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October 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW


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Clouds burning off. Nice day!!

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 63F (Oct 10 & 15)
  • Coldest low: 39F (Oct 16)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 0 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Nov 30, 2019) *Fewest all-time*
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

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My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Sorry guys I ended up getting chased around the outside of the building at work by a whacked out homeless guy on drugs...That was a first! I was mostly worried about the snot coming out of his nose as

Trying to make the best of this weather, got a nice hike on Mt. Adams in on Sunday. Up Stagman Ridge to Horseshoe meadows then down to Lookingglass Lake. Weather was mild but the fall colors were quit

And for anyone who wants a rough PNW guide from the beginning of somewhat reliable records Every 1st year Nina winter: 2016-17- Cold throughout 2010-11- November and late February arcti

Posted Images

Cloudy now.

image.jpg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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18 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Clouds burning off. Nice day!!

I'll second that. 55º with sunshine and a few clouds here.

To see that it's already 90º this morning at my old house in LA in an endless string of 90º+ days makes me very glad to be here!

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Looks to be about 10 days out for any of that interesting continental air to make it down this way.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 63F (Oct 10 & 15)
  • Coldest low: 39F (Oct 16)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 0 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Nov 30, 2019) *Fewest all-time*
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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[Model Countdown]

Next up....

18z NAM in 18 minutes

This afternoon.....

18z GFS in 2 hours 5 minutes

This evening....

00z NAM in 6 hours 18 minutes

Later this evening....

00z GFS in 8 hours 5 minutes

00z CMC/GEM in 8 hours 37 minutes

00z ECMWF in 10 hours 22 minutes

Later tonight....

6z NAM in 12 hours 18 minutes

Overnight....

6z GFS in 14 hours 5 minutes

Early Thursday morning....

12z NAM in 18 hours 18 minutes

Mid-late Thursday Morning....

12z GFS in 20 hours 5 minutes

12z CMC/GEM in 18 hours 37 minutes

12z ECMWF in 22 hours 22 minutes

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3 minutes ago, Snowdrift said:

03 is a nice analog. 😁

Yup, some surprise Nov snow and plenty of action in late Dec into Jan regionally. This followed a 7-year stretch of absolute duds, by far the longest in EUG's history and it skews the records bigly.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 63F (Oct 10 & 15)
  • Coldest low: 39F (Oct 16)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 0 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Nov 30, 2019) *Fewest all-time*
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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60 degrees currently. Nice day. Going out to Anderson island this weekend...looking fairly dry with NW flow. Might get a bit of rain Sunday that’s about it. 

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Cold season stats  

Coldest low-43

Coldest high-57

Freezes-0

Monthly rainfall-2.81”

Cold season rainfall-2.81”

Snowfall-0.0”

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1 hour ago, Eujunga said:

I'll second that. 55º with sunshine and a few clouds here.

To see that it's already 90º this morning at my old house in LA in an endless string of 90º+ days makes me very glad to be here!

Late afternoon is nice. Soon we'll be in November where it's 90 during the day, but dark by the time you get home from work. (If not working from home due to COVID-19)

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2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

 

OH MY GOD. 

Is that 10/24 or 12/14/2016?!

This was mostly the theme for the puget sound area that winter. I did enjoy the fact that it snowed almost every single weekend in December but it was painful to watch it melt almost immediately each time. 

941BD254-8A85-4F1C-A5C9-BA492DCDCA09.jpeg

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12z EPS

500m Height Anomaly. Uh oh! Are we losing the EURO already? It's not even Halloween. Winter cancel! It's okay. Decent. It's close to being very chilly. Fun times ahead and it's not even November. C'MON!!!!

floop-eps-2020101412.500h_anom_na.gif

 

18z GFS in 47 minutes

 

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4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Whatcom county getting some love from the gem even tho that is still cold rain. Excited tho for the winter☃️

Oct1.jpg

Oct2.jpg

That looks FANTASTIC.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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As for 2003-04. That would be fine. Overall it was total garbage outside the Dec. 29-Jan 8 period. A minor November snow, and some seepage in BLI in late January. Spring torched.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

As for 2003-04. That would be fine. Overall it was total garbage outside the Dec. 29-Jan 8 period. A minor November snow, and some seepage in BLI in late January. Spring torched.

Mmmmm... seepage.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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8 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Mmmmm... seepage.

I ended up with more kids than anticipated because of that. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Up to 66F. Almost the same temp inside as outside. Feels like summer with a low sun angle.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 63F (Oct 10 & 15)
  • Coldest low: 39F (Oct 16)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 0 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Nov 30, 2019) *Fewest all-time*
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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18z Running!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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First half of November looks decent on the 12z CFS. Some mountain snow too. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 0                         2020-21: 3.38"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Looking like it might get chilly around here.  All of the models are showing the PNA dropping into the -3.5 to -4.5 range next week.  If we can get the surface gradients to go northerly which looks like a decent bet at this point we could see some double digit minus temperature departures with the solutions being depicted.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 40

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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2 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Up to 66F. Almost the same temp inside as outside. Feels like summer with a low sun angle.

66 is a very cool day in the summer.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 40

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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41 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Fox12 7-day Forecast

ibs_web_7-day.jpg

 

KOMO 7-day Forecast

https://komonews.com/resources/ftptransfer/komo/maps/7day_komo.jpg

Those lows temps look pretty lame.  Typical at this stage of the game.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 40

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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4 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Late afternoon is nice. Soon we'll be in November where it's 90 during the day, but dark by the time you get home from work. (If not working from home due to COVID-19)

One of the things that weirded me out about the weather the year I lived in the Bay Area was how warm it could be in October and November despite the days being so short. It just didn’t feel right.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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With all the wind talk these last couple of days, I'll share my windiest moment.

This was at Cape Blanco 15-20 years ago. I randomly was staying in one of the park's cabins to go steelhead fishing the next day. We knew the forecast was uncertain and potentially stormy, but boy did it deliver the goods. 

Easy 80+ sustained winds. Gusts were actually kind of rare, the wind was just constant. No rain either. You could do really cool things like lean back into the wind like it was a seat, or lean forward at around a 45 degree angle. No debris, no danger, just fun. The pickup truck we arrived in was doing some frightening things, but we took it in stride.

I did check the local news the next day and it had been one of the windiest days in years down there. I just got lucky. 

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29 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Nice to see, but it needs to be more blurry!

I know it! For some reason the blurriness is gone! Must be Fred’s forum upgrade that did the trick. It will now be called the daily sharpness! 

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I know it! For some reason the blurriness is gone! Must be Fred’s forum upgrade that did the trick. It will now be called the daily sharpness! 

Either that or you're gonna have to learn to blur in photoshop, or generic photoshop. I demand blur.

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6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Are la Nina's usually front loaded or back loaded? Or always loaded?

Seems like they've been mostly back loaded recently. Lots of cool, wet conditions March though May, but just a bit too warm to deliver the goods to the lowlands. Massive snowpacks in the mountains though. Hopefully, it'll be different this season.

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14 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Are la Nina's usually front loaded or back loaded? Or always loaded?

Yes and no

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 63F (Oct 10 & 15)
  • Coldest low: 39F (Oct 16)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 0 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2020)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Nov 30, 2019) *Fewest all-time*
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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21 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Are la Nina's usually front loaded or back loaded? Or always loaded?

That’s a loaded question...

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

My gut is sensing a November 1985 redux. 
 

But Mossman, I thought such anomalous months were impossible in this new climate regime? :)

I mean, we did just have February 2019 but that was a one off. Right? :) :) :) :) :)

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