January Weather In The PNW 2024 (Part III) - The Warming Shot

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, MikeInEverett said:

But somehow we have very wet snow falling here in Shoreline. That doesn’t make sense

Elevation?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

FWIW... here is the ECMWF 925mb temps for early tomorrow afternoon as the precip is starting.

Can you post  nam 3km please

[MossMan]

Report from home. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

 

[Tyler Mode]

The euro is too warm by 7 degrees for Portland at 10 AM.  35 vs actual of 28.

The two conditions maps, one shows only above freezing temps, the other only below 30.  The gorge influence shows up amazingly well.

[Phil]

Changeover seems to have dropped below 500ft now based on CC/beam height (and mixing likely below that).

Race between the changeover and the back edge of precip shield. 

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, The Ms. Anthrop said:

I left education this last June, and yeah, it's ridiculous. I don't know what your district is like as far as pacing freedom, but for us we couldn't pause for a day and teach about snow, or weather, or something that would relate to what was going on. Nope, we'd have to stick to the guide. Half my class would be missing and the other half physically present but mentally absent. It would not be hard to have some really excellent snow day curriculum on tap that would be great enrichment for those who can/want to take part virtually.

That is such a shame.  Takes the spontaneity out of everything.  Kind of reminds how they did away with the decent homemade lunches at the schools and replaced them with packaged standardized crap.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

Rain changing over to snow here now. Temp is at 34. 

You will get some today 

[SnowySeeker50]

Currently 33f, cold rain.

[bainbridgekid]

Just flipped to wet snow here in South Everett 

[ShawniganLake]

26 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF snow with the warm front tomorrow.  

@ShawniganLake is probably going to get a bunch more.

Looks like another 6-8”.  I would expect pretty low ratios so probably I’d bet more in the 4-6” range.  
 

snow is letting up here now.  There was 6” when I left home.  So I would guess we end up with 7-8” today.  Pretty well within what was modeled. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Can you post  nam 3km please

 

[North_County]

I have a small forested area to the northeast of my house that protects me a bit from the worst of the outflow winds. So I was not expecting it to be as strong as it is. 

Basically a near-total whiteout once you get to the more exposed areas of town. Drifts are building up very rapidly.

[MikeInEverett]

2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Just flipped to wet snow here in South Everett 

Yeah I was gonna say just checked the Airport Rd / Casino Road cam and looks like it’s wet snow now.

[Lynnwoodweather]

Yep from rain  to sleet to snow in about 15 minutes. Got a lot quieter. 

[Slushy Inch]

Wet snow mixing in in Bothell!

[Darrington Troll]

Dropped to 32 and light snow here in Lake Stevens 

[MikeInEverett]

7 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Elevation?

Was just surprised that we switched over before PAE. But it looks like it was only a few minutes difference. My location at Shoreline is at 400 feet.

[RentonHill]

Jumped to 35 here an hour ago now back down to 32.5...cmon man!!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

 

Here’s a live webcam of Vancouver Harbour. They’re getting hammered right now and it’s only 0C or 32F. 

 

[Chewbacca Defense]

Up to 6” and down to 27 degees.  Flakes have gotten smaller which I think means the air column is colder?

 

 

[MossMan]

How the passes should always look! 

[FrozenBites]

5 minutes ago, Phil said:

February has been the big month since 2016. I suspect that’ll reverse, though given how long the January curse lasted, who knows?  

You're probably right now that January came through. However, since '16 February as stated above has been pleasant. Will we lose February and gain January now? Doubtful, The earth has a memory more sharp than we do. I'm still investing in February. If I'm wrong? I'll find what seasoning goes good with crow. 

[Slushy Inch]

Dr. No starting to look like Dr. Wrong. Change to snow matches RGEM timing.

[MossMan]

Snow plow just went southbound scraping slush off of I-5 

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

Dr. No starting to look like Dr. Wrong. Change to snow matches RGEM timing.

The all mighty might not be 100% accurate? Perfect!! 

[ShawniganLake]

5 minutes ago, North_County said:

I have a small forested area to the northeast of my house that protects me a bit from the worst of the outflow winds. So I was not expecting it to be as strong as it is. 

Basically a near-total whiteout once you get to the more exposed areas of town. Drifts are building up very rapidly.

Saw a reliable report of 16” out in Chilliwack.  They could realistically hit 20”. 

[Cloud]

Coming out of this cold spell with nothing to show for is quite disappointing. Though, I  loved this airmass and snow is always a bonus.

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Dr. No starting to look like Dr. Wrong. Change to snow matches RGEM timing.

I think the HRDPS is best with precip type.  What did it show. 

[MossMan]

Too bad this isn’t last Thursday with the arctic front…

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

That will get it done here. 

[RentonHill]

where's that seatac flight upper air temp graph link

[SunAndSnow]

32.2°. Above freezing for the first time in almost 120 hours! 

[North_County]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Saw a reliable report of 16” out in Chilliwack.  They could realistically hit 20”. 

Chilliwack always seems to do well. Even when Abbotsford is skunked by the outflow. That part of the valley can get some pretty nasty ZR sometimes, though.

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

I think the HRDPS is best with precip type.  What did it show. 

Change to snow around 11am for north king county.

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... anyone want to watch live stream from Bellingham of dumping snow here is the link:

https://www.barkleyvillage.com/web-cams

This web cam is fun to watch! Up to 20F, warmest it has been here in a long time. Hoping for no ice.

[RentonHill]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

Change to snow around 11am for north king county.

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, SpaceRace22 said:

28 degrees with a solid half inch of ice coating everything now. Looks like some pretty heavy rain is about to move in, and I don't think we are going to thaw before then. Reeeeally happy we have underground power lines here.

dog poop?

[snow_wizard]

13 minutes ago, North_County said:

I have a small forested area to the northeast of my house that protects me a bit from the worst of the outflow winds. So I was not expecting it to be as strong as it is. 

Basically a near-total whiteout once you get to the more exposed areas of town. Drifts are building up very rapidly.

I am so envious.  I thought about moving up there so many times several years back.

[The Ms. Anthrop]

4 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

where's that seatac flight upper air temp graph link

SeaTac TimeHeight Cross Section (washington.edu)