November 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[HuskyMaestro]

30 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Pardon me of pointing out AI is likely another shitty step for humanity. Everyone knows this yet we plunge willingly into the abyss. 
 

…Carry on…

I would agree to an extent but GPT and Bard has carried me so much through the last half of my classes

AI was always gonna be inevitable with how our technology progressed. In a way, we've had AI since the Dartmouth conference in 1956, only now that the field has taken insane strides for the better or worse. This world is absolutely not ready when deepfakes become more accessible and almost indistinguishable from reality. 

[the_convergence_zone]

4 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

That's not really how it works. There would never be cold records in the cold season if that was the case.

We just had a record-breaking cold wave in parts of the country a few weeks ago.

It is exactly how it works. Otherwise we would eventually have another cold winter like we did in the 1950s. Which will never happen again in our lifetimes unless there’s nuclear war or a supervolcano eruption. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10 ....

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temperatures, 1000-500mb Thickness/MSLP/Precip

UGLY Run! El Nino is definitely full in charge now. Somehow we managed a decent shot of mountain snow.

[Timmy]

Gfs run

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[Chewbacca Defense]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

A pleasant day to put up the lights and do some trail cleaning! 

I have to wait for my son to get my lights up.   I did find out I don't need knee surgery at this point, but 20-30+ trips up and down a 10 foot ladder would most certainly change that.  He promised me he would come over Friday and help me out.  Hopefully the weather cooperates!

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I have to wait for my son to get my lights up.   I did find out I don't need knee surgery at this point, but 20-30+ trips up and down a 10 foot ladder would most certainly change that.  He promised me he would come over Friday and help me out.  Hopefully the weather cooperates!

Nice. Glad you don't need surgery yet! Yeah, I'm in the same boat pretty much it's not wise for me to do so. Hopefully it's not wet next Friday.

[RentonHill]

7 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Gfs run

Nice

[Chewbacca Defense]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Nice. Glad you don't need surgery yet! Yeah, I'm in the same boat pretty much it's not wise for me to do so. Hopefully it's not wet next Friday.

Yeah, he said there is definitely a tear, but no bucket handle (which guarantees surgery), so he is thinking we can get everything right again through physical therapy.  If that doesn't work, then we will revisit the surgery.

[The Blob]

Whindy in Troutdale

[Gradient Keeper]

I am too exhausted to run the Euro tonight. I'm sure it will be action packed.

[Christensen87]

CFS not even hinting at a D**n thing through Christmas. Could be a rough December for us. 

[Cold Snap]

2 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

CFS not even hinting at a D**n thing through Christmas. Could be a rough December for us. 

To be honest that’s probably a good thing.

[Ken in Wood Village]

I'm glad the anemometer works again. Almost 70 mph up at Crown Point. I was up there a few years ago. I don't remember the year but a person from AMS was up there with his own anemometer and he got a reading of 115 mph. I was trying to stand in that wind...lol. I didn't fall over but it was really hard to not fall over...lol. 

[Deweydog]

41 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Gfs run

Looks dry for tonight.

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I have to wait for my son to get my lights up.   I did find out I don't need knee surgery at this point, but 20-30+ trips up and down a 10 foot ladder would most certainly change that.  He promised me he would come over Friday and help me out.  Hopefully the weather cooperates!

Yeah my feet are a bit sore from all of the up and down on the ladder today! Hopefully the weather will be good for you, we are planning on getting the tree that day as well! 

[The Blob]

26 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yeah my feet are a bit sore from all of the up and down on the ladder today! Hopefully the weather will be good for you, we are planning on getting the tree that day as well! 

You should join me at work where I walk almost 5 miles in a 4 hour period while pulling pallets.

[snow_wizard]

I kind of like the looks of the ECMWF at the end.  Looks like it's building toward a major GOA ridge.

