going to see tonight. But hoping to wake up to a surprise. Radar returns aren't promising.

[wxmet]

With the c-zone I always watch the western edge of it for signs it's going to peter out.  So far that part of the zone is staying good.

 

Still waiting for the activity over Kitsap to get over here. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

With the c-zone I always watch the western edge of it for signs it's going to peter out.  So far that part of the zone is staying good.

Trust me I always watch that here lol. This really looks like it will fill the entire puget sound basin. Still a ton of moisture streaming in up north. This will not behave like a traditional zone.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

How far do you think this convergence zone will make it down?

watch winds in your area. If you are south of zone and you have a north wind it's coming.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Looks like Tim is getting blasted with snow.

[Timmy]

Thus far gauging current temperatures, dewpoints from Bellingham, Lynden, Abbotsford and progress of arctic front into North Puget Sound(Everett) and also North Central Washington it appears the GFS is handling the arctic air and progression of it much better than the EURO. We'll have to see how that plays out the next few days. It's now time for real-time observations, gradients, and upper air temps. Models, schmodels.

Tim!!!!

[seattleweatherguy]

snow falling hard now in bothell/kenmore

[runninthruda206]

snowing nice here in n. udist/ravenna

[MossMan]

Trust me I always watch that here lol. This really looks like it will fill the entire puget sound basin. Still a ton of moisture streaming in up north. This will not behave like a traditional zone.

Not looking good for my area...but hoping we might get another shower or two overnight.

[Weiner Warrior]

Must be a cold n.udist.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice to see how much cold was able to make it into Whatcom County. A legitimate event there. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

17 in Omak with a 40mph wind gusting.

[bainbridgekid]

Looks like Tim is getting blasted with snow.

He had zero on the ground 20 minutes ago and said it just started snowing.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

12 degrees in Oroville with a north wind gusting to 66 mph. That is about 45 miles north of Omak on the border.

[Gradient Keeper]

D a m m i t  T i m !   (It's catchy and fun!)

 

This arctic front has some serious teeth to it. Oroville has gusted to 66mph! Arctic front passed Chelan, Mansfield now just north of Wenatchee, Coulee city. Comparing this to the 12z WRF-GFS this morning the arctic front is about right on schedule.

[MossMan]

28.5 degrees.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

D a m m i t  T i m !   (It's catchy and fun!)

 

This arctic front has some serious teeth to it. Oroville has gusted to 66mph! Arctic front passed Chelan, Mansfield now just north of Wenatchee, Coulee city. Comparing this to the 12z WRF-GFS this morning the arctic front is about right on schedule.

Yeah it has some power behind it for sure.

[Gradient Keeper]

North winds all the way from Bellingham to Seatle now.  Very good.

12z WRF-GFS shows no northerly winds for Seattle until 12 - 1 AM.

[ShawniganLake]

Cold spot in BC. Dease Lake. -32F. Windchill -53F.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Looks like Port Angles is getting hammered.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Up to 4".  30 and still snowing.  CZ appears to be reorganizing and moving south.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Currently 22˚F in my neighborhood. That’s supposed to be the overnight low if the forecast is believed. Safe to say it will bust.

[Requiem]

12z WRF-GFS shows no northerly winds for Seattle until 12 - 1 AM.

DJ, ya think this bodes well for PDX? Because as of now I’m expecting no snow at all the way the models have gone (maybe some tomorrow night).

[luvssnow_spokane]

I am feeling a bout 90% confident the convergence zone is petering out. It might make it down to my area as a dusting whimper.   

[Rubus Leucodermis]

For sure!  I left about 7:30 to go to the gym and it was 30 degrees and my driveway was a slippery slushy mess.  When I left the gym  an hour later it was still 30, but over the 3 miles of my drive home, it dropped to 25, and my driveway was already quite crunchy.  Can't say I've ever experienced that.

 

Trying to figure out now if we are done with the moisture up here.  I hope not but it would also be nice to know what I am facing tomorrow morning.  At this point I probably don't need to shovel my neighbor's driveway, but if we get more, she will try to get out and do it herself if I don't (87 year old widow...not happening on my watch).

 

Personally, I hope we get more snow. I'm feeling gypped. North end of town got only a dusting. I watched the radar echoes disintegrate as soon as they got within a mile of me this evening.

[runninthruda206]

D**n why is it fizzling out :'(

[Gradient Keeper]

Cold spot in BC. Dease Lake. -32F. Windchill -53F.

Jade City -38F ... No idea the wind chill

[Perturbed Member]

Glad folks in the WA lowlands are scoring, at least some good will come out of this pattern. 

 

D**n, a few days ago I was joking that the Wedneday low would end up in north Vancouver Island. 

 

Looks like that is exactly where the 00z EURO wants to take it.

 

 

 

For us lowly valley floor dwellers in PDX the only shot we have left is getting lucky tomorrow with it being a hair cooler than modeled and getting a bit more precip from that low passes to the south. Slim chances. There is still enough time between now and the mid week low that the track can still change given how bad models have handled it, but the clock is certainly ticking on that too. Odds are good we will all see some flakes in the air and maybe a trace accumulation at some point. I think K%% or anyone with elevation should get a few inches.

[wxmet]

Deeper reflectivities over the Sound making their way towards the Seattle metro area.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

I am feeling a bout 90% confident the convergence zone is petering out. It might make it down to my area as a dusting whimper.   

 

its reorganizing because of the boundary.  Southward movement should commence--and will probably be enhanced because that front appears to be quite dynamic.

[Gradient Keeper]

DJ, ya think this bodes well for PDX? Because as of now I’m expecting no snow at all the way the models have gone (maybe some tomorrow night).

I'm very optimistic and soon as the Gorge opens up for business, but we also need to see how far south the arctic boundary sags from the north. C'MON!!!!

[Perturbed Member]

I'm very optimistic and soon as the Gorge opens up for business, but we also need to see how far south the arctic boundary sags from the north. C'MON!!!!

 

IMO this is probably our best bet for a good surprise. Move that low like 25 miles further north.

[Gradient Keeper]

11:37 PM Snowy Radar update!

 

[GHweatherChris]

Our solid dusting was solidified, nothing worth measuring, but still good to see!!

[MikeInEverett]

Ended up with about 4”! Clouds starting to break up a bit, hope we get some clearing so it can get colder.

[GHweatherChris]

Such a weird radar view, bands are so symmetrical: