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February 2024 Weather in the PNW


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Thirty-one years ago RIGHT NOW a residual Arctic air mass and a now suppressed jet system were combining over the Willamette Valley producing HEAVY SNOWFALL. A reminder that 30+ years ago, lowland snow during cold weather was “almost inevitable.”

 

us_reanalyse-en_modera5_199302191800_1256_149.png

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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6 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Thirty-one years ago RIGHT NOW a residual Arctic air mass and a now suppressed jet system were combining over the Willamette Valley producing HEAVY SNOWFALL. A reminder that 30+ years ago, lowland snow during cold weather was “almost inevitable.”

 

us_reanalyse-en_modera5_199302191800_1256_149.png

I was lucky enough to be at ground zero for that. Unbelievable snow dump.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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51F with some showers.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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The recent coolish stretch has only managed to push PDX down to a +2.0 on the month. At least it won’t be an historically warm February like can easily happen in a Niño.

The next 5-6 days look pretty mild (wouldn’t surprise me to see them hit 60 sometime between Thursday and Saturday) then the last 4-5 days of the month look chilly.

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is a less deep initially with the weekend trough.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_dprog-8862400.png

More like the GEM. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Is the euro still showing the second low approaching the coast?

It does... looks too warm for lowland snow though.    Lots of rain and mountain snow.   But you will probably get more snow.   😀

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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 I am in Vegas today and it looks like the Central Valley has one of the best setups on record for tornadoes this afternoon. Lots of chasers have arrived according to X post. Parameters are very similar to the Midwest/plains before an outbreak. If I was home I would be tempted to drive down the hill to check it out. Hopefully some good footage is captured. 

 

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17 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Maybe I’m confusing models

24 hour totals on the chart @RentonHill posted.    The total snow chart looks more impressive as it carries snowfall totals through the end of the run.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

24 hour totals on the chart @RentonHill posted.    The total snow chart looks more impressive as it carries snowfall totals through the end of the run.

I should learn to read

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

What's that? Is that a TV show? I don't watch TV much ever.

Yep. It's an older canceled TV show that was seriously funny. I don't know if you drink a beer or two, but if you do try having a couple and watching a couple of episodes. Much of the shows were simply improvved which made it even better. They aren't hard to find online.

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At the lake house doing some roof cleanup before the rain moved through today…Not much action on the water just yet! 

IMG_2841.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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EPS was quite a bit better than the operational. 18z GFS is a step in the right direction. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Another day with rain moving northward to the west with no rain here at all.    Been a consistent theme lately.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

45 with some rain moving in this morning and a cool east wind. Hit a low of 42 just after midnight. Would be neat if the Portland area managed to squeak in one more sub-50 high today.

Yes, my brother in frozen yogurt Christ. That was a pretty bad call.

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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