February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[ShawniganLake]

Gfs brings the arctic front very close to the Canadian border on the 12Z.  Could be a little trickle of Fraser outflow into SW BC

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Cold air continues to be further west and south Tuesday on gfs.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

22 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Can't believe I'm 60 today!  I used to think that was old....

OMG! I’m older than Jim!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Depending on timing it is looking like parts of the area could see a decent overrunning event around Wednesday. As it looks now there would be one here.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Depending on timing it is looking like parts of the area could see a decent overrunning event around Wednesday. As it looks now there would be one here.

Some trapped cold air over there on Wednesday during the warm up per the 12Z GFS.   

 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS is sending the cold air a little farther west with the second trough compared to its 00Z run.    

[MossMan]

18 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Gfs brings the arctic front very close to the Canadian border on the 12Z.  Could be a little trickle of Fraser outflow into SW BC

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS doesn't show the anafront action late nexr week like the 00Z run showed.    Much warmer in that time frame on this run.  

 

[TT-SEA]

21 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Gfs brings the arctic front very close to the Canadian border on the 12Z.  Could be a little trickle of Fraser outflow into SW BC

Its trying... but just gets swept away so quickly.    12Z GEM doesn't get nearly as close though.  

[Tyler Mode]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its trying... but just gets swept away so quickly.    12Z GEM doesn't get nearly as close though.  

Not even a poor man's version of January.  More like completely broke. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GEM keeps the second trough closer to the coast and is colder than the GFS late next week.   

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Gem looks like its about to get cold at the end of the run. However you slice it there will be low snow levels with snow chances in the lowlands with massive snow above 1500ft in Washington mountains.

[TT-SEA]

Noticing birds singing in the morning again here. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Noticing birds singing in the morning again here. 

Everyone is taking shelter for the torrential downpour here. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

What a wild pattern.  Action packed with a bunch of different weather. Full blown la nina pattern.

[Randyc321]

10 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

February rainfall so far:

Portland, OR: 1.94"

Downtown LA, CA: 12.29"

Hope the drought in the PNW doesn't cause too much damage.

It's ok.  I still prefer here to there.   Move along troll.

[MossMan]

I would be okay with last nights Euro. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I would be okay with last nights Euro. 

Malfuncion.

[Slushy Inch]

35 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its trying... but just gets swept away so quickly.    12Z GEM doesn't get nearly as close though.  

So close to another Feb arctic outbreak. Still 5 days for improvement.

[umadbro]

So far there is nothing to get excited about on the models. Unless you like cold rain and 1500’ snow levelz 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Still looks active with potential foothill snow. Just hoping for a sloppy inch or two. 

[Phishy Wx]

11 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

So is Western Oregon. We actually have a vineyard about a mile from my house towards the state park. Not sure how well grapes grow in this climate, but we do have reliably dry summers. 

certain grape varietals prefer wetter and cooler climates.  Willamette Valley one of the best Wine Terroirs in the country

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, umadbro said:

So far there is nothing to get excited about on the models. Unless you like cold rain and 1500’ snow levelz 

I cherish both. 

[Tyler Mode]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I cherish both. 

Given the lack of low level snow, I'll take it!

[Slushy Inch]

Last three gefs runs have edged Arctic air closer and closer. Will it continue? And how much improvement can we get in 5 days?

[Phishy Wx]

looks like the Climatologically favored east of the Rockies slide off.  The January event was the exception not the norm, especially in a Strong Nino 

[SnowWillarrive]

18 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I would be okay with last nights Euro. 

That’s just a glitch in the matrix. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

12 minutes ago, umadbro said:

So far there is nothing to get excited about on the models. Unless you like cold rain and 1500’ snow levelz 

Snow levels will be near sea level at times. If you live above 500ft in Washington you will see sticking snow over the next ten days. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Still looks active with potential foothill snow. Just hoping for a sloppy inch or two. 

You will have 6-12 inches next week and you know it.

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

looks like the Climatologically favored east of the Rockies slide off.  The January event was the exception not the norm, especially in a Strong Nino 

People use climatology to be pessimistic. Climatology says I should get some snow accumulation this year!

[MossMan]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

People use climatology to be pessimistic. Climatology says I should get some snow accumulation this year!

Yeah it basically snows in February no matter what anymore! At least at my house. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Not bad for March 2 in an el nino.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z GFS doesn't show the anafront action late nexr week like the 00Z run showed.    Much warmer in that time frame on this run.  

 

Im cool with this change

[Phishy Wx]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yeah it basically snows in February no matter what anymore! At least at my house. 

Well that's Climatology if its an established, fact based trend over a 10 year period of time

[SnowWillarrive]

14 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

You will have 6-12 inches next week and you know it.

I wish we all lived at 1500+ feet 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

I wish we all lived at 1500+ feet 

1500ft in Washington would be a very snowy climate. 

[Timmy Supercell]

17 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yeah it basically snows in February no matter what anymore! At least at my house. 

While some of the west sides have had good scores with Feb, it wasn't a good month in K-Falls from 2020-2022. I forgot if they had snow last February down there. They went from a top tier snowy/cold one to multiple dry ones in a row..

[umadbro]

22 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Snow levels will be near sea level at times. If you live above 500ft in Washington you will see sticking snow over the next ten days. 

In Washington North of Seattle maybe. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 minute ago, Timmy Supercell said:

While some of the west sides have had good scores with Feb, it wasn't a good month in K-Falls from 2020-2022. I forgot if they had snow last February down there. They went from a top tier snowy/cold one to multiple dry ones in a row..

I think they had some last winter but not 100% certain. Pretty much everywhere west of the Cascades did better than Eugene/Springfield for snow but we finally broke the curse without multiple sub freezing high temps back in January.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

12 minutes ago, umadbro said:

In Washington North of Seattle maybe. 

Nope, Coast range, all of Western Washington. The area west of Olympia out towards the coast can do well in this pattern.