February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, ShawniganLake said:

 

 

Confession time. I didn't actually look at last night's EURO until a few minutes ago.  

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Down in Philomath today. On the way there was a great sunrise with rain/mist/fog to the west and then the sun peaking through from the east with the foothills visible.

Is that the town where Phil invented math? 

[BLI snowman]

7 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Big GFS run underway after a semi-disappointing EURO and EURO suite. 

 

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Surprised there wasn't more talk about the 00z EURO. Pretty incredible pattern on there. 

 

[Slushy Inch]

Looks like a pscz.

[ShawniganLake]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

The cmc has more of a euro look with overrunning possibilities after the trough,  not cold enough yet though. Gfs is just lost. Nothing new there. 

Kind of splits the difference between the gfs and euro. It’s digging pretty far offshore days 9-10.  Cool but also wet rather than white. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

 

 

See above post. I lazily took the lack of comments as a sign it was a letdown. 

It's interesting many if not most of the GFS ensembles are more on the EURO train of at least a 2nd cold trough. 

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Confession time. I didn't actually look at last night's EURO until a few minutes ago.  

We appreciate your honesty.  

[DeepFriedEgg]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

lol still waiting for the drop off of a cliff this has been showing for a few days now.

[DareDuck]

Ended up with about 4” yesterday between the two storms. 11” this week and 34.25” for the season now. 

[ShawniganLake]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

See above post. I lazily took the lack of comments as a sign it was a letdown. 

It's interesting many if not most of the GFS ensembles are more on the EURO train of at least a 2nd cold trough. 

GFS likes cutting energy off over the pacific in the spring according to Phil

[Phishy Wx]

Moderate Snow, 30 DP 27

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, DareDuck said:

Ended up with about 4” yesterday between the two storms. 11” this week and 34.25” for the season now. 

That knocks you up to about average on the season wouldn't you say? 

[TacomaWx]

28 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

I don’t think people are irritated. They are fun to look at.  It would seem like a reasonable idea to at least look at the temperatures being modelled during the snow storm 

I think something a lot of people do is just look at the snow maps…but don’t actually break it down based on surface temps and mid level temps. That was something big that I didn’t understand when I first started out on the forum. I just looked at a map and it says it’s gonna snow so it will! 

[Dave]

My Dari Mart biscuits and gravy are way more biscuit than gravy today.

[BLI snowman]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

See above post. I lazily took the lack of comments as a sign it was a letdown. 

It's interesting many if not most of the GFS ensembles are more on the EURO train of at least a 2nd cold trough. 

Real talk though Andrew, I was semi-disappointed that the 00z CFS didn't get the 516 thickness line all up in here.

That's a wrecking ball pattern for the Winters Hill region however. And it definitely was on Team Sequel Trough

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

Real talk though Andrew, I was semi-disappointed that the 00z CFS didn't get the 516 thickness line all up in here.

That's a wrecking ball pattern for the Winters Hill region however. And it definitely was on Team Sequel Trough

 

I'm excited about that first trough coming in on the 26th. We had 11.5" on the 26th last year on that date. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Dave said:

My Dari Mart biscuits and gravy are way more biscuit than gravy today.

That's a plus. I have some connections at corporate there, so if you ever need anyone to put in a word for you regarding customer experience, just let me know.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS goes cutoff crazy

[Dave]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That's a plus. I have some connections at corporate there, so if you ever need anyone to put in a word for you regarding customer experience, just let me know.

I just want biscuit and Gravy. Not Biscuit and gravy.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Dave said:

I just want biscuit and Gravy. Not Biscuit and gravy.

See I would be happy to get a big biscuit. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

See above post. I lazily took the lack of comments as a sign it was a letdown. 

It's interesting many if not most of the GFS ensembles are more on the EURO train of at least a 2nd cold trough. 

Can you post the overrunning event from euro last night

[MossMan]

6 years ago today! Crazy how many big snows I have had in later to late February! And this was at my old place at only 280’ in elevation. 

[ShawniganLake]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Can you post the overrunning event from euro last night

It’s on the top of the last page. Snow wizard posted it. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Can you post the overrunning event from euro last night

I wouldn't call it an overrunning event in the classic sense. It's a 2nd cold trough dropping in. 

Though in your area it functions as an overrunning system, down here I would probably go rain to snow with it. 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

How was the 00z ECMWF ensemble mean for snow? Did the map snow widespread pepto?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like the GEFS is going all cut off crazy too. Or at least trending that way. 

Edited February 18 by SilverFallsAndrew

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I wouldn't call it an overrunning event in the classic sense. It's a 2nd cold trough dropping in. 

Though in your area it functions as an overrunning system, down here I would probably go rain to snow with it. 

That is a beauty.  Gfs shows nothing even close to this.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Watching this in real time, it does look like after the 29th the operational GFS is an outlier on the warm side. A number of ensemble members do show the 2nd trough. Though the mean is right around 0C on the 1st/2nd. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

EURO is running. This will be TELLING. 

[FroYoBro]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

EURO is running. This will be TELLING. 

I'm not going to look at it, but I'll tell you how it goes Andrew!

[DareDuck]

49 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That knocks you up to about average on the season wouldn't you say? 

Yes pretty much at average now. With next window of opportunity it looks like there’s a good chance I can back to back above average winters. 

[DeepFriedEgg]

If I had to guess this is going to be no more than some EPIC Andrew Flow.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

12z ECMWF and EPS are going to be the best runs yet, atleast I hope. Realistically I'm expecting them to be worse than their previous runs.

[TT-SEA]

19 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

That mountain has to be the most snow starved 4k elevation area in Washington state. Strange 

I was cleaning up pics on my phone and wanted to snow you a comparison with snow on Mt Si.    First pic was yesterday and second pic was the evening of January 12th.    It can look wintry once in awhile! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

I was cleaning up pics on my phone and wanted to snow you a comparison with snow on Mt Si.    First pic was yesterday and second pic was the evening of January 12th.    It can look wintry once in awhile! 

Amazing a mountain over 4,000' has absolutely no snow on it. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

I was cleaning up pics on my phone and wanted to snow you a comparison with snow on Mt Si.    First pic was yesterday and second pic was the evening of January 12th.    It can look wintry once in awhile! 

Oh ya I know, I see it glingto cabin. For 4k feet it sure don't hold snow very well but it's not surrounded by mountains either. 

[Slushy Inch]

Euro run let’s go! I’ve got a good feeling about this run so far.

[Phishy Wx]

Cascadia appears sad again

[Cascadia_Wx]

11 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Lowland snow easy.

This is probably one of the greatest Jim posts of all time.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That's a plus. I have some connections at corporate there, so if you ever need anyone to put in a word for you regarding customer experience, just let me know.

Well my dad’s a pretty big wheel down at the cracker factory.