December 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Dave]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I haven’t been able to access my old account for a couple years, for the record. I think Fred banned it into the Stone Age. Besides that I don’t have any others.

Anyway, probably 95% of my posts these days are weather related. And I ignore multiple attempts by others to stir up sh*t with me on a weekly basis. I’m definitely still not perfect, but I hope most here can see I’ve tried pretty hard to clean up my act for the most part.

Not that I give a shiiit, but you constantly try to subtly try to stir shittt up. Usually with some sneaky little comments you feel the need to throw in your posts or the constant weiners and downvotes you dish out. I've learned to grow a thick skin after being here for almost a decade so it doesn't bother me at all. Just don't pretend you don't stir the pot. 

[AlTahoe]

Last year on this date we were forecast to get 4"+ of rain with snow levels at 8k. I had sandbagged the garage in the morning and after 15 minutes of rain it turned over to snow. Everyone in town was confused and then the NWS said a rare Tonopah low had formed and lowered snow levels down to 4k.

We picked up 31" of very heavy wet snow as the temp hovered around 33F. Power was out for the entire basin and all roads in and out of town were closed for 28 hours. Most side streets were blocked with stuck cars. one of the worst storms I have gone through here. 

 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Dave said:

Not that I give a shiiit, but you constantly try to subtly try to stir shittt up. Usually with some sneaky little comments you fill the need to throw in your posts or the constant weiners and downvotes you dish out. I've learned to grow a thick skin after being here for almost a decade so it doesn't bother me at all. Just don't pretend you don't stir the pot. 

Exactly.     

[Gradient Keeper]

12z ensembles kinda meh, but it wouldn't take much.... Onto 00z!

[TT-SEA]

Cool aerial shot they just showed during Seahawks game of T-Mobile Park all set up for NHL Winter Classic tomorrow with Seahawks game happening in the background.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18z is just another step back. Could potentially be low level cold building after next weekend. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Cold morning lows at least. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

18 minutes ago, Dave said:

Not that I give a shiiit, but you constantly try to subtly try to stir shittt up. Usually with some sneaky little comments you feel the need to throw in your posts or the constant weiners and downvotes you dish out. I've learned to grow a thick skin after being here for almost a decade so it doesn't bother me at all. Just don't pretend you don't stir the pot. 

Never said I didn’t. Literally said I wasn’t perfect, show me a regular poster here who is. But I’ve tried pretty hard to improve as well. Eliminate the nasty personal attacks and engaging in pages long preferences battles. It’s all relative I guess. Also, to anyone who actually takes reacts seriously, all I can really do is laugh. And even if you do, I upvote way more comments than the other way around. It’s not even close. At this point it’s more a reputation thing than anything. But I definitely have to own that too.

Hope you have a Happy New Year!

Edited December 31, 2023 by Cascadia_Wx

[DeepFriedEgg]

18z GFS is nothing short of a disaster. At this rate Phil's going to be basking in 30 inches of snow and subzero highs...

[Dave]

5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Never said I didn’t. Literally said I wasn’t perfect, show me a regular poster here who is. But I’ve tried pretty hard to improve as well. Eliminate the nasty personal attacks and engaging in pages long preferences battles. It’s all relative I guess. Also, to anyone who actually takes reacts seriously, all I can really do is laugh. And even if you do, I upvote way more comments than the other way around. It’s not even close. At this point it’s more a reputation thing than anything. But I definitely have to own that too.

Hope you have a Happy New Year!

Just to let you know, I don't dislike you at all in any way. I really do appreciate your pics from the forests and hikes in the gorge that you frequently take. I'll also admit that your weather knowledge is greater than mine. It's just that you LOVE drama. That could be improved on going forth as a friendly suggestion. 

[The Cats Meow]

1 hour ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Cool pic with the fog.

That is a really cool picture.  Thanks for sharing.

I saw one like this in Yellowstone a few years back on a road trip.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

18z GFS is nothing short of a disaster. At this rate Phil's going to be basking in 30 inches of snow and subzero highs...

