April 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Meatyorologist]

Guidance has a nice lobe of cold air sitting for days north of AK. Could be something to feed off as more cold air spills south into the GOA from there via the Beaufort Sea.

[Cascadia_Wx]

21 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Guidance has a nice lobe of cold air sitting for days north of AK. Could be something to feed off as more cold air spills south into the GOA from there via the Beaufort Sea.

Hoping things trend more active late month. Aside from the little mostly dry trough in the mid range, the models have trended pretty boring for the foreseeable future.

There was a head fake 3-4 days ago where it looked like I’d be arriving home to deep troughing with a robust -PNA pattern this weekend, but that somehow morphed into stout ridge instead.  

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hoping things trend more active late month. Aside from the little mostly dry trough in the mid range, the models have trended pretty boring for the foreseeable future.

There was a head fake 3-4 days ago where it looked like I’d be arriving home to deep troughing with a robust -PNA pattern this weekend, but that somehow morphed into stout ridge instead.  

Looks like a stout -PNA is still coming. Perhaps it will even snow! 

Edited April 11 by MossMan

[Cascadia_Wx]

16 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Looks like a stout -PNA is still coming. Perhaps it will even snow! 

Maybe for a few days, but the long term GEFS, operational, and control all look pretty ridgy. Par for the course these days.

[MossMan]

Went from watching a tornado video to this…video Somehow…

The beat will go on in your brain the rest of the evening…You’re welcome. 

 

[TT-SEA]

23 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Looks like a stout -PNA is still coming. Perhaps it will even snow! 

Prayers for anyone arriving home to a pleasant weekend in the 60s.  Ecosystem destroying madness for mid April.   I guess our short respite from endless whining is over.  

[TT-SEA]

One additional note... it wasn't a comment that drought is possible.  That is true.  It was "severe drought incoming".   Right in line with other comments like 100 degree temps all summer and massive blizzards and the strongest Nina ever recorded next winter.   Just extreme hyperbole for the sake of extreme hyperbole.  Meaningless.

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Just landed in Denver where the skies are partly cloudy with temps in the high 60s. Have a couple hour layover here then should be back to PDX by late this evening.  Looks like Denver and PDX conditions are pretty similar at the moment.

Huh? It was around 50 a couple hours ago. Low 40s now.

EDIT: I see you caught it.

[Front Ranger]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

One additional note... it wasn't a comment that drought is possible.  That is true.  It was "severe drought incoming".   Right in line with other comments like 100 degree temps all summer and massive blizzards and the strongest Nina ever recorded next winter.   Just extreme hyperbole for the sake of extreme hyperbole.  Meaningless.

It's just people being silly, Tim. Nothing new on here. Kinda strange that it's suddenly gotten under your skin.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

It's just people being silly, Tim. Nothing new on here. Kinda strange that it's suddenly gotten under your skin.

I must be getting old.  Just seems so pointless. 

[Cloud]

I love the crisp morning air during transition months. In the fall, we know summer is ending and we’re heading towards winter. Now, it’s heading towards summer again but it doesn’t make me love (hate?) it much less. Longer we can hang onto this the better before the heat is here. 

[Phishy Wx]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I must be getting old.  Just seems so pointless. 

we'll revisit in 90 days. deal?

[Phil]

3 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

On the weather front down here. Had a morning thunderstorm in Austin yesterday that was pretty cool. Loud thunder, heavy rain and hail.

Last night was our last night in Texas, checked out the Big Thicket National preserve yesterday (great spot) and stayed in Beaumont overnight. There were some very impressive nocturnal storms there around 3-4am with an hour or so of almost continuous lightning. Have never really seen anything like it. Like someone was flipping a light switch off and on. The thunder was a continuous low rumble that would sometimes crescendo with what I imagine were the closer strikes. Very cool to experience an event like that.

That’s the one thing I love about summer. Nothing quite like sitting at the front porch, drink in hand, watching strobing lightning in the distance (and pouring sweat most times, lol).

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

Guidance has a nice lobe of cold air sitting for days north of AK. Could be something to feed off as more cold air spills south into the GOA from there via the Beaufort Sea.

That's the start of our cold May.

May-king up for last year's torchfest.

[Phil]

2 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

you'd love the Carolinas in the summer, almost daily T-storms

Except when it’s not storming and just hot & nasty as fück.