[snow_wizard]

I took a late trip to Liberty and it was a rather chilly experience.  The town itself which is in a notorious frost pocket looked insanely cold when I went through there around 9am.  It had a well below 20 look to it with a piercing blue sky and an iron hard frost flocking every surface. At 3800 feet which is where the mine is wasn't quite as cold, but everything was frozen with some snow on Table Mountain about  a mile to the east.  During the afternoon it was plain to see the inversion was exploding over there with fog and low clouds engulfing everything in a matter minutes during the mid afternoon.  Temperatures had risen to a bit above freezing before the fog set in, but quickly plunged below right afterward.  A pretty neat day overall.  

[snow_wizard]

Another chilly night with 34.5 degrees currently.  49/28 for the day.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, The Blob said:

You should join me at work where I walk almost 5 miles in a 4 hour period while pulling pallets.

And that's uphill both ways I'm sure.

[The Blob]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

And that's uphill both ways I'm sure.

Up and down 3 floors, quarter mile each way down the floor. Sometimes up to 1 ton in weight.

[TT-SEA]

Its too early to be up on a Saturday.    Still breezy and currently 49 degrees here at 5 a.m... definitely a mild night and should be a nice day before the rain arrives this evening.  

[Tyler Mode]

Dropped to 34 here, a few clouds now and 37.  Very light wind the last few days.

[TT-SEA]

Foothill banana belt is pretty localized this morning... basically just NB.   Does not even extend to Snoqualmie Ridge to the west.    Max gust so far of 26 mph in the valley this morning.

[MossMan]

37 here. 

[RentonHill]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Its too early to be up on a Saturday.    Still breezy and currently 49 degrees here at 5 a.m... definitely a mild night and should be a nice day before the rain arrives this evening.  

Agree. Mind telling my kids that? Or maybe you’re interested in some early weekend morning babysitting money???

[ShawniganLake]

30 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Agree. Mind telling my kids that? Or maybe you’re interested in some early weekend morning babysitting money???

How old are the kids?   What kind of money am I looking at?   

[RentonHill]

Girl is 2 and boy is 5. Name your price! How much for a sleep away camp at beautiful shawnigan lake??

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Girl is 2 and boy is 5. Name your price! How much for a sleep away camp at beautiful shawnigan lake??

My kids are now 5 and almost 10…It’s starting to become the opposite now with them wanting to sleep in now as opposed to them being up half the night! I think for the first time in…Well…About 10 years that I feel like I’m getting caught up with sleep! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Low of 33.4˚F with some light frost IMBY this morning.

[snow_wizard]

25 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Low of 33.4˚F with some light frost IMBY this morning.

I actually pulled off a surprise freeze with a low of 31 this morning.

[snow_wizard]

Models look they are hinting at some potential for very late Nov or early Dec.  They really want to bring up those GOA heights, but the details are murky as of yet.  Last night's EPS control was looking really interesting. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Got down to 33 with some light frost this morning. 
 

My son is 20 months old. He gets up around 630-7a, which isn’t bad during the week because I’m usually up by 5:30. My youngest daughter sleeps in until about 8-9a on the weekends. The older girls usually sleep in now, the oldest will sleep until almost noon if you let her. 

Edited November 18, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew

[TT-SEA]

I woke up too early... the but the 12Z GFS and GEM runs are putting me back to sleep.   It rains a little tonight and again Tuesday night but other than its high and dry for the next 10 days at least.  

[snow_wizard]

It's pretty interesting how the battle between that southern branch cutoff low and the northern branch of the jet resulted in such a pronounced difference between the temps in WA and OR over the past several days.  That CL just killed any chance OR had of pulling off cold mins like WA had.  Not a typical Nino configuration.  In fact these early cold snaps often favor OR over WA in cases like 2002 and others.  If we see this type of configuration recur into the early winter things could get fun (OR included).

[Blizzard777]

5:37 am it hit 32 degrees here in Federal Way….then the fog moved In.  In my mind I can hear Adrienne Barbeau  from “The Fog” movie  giving a play by play action as it moves in….it glow too

currently 37*