Pacific Northwest Weather -June 2023

[Cascadia_Wx]

Decent amount of morning clouds drifted in around sunrise this morning. Ended up with a low of 53. Partly to mostly cloudy now and 63. Looks like much of the WV is still pretty socked in, nice to see.

[Cascadia_Wx]

The models are looking pretty nice in the mid range and beyond right now. Hoping it holds.

[Doinko]

5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Decent amount of morning clouds drifted in around sunrise this morning. Ended up with a low of 53. Partly to mostly cloudy now and 63. Looks like much of the WV is still pretty socked in, nice to see.

Mostly sunny here

[Doinko]

Hopefully this holds

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Doinko said:

Hopefully this holds

 

Beautiful. I feel like we’ll probably get some sort of rug pull with regards to the cool anomalies, but hopefully still score some rain out of the pattern.

[Phil]

That 12z GFS run would be a godsend in western WA.

[AlTahoe]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I’m sure it’s pretty disorienting not having every single warm season month be 3-7 degrees above average like we’re used to out west.

If we don't get at least 2 weeks of Aqi in 600's up here this summer nobody will know what to do with themselves!

 

Also weird side note that depicts how backwards the weather has been. Las Vegas hasn't hit 100F since Sept 8th!

[TT-SEA]

We have had periods of chilly troughing and rain in June in most years.   I wouldn't be spiking the football about the entire warm season.    I think a couple cool/wet weeks now sets the stage for a warmer July and August.    We will see.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We have had periods of chilly troughing and rain in June in most years.   I wouldn't be spiking the football about the entire warm season.    I think a couple cool/wet weeks now sets the stage for a warmer July and August.    We will see.   

I don’t see anything indicating a couple of cool wet weeks. Maybe average. Scary I know. 

[Omegaraptor]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I don’t see anything indicating a couple of cool wet weeks. Maybe average. Scary I know. 

If Corvallis can break its crazy 30+ day rainless streak in this upcoming pattern I’ll call it a win.

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I don’t see anything indicating a couple of cool wet weeks. Maybe average. Scary I know. 

Back 2 back summer weekends RUINED according to the euro  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Right now we have a 50/50 chance of not having a top 10 warm June. 

[Omegaraptor]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Back 2 back summer weekends RUINED according to the euro  

Every hour of daylight you can’t comfortably swim in Lake Sandwich is an hour of daylight wasted. Might as well be December!!!

[TT-SEA]

22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I don’t see anything indicating a couple of cool wet weeks. Maybe average. Scary I know. 

Nah... next two weeks will be below normal overall.   Bank on it.

[TT-SEA]

2018 is a good example... it was the 60s in the Snoqualmie Valley from June 7-15 (2 days in the 50s in there) and then on 8 of the last 10 days of June.    By my count that is 16 of 23 days from June 7-30.   Definitely not hot.    Then came July.

A second half of June cool/wet period is pretty common.  

The false narrative by a couple people on here is that every warm season is wall to wall drought and heat.   Definitely not true.  2018 still ended up hot and smokey but one would not have thought that in late June. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The models are looking pretty nice in the mid range and beyond right now. Hoping it holds.

Unlikely. Don't see the southern trough northern ridge wanting to break down as it's been that way since mid-May.

[Anti Marine Layer]

The places with the record breaking heat spells have tended to stay north of 45 N latitude, including the 2010 Moscow one, the 2021 PNW one, and the 2023 Canadian one. Conservation of energy says that the cooler air has to go somewhere and that is often to the south.

[Meatyorologist]

3 hours ago, Deweydog said:

The Mighty Columbia acting as a line of demarcation this morning for the stratus in a manner OPPOSITE of what you’d expect in warm season. Colder seasons to come!

Some of what you say is so specific that it throws me off, like how would you know that's how the marine layer behaves at that time of year? Very observant

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

That 12z GFS run would be a godsend in western WA.

Was about to mention that. June gloom BLESSINGS for all around. Even OR into NorCal gets the low level marine #KOLD as well. Wish the rain would expand south of WA tho

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Beautiful. I feel like we’ll probably get some sort of rug pull with regards to the cool anomalies, but hopefully still score some rain out of the pattern.

GFS/CMC/Euro/ICON are all adamant on a pretty significant cool spell for this time of year this upcoming weekend. A 1-in-3yr type event west of the Cascades. Perfect balance to the wholly unprecedented warmth of the last month. And you bet we'll be paying dearly for this trough come mid July.

