snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Was a bust in my area. Probably never got above 20mph here. South Snohomish Co and Whatcom Co had higher winds, not sure about other areas. We had some gusts into the low 30s here. Pretty solid blow for a south wind event in this area. Usually east winds are the big deal here. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 12 minutes ago, luminen said: Had some wind here just after noon but it didn't really amount to much. Still waiting for a storm to outdo the August 2015 masterpiece. That was awesome in every sense of the word. That one was a doozy! No power for two days and my old BBQ got dented. 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Took the garbage can down to the road this evening and got a shot of the fall color starting to happen here. 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 00z warmer for the weekend up here and in eWA 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 37 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I was surprised reading that as everyone on here was acting like it was some terrible bust. Expectations can be a demonic thing Andrew 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 GLAAM update??? 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 23 minutes ago, Deweydog said: GLAAM update??? GLAAM is currently negative but will be going positive around the end of the month. +GLAAM during a Niña/+QBO almost always causes kold in the NW. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 GEM is better than the GFS for next week. If we are going to play that game. 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 00z GFS, GEM 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly. GFS still struggling. GEM moving towards EURO. Let's see if the EURO continues to improve. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 3 hours ago, AbbyJr said: Thanks Phil! Looks like a bunch of inverted Molduga Fin's you collected. Going Molduga hunting there? https://zelda.fandom.com/wiki/Molduga_Fin. They make for very good elixers when cooked with things that require 'monster parts' but Molduga's are a pain in the butt to kill unless you know what your doing after a lot of broken weapons later. Edit: I can't find the original post of his. Also here is the music to the Moldgua. Pretty good beat! The Age of Calamity (new) prequel has an even better version when you watch the Treehouse stream of the gameplay footage in the desert they Gerudo summon the Molduga using loud noises to scare away the Yiga Clan attacks and they all run away when it appears from the ground. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 4 This is looking mighty interesting 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Model trends 00z ECMWF Day 4, Past 4 runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: GEM is better than the GFS for next week. If we are going to play that game. We are Andrew ♟ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: We are Andrew ♟ I am. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 5 Past 4 runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Day 4 on the ECMWF shows the trough digging much further west than the GFS. Looks good. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Nice cold pool on the ECMWF on Sunday. At least we are in the blue at that point. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 6 ..... Here we go! C'MON!!!! Past 4 runs 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Dress rehearsal for the bigger stuff later on. 1 1 1 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Cold 850s have really arrived next Monday on this Euro run. Much colder than last night's run. 1 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 It's well worth noting tonight's GFS ensemble was considerably colder around the 22nd than previous runs. Next week is shaping up to be nippy it would appear. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 7 Past 4 runs 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Forget frost on the pumpkin...Let’s have SNOW on the pumpkin! 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Brrrr by day 7. This run looks like it will deliver some pretty cold continental air. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Let's repeat this pattern 2-3 times a month through early March. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z ECMWF Day 7 Past 4 runs The EPS has been strongly supporting this notion and even tonight's GFS was getting closer. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Day 8 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Kind of hard to not model ride with what the EURO is showing. C'MON!!!! 6z GFS in 2 hours 40 minutes 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 First freeze incoming for those days? 1 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 Weatherbell maps show widespread low to mid 30s next Wednesday night. Looks like several days of solidly below normal 850s next week. Should be enjoyable. 1 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: First freeze incoming for those days? Maybe! or close to it. I'm real eager to see how the models look once the ridge merger/block evolves HR 60 to 72(Day 2.5 to 3) Given how models have trended stronger with the merger/block and shunting the cut-off northwest of Hawaii, models might turn even colder. C'MON!!!! 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 46 minutes Who's staying up? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 10 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Kind of hard to not model ride with what the EURO is showing. C'MON!!!! 6z GFS in 2 hours 40 minutes Actually, it is very easy not to model ride until 11/20 or so. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Maybe! or close to it. I'm real eager to see how the models look once the ridge merger/block evolves HR 60 to 72(Day 2.5 to 3) Given how models have trended stronger with the merger/block and shunting the cut-off northwest of Hawaii, models might turn even colder. C'MON!!!! 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 46 minutes Who's staying up? Me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said: Actually, it is very easy not to model ride until 11/20 or so. Not for me. 6z NAM in 39 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Actually, it is very easy not to model ride until 11/20 or so. I can’t remember the model riding ever starting this early. Y’all are gonna be burned out by January at this rate. 2 2 2 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 4 hours ago, Omegaraptor said: I was on Weatherwest earlier and a guy from Palm Springs said he had 143 days of 100+ this year, a new record, and that 150 is possible. I couldn’t imagine living year round in that. That’s literally hell on earth (for anyone not named Tim). 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 00z CMCE Ensembles 500mb Height Anomaly. Nice improvements with the Canadian ensembles. C'MON Frost! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 11 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Maybe! or close to it. I'm real eager to see how the models look once the ridge merger/block evolves HR 60 to 72(Day 2.5 to 3) Given how models have trended stronger with the merger/block and shunting the cut-off northwest of Hawaii, models might turn even colder. C'MON!!!! 12z ECMWF in 10 hours 46 minutes Who's staying up? 3 1 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 11 minutes ago, Phil said: I can’t remember the model riding ever starting this early. Y’all are gonna be burned out by January at this rate. Can't blame Jim for that one. This is squarely on me fueling it every night. Not wish-casting, but definitely model riding. 12z GFS in 8 hours 14 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted October 14, 2020 Report Share Posted October 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Can't blame Jim for that one. This is squarely on me fueling it every night. Not wish-casting, but definitely model riding. 12z GFS in 8 hours 14 minutes Definitely not solar powered. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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