A pattern shift to a more favorable move with low snow levels isn't a disaster.  It's still close to really good.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

A pattern shift to a more favorable move with low snow levels isn't a disaster.  It's still close to really good.

Not really much lowland potential, but the pattern is still worlds better than what we've seen the past month, and would be pretty chilly at the surface. Your west side location would struggle to get out of the mid-30s for days. 

[snow_wizard]

I'll take my chances with the Pacific this shut down any day of the week.  The details will sort themselves out.

[Dave]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Not really much lowland potential, but the pattern is still worlds better than what we've seen the past month, and would be pretty chilly at the surface. Your west side location would struggle to get out of the mid-30s for days. 

We need some godddamn snow in the mountains. The ski resorts are melting.

[DeepFriedEgg]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

A pattern shift to a more favorable move with low snow levels isn't a disaster.  It's still close to really good.

Same thing can be said the other way. Bump that ridge any further east and the torching potential is there.

[rsktkr]

Now that the rug pull is complete how about some good news...spring training is right around the corner!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

12 minutes ago, Dave said:

Just to let you know, I don't dislike you at all in any way. I really do appreciate your pics from the forests and hikes in the gorge that you frequently take. I'll also admit that your weather knowledge is greater than mine. It's just that you LOVE drama. That could be improved on going forth as a friendly suggestion. 

I think that's a relatively fair assessment honestly, but I've noticed Jesse has made big strides in some areas. No one is perfect and he can still improve with the drama. I hate drama. I see no reason, no sense, no point to any of it. No antagonizing others, stirring pots, none of it.

I would love some critique of myself lol. What do you or others like or dislike that I do, or don't do.... etc, etc....

[Requiem]

11 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

18z GFS is nothing short of a disaster. At this rate Phil's going to be basking in 30 inches of snow and subzero highs...

I don't think I've ever seen a single positive comment from you not even when we score pretty big... 

[The Cats Meow]

Does anyone here remember a poster by the name of Richard?

He was really good tracking the cold air apparently.  I couldn't understand most of what he posted, much like what Phil posts.  I'm not really weather smart and it all just sounds like someone who is talking in code.

I bet Richard could tell us if the cold air gets to us in a week or so.

Would be nice to have something to track for a week or so before we move into Spring.

 

[DeepFriedEgg]

1 minute ago, Requiem said:

I don't think I've ever seen a single positive comment from you not even when we score pretty big... 

Cuz the forum nazis banned me before anything good happened. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

15 minutes ago, Dave said:

Just to let you know, I don't dislike you at all in any way. I really do appreciate your pics from the forests and hikes in the gorge that you frequently take. I'll also admit that your weather knowledge is greater than mine. It's just that you LOVE drama. That could be improved on going forth as a friendly suggestion. 

I think that’s a bad take on your part. I’m fairly opinionated, and I have a hard time knowing when to step away when I feel I’m in the right. But it’s never my intention to actually cause problems here. 

Appreciate everything else you said though. I have nothing against you personally, either. We just happen to disagree about fog and stuff, but that sort of thing is highly subjective.

Edited December 31, 2023 by Cascadia_Wx

[Dave]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I think that's a relatively fair assessment honestly, but I've noticed Jesse has made big strides in some areas. No one is perfect and he can still improve with the drama. I hate drama. I see no reason, no sense, no point to any of it.

I would love some critique of myself lol. What do you or others like or dislike that I do, or don't do.... etc, etc....

You are one of my favorite posters and you definitely don't ever stir the pot. I love that I can just come to the forum on most winter days to see the model charts being posted rather than look them up myself. My only critique is that you always disappear when a winter event happens. Yes, I know you run a facebook weather group, but it would nice if you would pop in for a bit when the going is good.

[Snownerd3000]

5 minutes ago, rsktkr said:

Now that the rug pull is complete how about some good news...spring training is right around the corner!!!

Can't wait to see nothing new with the Ms. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

I'll take my chances with the Pacific this shut down any day of the week.  The details will sort themselves out.

This run is actually close. 

[DeepFriedEgg]

Andrew, Rob, Phil, Jesse, Dewey, Rubus, and Tim are the only good members on here.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

7 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Same thing can be said the other way. Bump that ridge any further east and the torching potential is there.