[Omegaraptor]

33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Nah... next two weeks will be below normal overall.   Bank on it.

I don’t think it will be anywhere near as far from normal as this May was. 

[Meatyorologist]

 

I don't think it was mentioned much, but KSEA squeezing a pair of 56/52 and 62/52 sogfests out of this pattern progression is some pretty efficient #blessing scrounging.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Are you kidding me. My god the takes on here today are horrible. 

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, AlTahoe said:

If we don't get at least 2 weeks of Aqi in 600's up here this summer nobody will know what to do with themselves!

 

Also weird side note that depicts how backwards the weather has been. Las Vegas hasn't hit 100F since Sept 8th!

275 days and counting. The 4th longest streak going back to 1948. Only 15 more days to go to tie the record!

[MossMan]

Got the fun things in the water today finally! This also reminds me of my childhood on the lake…A lot of clouds and cool but we went for it anyway! Ducks are enjoying it! 

[Omegaraptor]

Time to book next weekend in Hermiston or Toppenish.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

54 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Time to book next weekend in Hermiston or Toppenish.

Desperate times call for desperate measures. Especially among the 1% who can’t be bothered with feeling uncomfortable for a second. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

33 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Desperate times call for desperate measures. Especially among the 1% who can’t be bothered with feeling uncomfortable for a second. 

Like you and Jesse are when it gets hot.

[Phil]

3 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

The places with the record breaking heat spells have tended to stay north of 45 N latitude, including the 2010 Moscow one, the 2021 PNW one, and the 2023 Canadian one. Conservation of energy says that the cooler air has to go somewhere and that is often to the south.

That’s..not what conservation of energy means, but whatevs.

2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

GFS/CMC/Euro/ICON are all adamant on a pretty significant cool spell for this time of year this upcoming weekend. A 1-in-3yr type event west of the Cascades. Perfect balance to the wholly unprecedented warmth of the last month. And you bet we'll be paying dearly for this trough come mid July.

I’m not sold it will be a constant cool pattern, but leaning that way on balance (and probably into July). By second week of July the heat odds increase again though.

And I feel you re: kool weather karma. We’ve been in a generally cool pattern since mid/late April out here, and l’m starting to get a bad feeling there will be payback during the worst part of summer.

[Anti Marine Layer]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

That’s..not what conservation of energy means, but whatevs.

I’m not sold it will be a constant cool pattern, but leaning that way on balance (and probably into July). By second week of July the heat odds increase again though.

And I feel you re: kool weather karma. We’ve been in a generally cool pattern since mid/late April out here, and l’m starting to get a bad feeling there will be payback during the worst part of summer.

90 doesn't exactly look cool to me.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Are you kidding me. My god the takes on here today are horrible. 

What have I missed?

[TT-SEA]

Been on Lake Washington near UW with my sons and their girlfriends this afternoon celebrating graduation... now in Kirkland getting gas and then dinner.   Absolutely gorgeous out here.   Been sunny for hours while cloudy just to the east.  

[Cold Snap]

33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Been on Lake Washington near UW with my sons and their girlfriends this afternoon celebrating graduation... now in Kirkland getting gas and then dinner.   Absolutely gorgeous out here.   Been sunny for hours while cloudy just to the east.  

Yeah the clouds have just started to burn off out here.

[Cold Snap]

Was at a high of only 63 for the day but once the clouds burned off the temp shot up to 68.   Looks like today should still underperform though as the forecast high was 73.

[Phil]

2 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

90 doesn't exactly look cool to me.

Relative to average. Even in the coolest pattern imaginable it would be impossible to stay below 90°F everyday here.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Really pretty day. Ended up with a 77/52 spread. Morning clouds then sunny and breezy in the afternoon. Even PDX eked out a 79. Any warm season day that is forecast to be 80+ but falls short is always a big win in my book.

[TT-SEA]

Here is my UW grad... he was drinking twisted tea while surfing and intentionally did a head over heels flip to end and held it above water and came up drinking it. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Here is my UW grad... he was drinking twisted tea while surfing and intentionally did a head over heels flip to end and held it above water and came up drinking it. 

two generations of the 1% 

 

a reckoning is coming 

Edited June 12, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The absolute worst our society has to offer. Since you aren’t we are all ashamed for you. 

He is a blessing to society.   I assure you.    And he is a mechanical engineer now.   Also obsessed with a clean environment.   And loves snow and cold.   You are totally wrong and you would really like him.   

[Port Angeles Foothiller]