Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Just now, Slushy Inch said: Looks even worse from this angle. That’s as +AO as it gets. Reminiscent of 1991/92. 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Phil said: That’s as +AO as it gets. Reminiscent of 1991/92. Greenland hogging all the cold air. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 The global temperature anomaly if that 12z Euro run verifies. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Bow of respect to Paul Roundy. On 11/29/2023 at 7:53 PM, Phil said: Hard to disagree with this. Definitely the favored outcome following the -WPO response. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Funny, the low frequency state this winter is probably as perfect an opposite to 22/23 as is physically possible. Essentially every variable that matters in reversed. Right down to the subseasonal variability. 1 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 22 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Looks even worse from this angle. Plenty of cold for Rocket Man Kim 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 (edited) 34 minutes ago, Phil said: There actually is a point to be made there. In theory. Or just hypothetically. Something like that. Why we crash back to a moderate nina by next summer according to some models. Edited December 12, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, Deweydog said: 28 years ago RIGHT NOW barometers were dropping RAPIDLY and schools were preemptively CLOSED. That one was quite fun! My dad and I sat in the garage that night watching the night sky being constantly lit up by the glow of power line fuses popping all over the area! That was a 3 day outage. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 11 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Let’s not talk about what it looks like before this frame. Even this is a breath of fresh air 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Why we crash back to a moderate nina by next summer according to some models. It’s arguable that a cooling of the extratropical oceans would be less favorable for La Niña. Best thing going for a Niña next winter is the QBO and the general structure of this Niño. But having just left a 3 year niña, the primal support from IO/WP and other subtropical components may be hard pressed to support it (not to mention the up coming WP extension, should be any year now). That’s why every previous 3-year niña or even just -ENSO has been followed by a 5-10 year period of overall +ENSO dominance (though not constantly, of course). The 83/84 - 85/86 stretch had a big La Niña follow 3yrs later (88/89) but it was a single year event, sandwiched in a sea of neutral/positive ENSO. And that’s the only exception in at least the last century. The shorter term fundamentals may support a La Niña transition, but I believe the inertial, lower frequency components of the system state will either prevent it or water it down significantly. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: West Coast Cold Finger. lol except E WA 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 The east wind is ramping up quickly today. Makes it feel chilly even though it’s still above 50. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Crazy that this is almost purely STJ, northern stream is AWOL. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Oof big move up in the long range. Oh well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Phil said: Crazy that this is almost purely STJ, northern stream is AWOL. The northern stream is pinwheeling around itself in Siberia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Oof big move up in the long range. Oh well. Well it was fun while it lasted. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Brrrrrrrreezy! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Sunny and 50 here... light east wind continues. SEA is still socked in and 40. Parts of the Kent Valley haven't seen much sun for weeks. They were perpetually foggy during the last dry spell and then we had 10 days of rain and are now fogged in again when it dries out. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 8 minutes ago, GobBluth said: The northern stream is pinwheeling around itself in Siberia. EPS mean zonal wind. Just nutty. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Seattle has mostly cleared out now. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 3 minutes ago, Phil said: EPS mean zonal wind. Just nutty. Based on past experience... that is pretty boring up here. Occasionally we get a dying front moving up from the south into WA but its generally dry with offshore flow dominating. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Based on past experience... that is pretty boring up here. Occasionally we get a dying front moving up from the south into WA but its generally dry with offshore flow dominating. Jesse out in Stevenson might do well at times with trapped surface level cold. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 This Christmas, everybody torches. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: This Christmas, everybody torches. I just hope it’s not as awful as 2015 was out here. ~ 70°F with fog at 3AM on Christmas Eve. Satanic. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowySeeker50 Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 East wind doing its thing. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 I have all the Tahoe live cams bookmarked still. Anticipate I will be spending a significant amount of time watching them over the next month. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 36 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Seattle has mostly cleared out now. Another day of perfect running weather. This climate really keeps me in shape when I can exercise outdoors for like 50 of the 52 weeks in the year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 I was above the layer this morning, I-5 was not (I was about a quarter mile from the freeway here) 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 https://x.com/griteater/status/1734678608931951075?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 I don’t think I’ve ever seen so much manic excitement over a turd winter pattern here before. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 EPS weeklies actually show a small turning of the wurm after new year. maybe? 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 3 hours ago, Slushy Inch said: First Feb 2019 event. Winter weather advisory for 1-3 inches I think was the forecast. Yeah that event overperformed quite well. The WWA got upgraded to a WSW midway through that event. I ended up with 7 inches. 1 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 Just now, RentonHill said: EPS weeklies actually show a small turning of the wurm after new year. maybe? About dern time. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 hours ago, Slushy Inch said: Just when I thought the Euro run couldn’t get worse. Literally nothing interesting for the entire country. 2 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: About dern time. Only 4 weeks of model poo to wade through until then! yay! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 hours ago, RentonHill said: at least this is the ocean releasing all of the excess heat into the atmosphere right??? and now SSTs will normalize?? Don't forget Tonga!! 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Literally nothing cold for the entire country. Fixed Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 12, 2023 Report Share Posted December 12, 2023 5 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Only 4 weeks of model poo to wade through until then! yay! And real-time poo, like today! Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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