January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Phishy Wx]

how does the ICON compare to Phil's parents Chimney?

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Icon looking awesome 

As bad as the ICON is... I have noticed that the 18Z and 06Z runs come up with some crazy solutions which is hard to do in only 120 hours.  

[Doinko]

ICON looks stronger than the 00z from yesterday almost

[Front Ranger]

7 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

One could even say the icon looks rock solid

Super aggressive with the cold air, -35F temps into southern BC by day 4.

It's the ICON, though...

[Phishy Wx]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Thanks, next December will mark 40 years that our family has lived here. Crazy. House needs some repairs and remodeling (we’re saving up for that) but it has curb appeal, haha.

Only problem is the highway noise (esp in winter). We don’t have a sound barrier here because the section of I-495 adjacent to us is a bridge over Cabin John Creek, so that noise travels straight here. Can be quite annoying.

Capital Beltway, the worst. ugh

[thisisacreativename]

[Doinko]

Snowy arctic front

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Holy *** icon brings 498 line to Seattle 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

Super aggressive with the cold air, -35C 850s into southern BC by day 4.

It's the ICON, though...

Declarations of winter cancel will be loud when it inevitably goes back to the 12Z solution on the 00Z run!  

[Phil]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

how does the ICON compare to Phil's parents Chimney?

High as a kite?

And fwiw there are 5 of us on the mortgage now, including me.

[Cold Snap]

Managed to squeak in a freeze this morning. Didn’t think it was going to happen last night with the cloud cover.

[MossMan]

49 minutes ago, Phil said:

Oh lol no I didn’t manipulate it, I just used my phone camera on default. Maybe ~ 60ft up?

Actually I’m still up here finishing the job. First time I’ve posted on the forums from up here though.

Here’s another. At least I’m off the chimney now.

That’s nothing, look at what i had to just endure!

Changed the backup/assist batteries since it has been over a year. 

Also changed the furnace filters. 

I am officially ready for winter to finally come! 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, Cold Snap said:

Managed to squeak in a freeze this morning. Didn’t think it was going to happen last night with the cloud cover.

41/34 so far today in Tacoma. Solidly chilly current weather. Overall the first half of January should be solidly below normal. Wouldn’t be surprised if this ends up being the only cold period in a sea of torching this DJF. 

[runninthruda206]

just give me at least 2 inches of snow in seattle thurs with that arctic front and cold for a couple days im happy 

[Front Ranger]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Declarations of winter cancel will be loud when it inevitably goes back to the 12Z solution on the 00Z run!  

What's funny is that at face value, the 12z was actually colder at day 5.

[Doinko]

[Phishy Wx]

the finest, tiny dandruff snow has been flurrying all morning.  can barely even see the flakes and it's already more than the moderate snow all day yesterday at 34 degrees that amounted to nothing.  that's the difference between just above freezing and just below

[Phil]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

That’s nothing, look at what i had to just endure!

Changed the backup/assist batteries since it has been over a year. 

Also changed the furnace filters. 

I am officially ready for winter to finally come! 

Good luck getting wind readings there.

I’d have installed a tower or something if I lived at your place because I need my data as perfect as possible. It’s borderline OCD at this point.

[Doinko]

9 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

Spire shows an epic overrunning event with the low that has been going well south on the GEM and Euro

 

Wow, that's a big snowstorm here. Hopefully we see something a bit farther south though for those in the Valley if something like this happens

[Meatyorologist]

18z GFS is off!

[Bonovox]

 

Short term improvements on the ICON.

[Phishy Wx]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

so I was mistaken, the north pole doesn't actually relocate to Nelson but instead Kelowna.  fine, I'll take that too

[MossMan]

8 minutes ago, Phil said:

High as a kite?

And fwiw there are 5 of us on the mortgage now, including me.

I want to see a copy of that mortgage 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

What's funny is that at face value, the 12z was actually colder at day 5.

Not saying it won't be cold... just that the 18Z ICON is goofy.

I do think the 18Z GFS will make another significant move to the ECMWF/EPS though.   This seems pretty close to settled now.

[Bonovox]

Wow!

18z ICON.

[BurienSnowGlobe]

[Phil]

The goofus is out to 18hrs.  

[MossMan]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

Good luck getting wind readings there.

I’d have installed a tower or something if I lived at your place because I need my data as perfect as possible. It’s borderline OCD at this point.

Yeah not going to happen…My trees are way too tall to try and get above them. 

[Bonovox]

 

Haha, wow. 18z ICON.

[the_convergence_zone]

1 hour ago, Slushy Inch said:

I assume you didn’t take old trail?

I am an “up old, down new” person on mailbox. I run down so I like the easier grade on the downhill. Based on footprints it seems like the old trail is preferred by about a 4:1 ratio. 

[Cold Snap]

Hoping for another good trend on the GFS!

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, BurienSnowGlobe said:

People are so silly.   They panic like we will be stranded for weeks.   I wonder if there is a run on the stores in Bozeman for the potential for high temps around 20.  

[Phil]

Just now, MossMan said:

Yeah not going to happen…My trees are way too tall to try and get above them. 

Same but I try nonetheless.  

Also fewer conifers here so less of an issue during the winter.

[Phil]

18z GFS will be another improvement, already evident upstream.

[Phishy Wx]

2 minutes ago, Bonovox said:

 

Haha, wow. 18z ICON.

The Omak Vortex

ChillZ

[Phil]

Shortwave slowing and digging more with more amplified downstream ridge on the 18z GFS. Should allow the TPV to track farther west.

Probably won’t be anything crazy but still an improvement.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Phil said:

18z GFS will be another improvement, already evident upstream.

I was just going to say that... its become pretty easy to pick up the tiny changes right away and they always seem to translate all the way downstream.

[Phishy Wx]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Same but I try nonetheless.  

Also fewer conifers here so less of an issue during the winter.

those white pines can take a decent licking, unlike the Loblollys in the Carolinas

[Mercurial]

Skyles Lake Overlook hike outside Whitefish.  Bring your yaktrax.

[Phil]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I was just going to say that... its become pretty easy to pick up the tiny changes right away and they always seem to translate all the way downstream.

Yeah that inflection point has always been on Tues/Wed. This solution won’t be crazy like the ICON or last nights CMC but it’s slowly caving.