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

we'll revisit in 90 days. deal?

We don't average much rain over the next few months.   Even drier than normal won't push us into "severe drought".  

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, Cloud said:

I love the crisp morning air during transition months. In the fall, we know summer is ending and we’re heading towards winter. Now, it’s heading towards summer again but it doesn’t make me love (hate?) it much less. Longer we can hang onto this the better before the heat is here. 

Plus we have some of the best summer weather in the country in between.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

Guidance has a nice lobe of cold air sitting for days north of AK. Could be something to feed off as more cold air spills south into the GOA from there via the Beaufort Sea.

Was going to say, that’s actually an impressive airmass sitting over the Beaufort/W-Arctic and AK week-2. Climate rapture-ists might have to wait another year for an ice free arctic.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

That's the start of our cold May.

May-king up for last year's torchfest.

That was just payback for the sh*tshow that was May 2022.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Looks like a stout -PNA is still coming. Perhaps it will even snow! 

Late month +PNA starting to show up!

[Chewbacca Defense]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Looks like a stout -PNA is still coming. Perhaps it will even snow! 

 

 

Ah crap and I just put my snow shovel back in summer storage....

[Cascadia_Wx]

10 minutes ago, Phil said:

Late month +PNA starting to show up!

Will be a nice change of pace after the early and mid month +PNA!

[GHweatherChris]

I never mock anyone..... as I mock and mock and mock and mock and mock and mock and mocka mocka mocka mocka mocka mocka.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

I never mock anyone..... as I mock and mock and mock and mock and mock and mock and mocka mocka mocka mocka mocka mocka.

Don't be so hard on yourself Chris.   

And pointing out intentionally silly predictions is not mocking.    

[BLI snowman]

25 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That was just payback for the sh*tshow that was May 2022.

I read somewhere that last year was the final settling of our May 1962 debt. So we oughta be good to go now.

 

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I read somewhere that last year was the final settling of our May 1962 debt. So we oughta be good to go now.

 

Nice!

[TT-SEA]

Liking the 00Z GFS so far... beautiful weekend then rain on Monday and clearing Tuesday and then back to sunny and mild.

[MossMan]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Liking the 00Z GFS so far... beautiful weekend then rain on Monday and clearing Tuesday and then back to sunny and mild.

Perfect! I just ordered another 14 yards of bark that will be arriving on Saturday morning! 

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF on the hand is no longer progressive with the trough later next week.   Looks more like the GEM now.   00Z GEFS is still progressive though.   Interesting model battle developing. 

[Phil]

Apparently the trees don’t think cold weather is coming back.

They’re seldom wrong.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Liking the 00Z GFS so far... beautiful weekend then rain on Monday and clearing Tuesday and then back to sunny and mild.

Seen this skit before.

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Liking the 00Z GFS so far... beautiful weekend then rain on Monday and clearing Tuesday and then back to sunny and mild.

Rain lovers need to take a holiday on Monday.

[Meatyorologist]

4 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

One additional note... it wasn't a comment that drought is possible.  That is true.  It was "severe drought incoming".   Right in line with other comments like 100 degree temps all summer and massive blizzards and the strongest Nina ever recorded next winter.   Just extreme hyperbole for the sake of extreme hyperbole.  Meaningless.

I think the winter predictions were a joke man. But yes I agree, I think our ECOSYSTEM can HANDLE a couple eighpril eighty-burgers.

[Meatyorologist]

Arguably Spring is the best time to recieve 80F+ heat since the biosphere is so saturated and plant growth genes are being activated up the yinyang. So long as the Summer proceeding is tame!

[Meatyorologist]

This is Phil's "nightmare fuel" by the way.

[The Blob]

Heyyyyoooo, how's everyone surviving the nice weather we're having?

[Meatyorologist]

6 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Heyyyyoooo, how's everyone surviving the nice weather we're having?

By a thread.

[ShawniganLake]

BC snowpack data from April 1st was released. Provincial average is just 63% of normal, which is the lowest snowpack in history for the province 

[Meatyorologist]

Early next week is a textbook Arctic blast in DJF

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

BC snowpack data from April 1st was released. Provincial average is just 63% of normal, which is the lowest snowpack in history for the province 

Devastating. But at least people in North Bend get to BBQ this week!