TigerWoodsLibido Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 43F with showers. Got down to 41F. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Pretty moist 12z GFS run. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Was nice to see snow falling this morning. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Potential looks to be growing for some real wet weather to close off the month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Potential looks to be growing for some real wet weather to close off the month. Make sense. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Andrew let's play a game. Ensembles looking ______ed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Andrew let's play a game. Ensembles looking ______ed. Stumped? Ok fine, I will let you buy ONE vowel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Models seem to be really struggling with the pattern progression in the 29th-31st time frame. The 12z Euro isn't quite as crappy as the 00Z but still not as good as some of the better/wetter runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Yeah throw this Euro run in the trash. Shows warm partly sunny SW flow here with our AR way up in Canada. Hopefully the operational eventually comes around to what the EPS has been advertising. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Looks like the trough finally limps in around day 10 but there a lot of things I just don't like about that pattern compared to the last few GFS runs and the most recent EPS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 45 currently with a rain shower here. Low hit 41. Would be fun to see some thunder later today. I think chances are a little better than yesterday even. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Yeah throw this Euro run in the trash. Shows warm partly sunny SW flow here with our AR way up in Canada. Hopefully the operational eventually comes around to what the EPS has been advertising.More warm and dry? Throw it in the trash. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 AR will target Portland metro until 96 hours and then trend north to Seattle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 More warm and dry? Throw it in the trash.It’s still a decently cool and moist run. It just sort of botches a pattern which holds the potential to bring us a pretty beneficial rainfall bonanza by holding everything up to our north and west. Mainly due to slight differences in the position of the block offshore. I’ve seen this sort of thing in the spring before, and it will often end up with us sitting under relatively high heights with mild SW flow and partly sunny conditions for a few days while an AR dumps on the northern half of Vancouver Island. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 It’s still a decently cool and moist run. It just sort of botches a pattern which holds the potential to bring us a pretty beneficial rainfall bonanza by holding everything up to our north and west. Mainly due to slight differences in the position of the block offshore. I’ve seen this sort of thing in the spring before, and it will often end up with us sitting under relatively high heights with mild SW flow and partly sunny conditions for a few days while an AR dumps on the northern half of Vancouver Island.I think it’s adjusting the wavetrain in a way that’ll favor a cooler/wetter solution if it continues. PV breakdown with IO/Indo-Pacific forcing of a lower frequency variety has climatologically favored western troughing in late March/April and a ULL-type pattern in late April/May based on NCEP-NCAR reanalysis. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Been too busy distance learning and running virus plots in python to follow the subseasonal pattern progression closely but it looks more favorable to me now than it did several weeks ago, with the strong winter vortex/niño forcing regimen beginning to unbraid itself. Of course, there’s a STJ/AAM belts still reminiscent of +ENSO but there are interesting changes afoot too. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Looks like a nice spring day in Seattle. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Looks like a nice spring day in Seattle.Nice one here too. Pouring rain and 44 degrees. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Nice one here too. Pouring rain and 44 degrees. I think I've seen like an hour of rain since early October. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 PDX has picked up .11” in the last hour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 It’s still a decently cool and moist run. It just sort of botches a pattern which holds the potential to bring us a pretty beneficial rainfall bonanza by holding everything up to our north and west. Mainly due to slight differences in the position of the block offshore.I’ve seen this sort of thing in the spring before, and it will often end up with us sitting under relatively high heights with mild SW flow and partly sunny conditions for a few days while an AR dumps on the northern half of Vancouver Island.Still cool and moist- that's good. Would need 1.97" more rain to reach 50% of normal this month.After having such a dry February and March hopefully we can get a decently wet April. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Been too busy distance learning and running virus plots in python to follow the subseasonal pattern progression closely but it looks more favorable to me now than it did several weeks ago, with the strong winter vortex/niño forcing regimen beginning to unbraid itself. Of course, there’s a STJ/AAM belts still reminiscent of +ENSO but there are interesting changes afoot too.Exceptional times require exceptional clarity... It means a cold spring, folks. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Still cool and moist- that's good. Would need 1.97" more rain to reach 50% of normal this month.After having such a dry February and March hopefully we can get a decently wet April.At face value the 12z Euro showed 1.8” at PDX over the next ten days. Probably a lot more in your area. Then again the latest GFS showed over 3” for PDX in the same time period. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 At face value the 12z Euro showed 1.8” at PDX over the next ten days. Probably a lot more in your area.Then again the latest GFS showed over 3” for PDX in the same time period.That would be great. Could even surpass 50% pretty easily if it works out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 12Z EPS 10-15 day mean... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 12z EPS still looks better with the pattern in the 6-10 day range than the operational, but definitely backed off a bit from the 00Z run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Now the 18Z is out and showing about a third of the precip the 12Z run did, through hour 240. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 12Z EPS 10-15 day mean... Sign me up for a 4CH Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Pretty nice burst of rain coming through with wind. EDIT: It's hailing. Tiny stones but it's coming down good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 First thunder of the year for me. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Decent hail shower and a distant rumble of thunder here. High of only 48 today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 12z EPS still looks better with the pattern in the 6-10 day range than the operational, but definitely backed off a bit from the 00Z run.Definitely looks more Tim/virus friendly overall. Lots of SPREAD in the ensemble, though! 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Definitely looks more Tim/virus friendly overall. Lots of SPREAD in the ensemble, though! Clever. If its sunny... all people WA immediately run out and have sex with each other in the street and on the beach. Sunshine kills. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Only hit 40 up here today. Snowing and 33 now. 6 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 What this afternoon has looked like here. https://imgur.com/a/lbH71l5 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Definitely looks more Tim/virus friendly overall.Lots of SPREAD in the ensemble, though!How dynamic did that final warming end up being? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Only hit 40 up here today. Snowing and 33 now. High only 40 here too, about 34 now. Nothing sticking to roads so far here. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Moderate snow still falling. Always nice to see accumulating snow on March 24! 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 12Z EPS 10-15 day mean... Long range looks nice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 25, 2020 Report Share Posted March 25, 2020 Up to 3.05" of precip on the month. Average to this point is 6.97". Wetter than last March at least. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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