Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[GHweatherChris]

Gorgeous afternoon!!

 

[MossMan]

Gorgeous afternoon!!

 

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I wish. Dark and wet here all day.

[MossMan]

Gorgeous afternoon!!

 

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Reminds me of my working years at the golf course.

[GHweatherChris]

Reminds me of my working years at the golf course.

It was a bit soupy on some fairways in low areas, this course is very close to my house so with as much rain as I have seen the course is holding up quite well. I even shot my best 9 hole score ever today so that was a nice bonus!!

[jakeinthevalley]

this winter would have been the coldest ever at pdx had things been colder than 1950.

Dewey, is that you?

[GHweatherChris]

Dewey was online today.

[TT-SEA]

Just an FYI I always like your posts and the fact you are never a **** to anyone. Even when Tim went after you for suggesting there could be flooding. 

 

 

That was not him.   

[Requiem]

That was not him.   

 

I think that was Poulsbo Snowman.

[bainbridgekid]

It was a bit soupy on some fairways in low areas, this course is very close to my house so with as much rain as I have seen the course is holding up quite well. I even shot my best 9 hole score ever today so that was a nice bonus!!

Winter rules for the win.

[GHweatherChris]

Winter rules for the win.

Ah, you caught me lol, my previous best was winter rules as well so its ok. My winter rules best is now 36 and my non winter rules best is 38, so pretty close.

[TT-SEA]

Pretty interesting how much faster the weekend frontal passage has been trending... its completely through western WA and OR by 4 p.m. on Saturday per the 00Z GFS.

[AJ1013]

Starting to look like it's going to be a mostly dry cold snap here. D**n. Ski valley needs some snow. Temps could still be exciting though and I haven't lost hope that it will bring a bit more moisture.

[TacomaWaWx]

Gfs is drunk

[AJ1013]

Gfs is drunk

In what way?

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Pretty interesting how much faster the weekend frontal passage has been trending... its completely through western WA and OR by 4 p.m. on Saturday per the 00Z GFS.

 

A day ago I was thinking I'd get drenched coming back from curling on Saturday evening, now I could see some flurries.

[HighlandExperience]

Not too shabby.

 

Tonight’s euro will be interesting

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Not too shabby.

 

Lewis County Special.

[TT-SEA]

Also nice to see that the dry break lasts about 24 hours and we are back into heavy warm front rain by next Wednesday.   

[MossMan]

Not too shabby.

 

I’m in the darker blue!

[GHweatherChris]

00z GFS still not looking good.... for me.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Not too shabby.

 

Another swamp screw hole special coming up. Next year at this time I will be in northern ID and so honestly I should not care.

[MossMan]

Another swamp screw hole special coming up. Next year at this time I will be in northern ID and so honestly I should not care.

Did you find a place over there?

[luvssnow_spokane]

Did you find a place over there?

Not yet, going to sell our house in April or May, move over and live in an apartment while we look for property and eventually have a house built. Looks to be a huge change for us but an exciting adventure too! 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Not yet, going to sell our house in April or May, move over and live in an apartment while we look for property and eventually have a house built. Looks to be a huge change for us but an exciting adventure too! 

The Bonner's ferry area is beautiful.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEM(Canadian Model) Day 6-10. Definitely going places. Looks like Winter wants to pay us a visit.

 

[GHweatherChris]

00z GEM(Canadian Model) Day 6-10. Definitely going places. Looks like Winter wants to pay us a visit.

 

floop-gdps-2020012900.500h_anom.na(1).gif

Did it not just get an upgrade as well? Or is that still not there yet?

[weather_fan]

One week from a potential lowland snow event and this forum is so quiet what happened? 

[runninthruda206]

One week from a potential lowland snow event and this forum is so quiet what happened?

We’ve been burned by the models before ...

[weather_fan]

We’ve been burned by the models before ...

true ..i have learnt my lesson too. From expecting feets of snow to just a few inches and from highs the teen to lows in the thirties. It was tough.

[luvssnow_spokane]

The Bonner's ferry area is beautiful.

We are looking in that area. The key is finding level property, Good internet (for work) and a price we can afford. But that area is definitely a place we’re looking.

[seattleweatherguy]

The Euro come out yet? For Sunday snow or has it all been taken away?

[luvssnow_spokane]

One week from a potential lowland snow event and this forum is so quiet what happened? 

FOR me.. It looks to be marginal at best, with highs will be in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. So it will melt faster than it accumates for most, AND most look to get nothing. Not much here to be excited about other than a big ol tease and an overall marginal / non-event for a good majority here. So Meh!  <_>

[MossMan]

I have started to notice the swamp smell, especially when I was down in Everett today. the region could use a few dry days.

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/01/the-western-washington-swamp.html?m=1

[TT-SEA]

Snow on Saturday night into Sunday morning...

 

[TT-SEA]

And somehow... the ECMWF still shows most of the area into the 40s by early afternoon on Sunday. 

 

[Weiner Warrior]

Too warm. Going to rain

[MossMan]

A little less snow than the 12z.

I’m in the darkish gray!

[TT-SEA]

A little less snow than the 12z.

 

 

As someone pointed out on the previous run... that snow shown on the ECMWF is with temps in the mid-30s so those totals might not be very reliable in this situation.    

[TT-SEA]

Hey Randy... the really cold air is bypassing WA and apparently heading straight for Cabo.    Maybe you will be in the perfect spot on vacation as well!

 

[bainbridgekid]

Euro continues to be warmer and less snowy than the GFS. 850's bottom out at -8 on the Euro and -10 on the GFS for Seattle.

 

And the Euro's "snow" falls Sunday morning with 850's around -6 and melts right away that afternoon. The best chance of meaningful snow is going to be Sunday evening/night in convergence which the GFS shows a better pattern for.