Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 Interesting trends on the 12z GFS, GEM, ECMWF op runs to dig the arctic trough a bit further southwest over us. If the block holds on just a bit longer, the cold shot might have some more teeth to it. Keep an eye on that trend. 18z GFS in 1 hour 29 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 22 minutes ago, MossMan said: Yay I got something other than a downvote from Jesse! I'm still waiting. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 31 minutes ago, MossMan said: Yay I got something other than a downvote from Jesse! He made an error with his mouse. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 To follow up on my previous post, here are the past 4 runs of the 12z GFS Op runs centered at Day 4.5. You can see how the trough digs several notches to the west/southwest compared to previous runs. It is quite a significant shift towards us. That's a good trend. On the flip side the initial trough Day 2.5 to 3 is digging too far offshore and cuts-off. Would really like to see the next 4-6 set of runs move away from that, but that doesn't seem likely. We shall see. Ya gotta believe! C'MON!!!! GFS 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 12 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: To follow up on my previous post, here are the past 4 runs of the 12z GFS Op runs centered at Day 4.5. You can see how the trough digs several notches to the west/southwest compared to previous runs. It is quite a significant shift towards us. That's a good trend. On the flip side the initial trough Day 2.5 to 3 is digging too far offshore and cuts-off. Would really like to see the next 4-6 set of runs move away from that, but that doesn't seem likely. We shall see. Ya gotta believe! C'MON!!!! GFS I do not believe. But we may get some frost and more mountain snow next week. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I do not believe. But we may get some frost and more mountain snow next week. You do realize if that trend continues we're talking a whole new ballgame. Right. Yep. C'MON!!!! 00z ECMWF in 9 hours 8 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 0.30" so far here today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 Couple hours of steady rain! 1 1 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Couple hours of steady rain! It's a good day to go mud hiking which I just made up about 20 minutes ago. 00z GFS in 6 hours 42 minutes 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 3 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said: Rain got pretty heavy for a bit had to go clear the storm drains of leaves. Up to 0.47” now today. It was a constant moderate rainfall with some heavier showers mixed in here. Trees are happy .82 here so far and 50* 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Couple hours of steady rain! It's been 3 weeks+ since it rained here. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 There will be so much snow this winter they'll need to do snow pig olympics! 4 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 8 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: There will be so much snow this winter they'll need to do snow pig olympics! I will take pics of my pig in the snow when/if it happens. 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I will take pics of my pig in the snow when/if it happens. Good, cause this is definitely what America needs right now! 3 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 So who is our day shift lead supervisor today? I sense an epic 18z coming up! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: To follow up on my previous post, here are the past 4 runs of the 12z GFS Op runs centered at Day 4.5. You can see how the trough digs several notches to the west/southwest compared to previous runs. It is quite a significant shift towards us. That's a good trend. On the flip side the initial trough Day 2.5 to 3 is digging too far offshore and cuts-off. Would really like to see the next 4-6 set of runs move away from that, but that doesn't seem likely. We shall see. Ya gotta believe! C'MON!!!! GFS Here comes the snow train!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather1011 Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 59 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: There will be so much snow this winter they'll need to do snow pig olympics! Or just cook them for bacon 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 Up to 1.47" after another band of fairly heavy rain moved through. 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 Up to 0.80” today. Solid band of rain moving in from the SW. Classic November day in the PNW. 4 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Up to 0.80” today. Solid band of rain moving in from the SW. Classic November day in the PNW. Love Ruston. Has the new grocery store opened up down there yet? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 31 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Love Ruston. Has the new grocery store opened up down there yet? I think it should be soon. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 3, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 67F and cloudy. Same temp inside as outside. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 67F and cloudy. Same temp inside as outside. 51 outside and 68 inside! .75” on the day so far outside. 0.00” inside...So far. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 67F and cloudy. Same temp inside as outside. Sounds moist, check for mold. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 3, 2020 Report Share Posted November 3, 2020 The 18z must have been epic! I need to get the model pages back and pinned on my phone. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 51/46 today. Have picked up 0.92” today. Still raining and 50 currently. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 0.37" here today. Doesn't look like anymore on the way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 I've had at least 5 drops of rain today. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, dolt said: I've had at least 5 drops of rain today. Love the new gif 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 4, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 Wasn't it supposed to be wetter today? 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 00z GFS Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 Day 3.5 Arctic trough digging in BC 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Arctic trough digging back over us more favorably. The trend I've been watching. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
markjb Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 Hey guy's, kind of off topic while its slow right now. My Peet Brothers weather station bit the dust after about 15 years of service. It was a hard wired system that was nice for wind info because there was no delay in updating , never missed that big gust. So now I'm looking for a new system and want to go wireless for ease of installation. I've been looking at a WeatherFlow Tempest unit. looks like newer technology for the past few years in home weather stations ,with no moving parts... haptic rain sensor and sonic wind sensor .. and only a 2.5 second update delay. At $329.00 Its getting good reviews from what I can find. Just wondering if anyone here has one, or any experience with one. Any input or opinions from you guys here on the forum would be great. Thanks... Mark . 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 Day 5 I just want to score some backdoor cold air/east winds. Not too much to ask. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 Really like how blocking has trended stronger in the mid range. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 4, 2020 Report Share Posted November 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, markjb said: Hey guy's, kind of off topic while its slow right now. My Peet Brothers weather station bit the dust after about 15 years of service. It was a hard wired system that was nice for wind info because there was no delay in updating , never missed that big gust. So now I'm looking for a new system and want to go wireless for ease of installation. I've been looking at a WeatherFlow Tempest unit. looks like newer technology for the past few years in home weather stations ,with no moving parts... haptic rain sensor and sonic wind sensor .. and only a 2.5 second update delay. At $329.00 Its getting good reviews from what I can find. Just wondering if anyone here has one, or any experience with one. Any input or opinions from you guys here on the forum would be great. Thanks... Mark . I have an Ambient Weather Station and really like it. It’s nearly two years old now. I’m not familiar with the stations you mentioned but I’m sure others on here will chime in! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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