Now your talking glass empty or full stuff.

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, The Cats Meow said:

Does anyone here remember a poster by the name of Richard?

He was really good tracking the cold air apparently.  I couldn't understand most of what he posted, much like what Phil posts.  I'm not really weather smart and it all just sounds like someone who is talking in code.

I bet Richard could tell us if the cold air gets to us in a week or so.

Would be nice to have something to track for a week or so before we move into Spring.

 

It’s late December.

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This run is actually close. 

Yeah just a bit different orientation or merging of those ridges and we're good. It wouldn't take much.

00z GFS in 4 hours 32 minutes

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Andrew, Rob, Phil, Jesse, Dewey, Rubus, and Tim are the only good members on here.

[Dave]

9 minutes ago, The Cats Meow said:

Does anyone here remember a poster by the name of Richard?

He was really good tracking the cold air apparently.  I couldn't understand most of what he posted, much like what Phil posts.  I'm not really weather smart and it all just sounds like someone who is talking in code.

I bet Richard could tell us if the cold air gets to us in a week or so.

Would be nice to have something to track for a week or so before we move into Spring.

 

I think his name was Richard Mann. I could be wrong though. His posts were a bit cryptic and hard to follow, at least for me. But he was usually on track with his regional forecasts.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

For a while we were worried Richard died in the Paradise Fire. But we didn't find his name on the victim list, if that was his real name... 

[DeepFriedEgg]

1 minute ago, Dave said:

I think his name was Richard Mann. I could be wrong though. His posts were a bit cryptic and hard to follow, at least for me. But he was usually on track with his regional forecasts.

My brother in christ

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Fog has rolled in up here. 

Edited December 31, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is a low key chilly run. VERY DRY too. 

[Doinko]

2 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

55 years ago snow was turning to freezing rain on the heeling of a 12-15” snowstorm as an airmass for the ages was being escorted out of the region. 

A really short lived COOP station was up for just the winter and the previous really close to my current location.

They recorded 13.6" of snow and 0.25" of ice from the 27th to the 31st with temps around 10 degrees for the majority of the snow, with sustained 35mph winds as well. They recorded hourly temp and wind data which is nice

[Gradient Keeper]

5 minutes ago, Dave said:

You are one of my favorite posters and you definitely don't ever stir the pot. I love that I can just come to the forum on most winter days to see the model charts being posted rather than look them up myself. My only critique is that you always disappear when a winter event happens. Yes, I know you run a facebook weather group, but it would nice if you would pop in for a bit when the going is good.

I appreciate that. I like that many post model charts and point out things on a run that I may not have, or others. There are a lot of people here who break things down really well and provide analysis. Phil too! Yeah, why bother stirring the post? We are here all year, well some of us. Some of us like to show up during the Fall and Winter. You see the familiar faces, you build a rapport with others. I know sometimes I've chimed in when there are issues here because I just don't understand why there ever needs to be.

I do like the sarcasm and friendly banter too. Yeah sorry about disappearing. When we are at the precipice of an event or if its just underway it becomes so incredibly hectic, chaotic, and well, FUN in my FB group it's so hard to do both over on the Forum too. I've tried. It can become exhausting. When I do post the 00z runs here just about every evening I'm doing so in both. That I can handle. Making the 10 Day GIFs take a bit more time. To make things easier we switch the group settings to [Snow Mode] so that only Admins can post in the group.

Then we create a number of threads specific to Conditions/Observations, Snow Pics/Videos, Road Reports, etc. If we didn't lol the group page you'd never be able to find any posts. The format on this forum is much better in that regard in my opinion so you can keep track of things a lot better. I hope we have some fun events ahead and we all score some Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

I found Richard on facebook!

https://www.facebook.com/richard.mann.35762

[The Cats Meow]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I found Richard on facebook!

https://www.facebook.com/richard.mann.35762

Can you ask him to come back here and post?

[Snownerd3000]

22 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Andrew, Rob, Phil, Jesse, Dewey, Rubus, and Tim are the only good members on here.